Search Results - "Scaife, Adam"

Seasonal Predictions of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation: Variability, Forecast Skill and the Signal‐to‐Noise Paradox in a Large Ensemble.

Authors: Comer, Ruth E. Scaife, Adam A. Kettleborough, Jamie A. et al.

Source: Atmospheric Science Letters (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ). Feb2026, Vol. 27 Issue 2, p1-9. 9p.

ENSO affects the North Atlantic Oscillation 1 year later.

Authors: Scaife, Adam A. Dunstone, Nick Hardiman, Steven et al.

Source: Science (pre-March 2025). 10/4/2024, Vol. 386 Issue 6717, p82-86. 5p. 5 Diagrams.

New mechanism for delayed ENSO impact on the East Asian Summer Monsoon.

Authors: Hardiman, Steven C. Scaife, Adam A. Dunstone, Nick J. et al.

Source: NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science. 1/27/2026, Vol. 9 Issue 1, p1-7. 7p.

Skilful global seasonal predictions from a machine learning weather model trained on reanalysis data.

Authors: Kent, Chris Scaife, Adam A. Dunstone, Nick J. et al.

Source: NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science. 8/25/2025, Vol. 8 Issue 1, p1-8. 8p.

Predictability of European winter 2022/23.

Authors: Stringer, Nicky Scaife, Adam A. Bulmer, Chris et al.

Source: Atmospheric Science Letters (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ). Dec2024, Vol. 25 Issue 12, p1-9. 9p.

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Prediction of European Winter 2023/24: Influence of a Strong El Niño.

Authors: Ineson, Sarah Almond, Chris Davies, Paul et al.

Source: Atmospheric Science Letters (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ). Feb2026, Vol. 27 Issue 2, p1-10. 10p.

Subject Terms: *Long-range weather forecasting, *Weather, El Niño, North Atlantic oscillation, Winter, Stratospheric circulation

Geographic Terms: Europe, Atlantic Ocean, North Atlantic Ocean, United Kingdom

Company/Entity: Great Britain. Meteorological Office

Skillful Prediction of the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation: Opportunities From Circumglobal Waveguide Dynamics.

Authors: Nie, Yu Scaife, Adam A. Dunstone, Nick J. et al.

Source: Geophysical Research Letters. 12/28/2025, Vol. 52 Issue 24, p1-9. 9p.

Predictability and Risk of Extreme Winter PM2.5 Concentration in Beijing.

Authors: Liu, Jingpeng Scaife, Adam A. Dunstone, Nick et al.

Source: Journal of Meteorological Research. Oct2023, Vol. 37 Issue 5, p632-642. 11p.

A Decadal Climate Service for Insurance: Skillful Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Activity and U.S. Hurricane Damage.

Authors: Lockwood, Julia F. Dunstone, Nick Hermanson, Leon et al.

Source: Journal of Applied Meteorology & Climatology; Sep2023, Vol. 62 Issue 9, p1151-1163, 13p, 2 Charts, 4 Graphs

Importance of internal variability for climate model assessment.

Authors: Jain, Shipra Scaife, Adam A. Shepherd, Theodore G. et al.

Source: NPJ Climate & Atmospheric Science. 6/17/2023, Vol. 6 Issue 1, p1-7. 7p.

Interdecadal Variations of the Scandinavian Pattern.

Authors: BO PANG SCAIFE, ADAM A. RIYU LU et al.

Source: Journal of Climate. 5/15/2023, Vol. 36 Issue 10, p3275-3288. 14p.

Interdependent extratropical atmospheric responses to Arctic sea-ice loss, QBO and ENSO.

Authors: Walsh, Amber Screen, James A. Scaife, Adam A. et al.

Source: Journal of Climate. Jun2026, Vol. 39 Issue 12, p1-19. 19p.

What potential for improving sub‐seasonal predictions of the winter NAO?

Authors: Kent, Chris Scaife, Adam A. Dunstone, Nick

Source: Atmospheric Science Letters (John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ). Apr2023, Vol. 24 Issue 4, p1-10. 10p.

Towards Useful Decadal Climate Services.

Authors: Dunstone, Nick Lockwood, Julia Solaraju-Murali, Balakrishnan et al.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; Jul2022, Vol. 103 Issue 7, p1705-1719, 15p

WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A Prediction for 2021-25.

Authors: Hermanson, Leon Smith, Doug Seabrook, Melissa et al.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; Apr2022, Vol. 103 Issue 4, pE1117-E1129, 13p

Long-range prediction and the stratosphere.

Authors: Scaife, Adam A. Baldwin, Mark P. Butler, Amy H. et al.

Source: Atmospheric Chemistry & Physics. 2022, Vol. 22 Issue 4, p2601-2623. 23p.

Asymmetric Impact of the Scandinavian Pattern on Stratospheric Circulation Anomalies.

Authors: Pang, Bo Scaife, Adam A. Lu, Riyu et al.

Source: Journal of Climate. Dec2021, Vol. 34 Issue 23, p9293-9303. 11p. 1 Chart, 4 Graphs, 6 Maps.

The U.K.–China Climate Science to Service Partnership.

Authors: Scaife, Adam A. Good, Elizabeth Sun, Ying et al.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Aug2021, Vol. 102 Issue 8, pE1563-E1578. 16p.

Meridional Wind in the Upper Stratosphere: A Source of Winter NAO Predictability.

Authors: Collingwood, Elizabeth Scaife, Adam A. Lu, Hua et al.

Source: Geophysical Research Letters. 12/28/2024, Vol. 51 Issue 24, p1-10. 10p.