Search Results - "Election forecasting"

AGAINST INVARIANCE: REFLEXIVE AGENCY AS A STRUCTURAL LIMIT OF COMPUTATIONAL POLITICAL MODELING.

Authors: Kairolla, Adil¹

Source: German International Journal of Modern Science / Deutsche Internationale Zeitschrift für Zeitgenössische Wissenschaft. May2026, Issue 129, p63-66. 4p.

Burnham Bounce Sees Labour Tipped to Win Most Seats in UK Poll.

Authors: Morales, Alex (AUTHOR)

Source: Bloomberg.com. 7/8/2026, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Ricketts Wins Nebraska Senate Republican Primary, NBC Projects.

Authors: Dezenski, Lauren (AUTHOR)

Source: Bloomberg.com. 5/12/2026, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Colombia Buys Back $4.4 Billion in Bonds Weeks Before Election.

Authors: Vizcaino, Maria Elena Andrade, Vinícius

Source: Bloomberg.com. 4/27/2026, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Polymarket Bets on Orban Loss Jump Further as Hungarians Vote.

Authors: Gergely, Andras (AUTHOR)

Source: Bloomberg.com. 4/12/2026, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Miller Wins Illinois Democratic House Primary, DDHQ Projects.

Authors: Sapienza, Brandon (AUTHOR)

Source: Bloomberg.com. 3/17/2026, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Lula Holds Five-Point Lead Over Flavio Bolsonaro in Brazil Election Poll.

Authors: Waldron, Travis (AUTHOR)

Source: Bloomberg.com. 2/11/2026, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Candidate vote prediction in open-list systems: Forecasting the results of the 2023 Finnish parliamentary election.

Authors: Vepsäläinen, Tapio¹ (AUTHOR) Tapio.a.vepsalainen@utu.fi

Source: International Journal of Forecasting. Jul2026, Vol. 42 Issue 3, p954-970. 17p.

A comprehensive analysis of forecasting elections using social media text.

Authors: Gaur, Abhishek Yadav, Dharmendra Kumar

Source: Multimedia Tools & Applications. Sep2025, Vol. 84 Issue 29, p35693-35725. 33p.

Subjects: Election forecasting, Sentiment analysis, Political campaigns, User-generated content, Data mining, Data analysis

Dutch Far-Right Party's Lead Shrinks Further in Latest Poll.

Authors: Van Oosterom, Patrick (AUTHOR)

Source: Bloomberg.com. 10/25/2025, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Spain's Sanchez Says He Plans to Run for Re-Election in 2027.

Authors: Orihuela, Rodrigo Basteiro, Daniel

Source: Bloomberg.com. 9/25/2025, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

Country/Territory Report -- Australia.

Source: Australia Country Monitor. Mar2025, p1-44. 44p.

Voters' Facial Expression Analysis as a Complement to Traditional Election Polls: Affective Voting in Spanish National Elections in 2023.

Authors: Otamendi, Francisco Javier Guerras, Lucía M. Muñoz, Félix‐Fernando et al.

Source: Social Science Quarterly (Wiley-Blackwell). Mar2026, Vol. 107 Issue 2, p1-12. 12p.

Transfer Learning for Spatial Autoregressive Models with Application to U.S. Presidential Election Prediction.

Authors: Zeng, Hao Zhong, Wei Xu, Xingbai

Source: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. Feb2026, p1-15. 15p. 5 Illustrations.

Estimation of Finite Population Proportions for Small Areas—A Statistical Data Integration Approach.

Authors: Sen, Aditi Lahiri, Partha

Source: Journal of Survey Statistics & Methodology. Jun2025, Vol. 13 Issue 3, p309-332. 24p.

Partisan Polarization Mitigates Economic Voting in US Presidential Elections, 1952–2020: Implications for 2024.

Authors: Ellis, Christopher R. Ura, Joseph Daniel

Source: Social Science Quarterly (Wiley-Blackwell). May2025, Vol. 106 Issue 3, p1-4. 4p.

Subjects: Polarization (Social sciences), United States presidential election, 2024, Presidential elections, Polarization (Economics), Election forecasting, Voting

New Polling After McMorrow's Exit Shakes Up Michigan Senate Race.

Authors: Popli, Nik (AUTHOR)

Source: Time.com. 7/16/2026, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.

LE BILLET D'AMAURY DE ROCHEGONDE.

Source: Stratégies. 5/21/2026, Issue 2309, p44-44. 1/3p.

LA RÉDAC A.

Source: Stratégies. 5/21/2026, Issue 2309, p44-44. 1/2p.

Milei's Party Holds Big Lead In Poll Ahead of Midterm Vote.

Authors: Gillespie, Patrick (AUTHOR)

Source: Bloomberg.com. 7/31/2025, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.