Spatiotemporal variability in Terminos Lagoon (Mexico) waters during the 2009–2010 drought reveals upcoming trophic status shift in response to climate change.

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Title: Spatiotemporal variability in Terminos Lagoon (Mexico) waters during the 2009–2010 drought reveals upcoming trophic status shift in response to climate change.
Authors: Fichez, Renaud1 (AUTHOR) renaud.fichez@ird.fr, Linares, Carlos2 (AUTHOR) Carlos.Garcia.Linares@usherbrooke.ca, Chifflet, Sandrine1 (AUTHOR) sandrine.chifflet@mio.osupytheas.fr, Conan, Pascal3 (AUTHOR) pascal.conan@obs-banyuls.fr, Esparza, Adolfo Contreras Ruiz4 (AUTHOR) adolfo.contreras@atmosfera.unam.mx, Denis, Lionel5 (AUTHOR) lionel.denis@univ-lille1.fr, Douillet, Pascal1 (AUTHOR) pascal.douillet@mio.osupytheas.fr, Grenz, Christian1 (AUTHOR) christian.grenz@mio.osupytheas.fr, Ghiglione, Jean-François3 (AUTHOR) jean-francois.ghiglione@obs-banyuls.fr, Mendieta, Francisco Gutiérrez6 (AUTHOR) fgm@xanum.uam.mx, Origel-Moreno, Montserrat1 (AUTHOR) origel.montserrat@gmail.com, Caravaca, Alain Muñoz7 (AUTHOR) alain@gestion.ceac.cu, Pujo-Pay, Mireille3 (AUTHOR) mireille.pujo-pay@obs-banyuls.fr, Zavala-Hidalgo, Jorge4 (AUTHOR) jzavala@atmosfera.unam.mx
Source: Regional Environmental Change. Aug2019, Vol. 19 Issue 6, p1787-1799. 13p.
Subject Terms: *Lagoons, *Climate change, *Climate change forecasts, *Droughts, *Sea level, Multiple correspondence analysis (Statistics)
Geographic Terms: Central America
Abstract: The 2009–2010 El Niño was accompanied by a severe drought strongly impacting Mexico as well as Central America, the Caribbean, and the southern USA. The present work aims at assessing how such a major climatic event impacted the hydrological typology of transitional waters in Terminos Lagoon, one of the largest shallow tropical lagoons fringing the Gulf of Mexico. Spatiotemporal inter-comparison of hydrological conditions was conducted by pairing a reference multiparametric dataset (14 hydrological parameters versus 34 sampling stations) averaged over the October 2008 to July 2010 period with each sampling occurrence dataset and running Principal Component Analyses (PCA), setting the reference-survey dataset as active variables and each sampling occurrence dataset as non-active (supplementary) variables. It revealed that the exceptional deficit in freshwater supply to the lagoon during the 2009–2010 El Niño drastically reduced hydrological diversity and lowered the trophic status of the lagoon. Short-term shifts in environmental status are common in transitional waters and responsible for temporary shifts in community structure but climate change projections show a significant long-term decrease in the freshwater discharge at the regional scale that will impact Terminos Lagoon as well as other coastal lagoons of Mexico and Central America. When combined with sea level rise, such a decrease will result in a long-term shift in hydrological conditions with a subsequent increase in salinity and a decrease in the diversity of environmental conditions affecting trophic status, will have a long-term impact on the biota. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Regional Environmental Change is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: Spatiotemporal variability in Terminos Lagoon (Mexico) waters during the 2009–2010 drought reveals upcoming trophic status shift in response to climate change.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Fichez%2C+Renaud%22">Fichez, Renaud</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> renaud.fichez@ird.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Linares%2C+Carlos%22">Linares, Carlos</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> Carlos.Garcia.Linares@usherbrooke.ca</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Chifflet%2C+Sandrine%22">Chifflet, Sandrine</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> sandrine.chifflet@mio.osupytheas.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Conan%2C+Pascal%22">Conan, Pascal</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> pascal.conan@obs-banyuls.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Esparza%2C+Adolfo+Contreras+Ruiz%22">Esparza, Adolfo Contreras Ruiz</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> adolfo.contreras@atmosfera.unam.mx</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Denis%2C+Lionel%22">Denis, Lionel</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> lionel.denis@univ-lille1.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Douillet%2C+Pascal%22">Douillet, Pascal</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> pascal.douillet@mio.osupytheas.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Grenz%2C+Christian%22">Grenz, Christian</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> christian.grenz@mio.osupytheas.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Ghiglione%2C+Jean-François%22">Ghiglione, Jean-François</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> jean-francois.ghiglione@obs-banyuls.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Mendieta%2C+Francisco+Gutiérrez%22">Mendieta, Francisco Gutiérrez</searchLink><relatesTo>6</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> fgm@xanum.uam.mx</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Origel-Moreno%2C+Montserrat%22">Origel-Moreno, Montserrat</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> origel.montserrat@gmail.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Caravaca%2C+Alain+Muñoz%22">Caravaca, Alain Muñoz</searchLink><relatesTo>7</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> alain@gestion.ceac.cu</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pujo-Pay%2C+Mireille%22">Pujo-Pay, Mireille</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> mireille.pujo-pay@obs-banyuls.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zavala-Hidalgo%2C+Jorge%22">Zavala-Hidalgo, Jorge</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> jzavala@atmosfera.unam.mx</i>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Regional+Environmental+Change%22">Regional Environmental Change</searchLink>. Aug2019, Vol. 19 Issue 6, p1787-1799. 13p.
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Lagoons%22">Lagoons</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change%22">Climate change</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change+forecasts%22">Climate change forecasts</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Droughts%22">Droughts</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Sea+level%22">Sea level</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Multiple+correspondence+analysis+%28Statistics%29%22">Multiple correspondence analysis (Statistics)</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Central+America%22">Central America</searchLink>
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  Data: The 2009–2010 El Niño was accompanied by a severe drought strongly impacting Mexico as well as Central America, the Caribbean, and the southern USA. The present work aims at assessing how such a major climatic event impacted the hydrological typology of transitional waters in Terminos Lagoon, one of the largest shallow tropical lagoons fringing the Gulf of Mexico. Spatiotemporal inter-comparison of hydrological conditions was conducted by pairing a reference multiparametric dataset (14 hydrological parameters versus 34 sampling stations) averaged over the October 2008 to July 2010 period with each sampling occurrence dataset and running Principal Component Analyses (PCA), setting the reference-survey dataset as active variables and each sampling occurrence dataset as non-active (supplementary) variables. It revealed that the exceptional deficit in freshwater supply to the lagoon during the 2009–2010 El Niño drastically reduced hydrological diversity and lowered the trophic status of the lagoon. Short-term shifts in environmental status are common in transitional waters and responsible for temporary shifts in community structure but climate change projections show a significant long-term decrease in the freshwater discharge at the regional scale that will impact Terminos Lagoon as well as other coastal lagoons of Mexico and Central America. When combined with sea level rise, such a decrease will result in a long-term shift in hydrological conditions with a subsequent increase in salinity and a decrease in the diversity of environmental conditions affecting trophic status, will have a long-term impact on the biota. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Regional Environmental Change is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1007/s10113-019-01519-2
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