The Impacts of Rotational Mixing on the Precipitation Simulated by a Convection Permitting Model.

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Title: The Impacts of Rotational Mixing on the Precipitation Simulated by a Convection Permitting Model.
Authors: Hagos, Samson1 (AUTHOR) samson.hagos@pnnl.gov, Feng, Zhe1 (AUTHOR), Varble, Adam C.1 (AUTHOR), Tai, Sheng‐Lun1 (AUTHOR), Chen, Jingyi1,2 (AUTHOR)
Source: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. May2025, Vol. 17 Issue 5, p1-17. 17p.
Subject Terms: *Weather forecasting, Mesoscale convective complexes, Meteorological research, Precipitable water, Convective clouds
Abstract: With increased availability of computational resources, regional and global scale convection‐permitting model (CPM, Δx ∼ 1–10 km) simulations are becoming more common. CPMs have improved accuracy in their representation of deep convection and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) compared to coarser resolution models. However, CPMs still exhibit convective cloud and precipitation biases relative to observations, notably a lesser frequency of light precipitation rates and greater frequency of heavy precipitation rates. In this work we hypothesize that these CPM biases are related to under‐resolved mixing between convective updrafts and their surrounding environment. To test this hypothesis, we introduce a parameterization to the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) that adds a small angular rotation of the grid‐scale flow about the axis perpendicular to the plane of convective drafts. This rotated flow is then allowed to alter advection of moisture and hydrometeors. The effects of such mixing on precipitation characteristics are evaluated in month‐long 4‐km grid spacing simulations over the Amazon. The enhanced mixing transports moisture and condensate from convective cores to other areas including downdrafts. This increases the frequency of low‐precipitable water and light precipitation. It also decreases the frequency of intense precipitation from isolated deep convection and MCSs, increases cloud top temperatures, reduces radar echo‐top heights, and increases overall precipitation by altering the relationship of precipitation with precipitable water, in better agreement with observations. The results suggest when optimized using multiple observations, such an approach may provide a path toward more accurate representation of convection and precipitation statistics in convection‐permitting simulations. Plain Language Summary: Convection permitting models exhibit biases including a lesser frequency of light precipitation rates and greater frequency of heavy precipitation rates from clouds that are too deep and too small. In this work we propose a potential solution to these biases that involves enhancing the mixing between convective updrafts and their surrounding environment. As a demonstration we introduced a parameterization into WRF that adds a small angular rotation of the grid‐scale flow to mimic the strong horizontal vorticity in convection. This rotated flow is then allowed to alter advection of moisture and hydrometeors. The effects of such mixing on precipitation characteristics are evaluated in month‐long 4‐km grid spacing simulations over the Amazon. Examination of the resulting improvement in precipitation statistics and depth of convection suggest when optimized using multiple observations, such an approach may provide a path toward more accurate representation of convection and precipitation statistics in regional and global convection‐permitting simulations. Key Points: We hypothesize that "popcorn" precipitation biases in CPMs are related to under‐resolved mixing between convective updrafts and the environmentWe introduced a parameterization to WRF that adds a small angular rotation to the grid‐scale circulation to represent horizontal vorticity in convectionThe parameterization results in improved precipitation statistics and convection depth as desired [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: GreenFILE
Full text is not displayed to guests.
FullText Links:
  – Type: pdflink
Text:
  Availability: 1
Header DbId: 8gh
DbLabel: GreenFILE
An: 185452978
AccessLevel: 6
PubType: Academic Journal
PubTypeId: academicJournal
PreciseRelevancyScore: 0
IllustrationInfo
Items – Name: Title
  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: The Impacts of Rotational Mixing on the Precipitation Simulated by a Convection Permitting Model.
– Name: Author
  Label: Authors
  Group: Au
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hagos%2C+Samson%22">Hagos, Samson</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> samson.hagos@pnnl.gov</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Feng%2C+Zhe%22">Feng, Zhe</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Varble%2C+Adam+C%2E%22">Varble, Adam C.</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Tai%2C+Sheng‐Lun%22">Tai, Sheng‐Lun</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Chen%2C+Jingyi%22">Chen, Jingyi</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
– Name: TitleSource
  Label: Source
  Group: Src
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Journal+of+Advances+in+Modeling+Earth+Systems%22">Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems</searchLink>. May2025, Vol. 17 Issue 5, p1-17. 17p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Weather+forecasting%22">Weather forecasting</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Mesoscale+convective+complexes%22">Mesoscale convective complexes</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Meteorological+research%22">Meteorological research</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Precipitable+water%22">Precipitable water</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Convective+clouds%22">Convective clouds</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: With increased availability of computational resources, regional and global scale convection‐permitting model (CPM, Δx ∼ 1–10 km) simulations are becoming more common. CPMs have improved accuracy in their representation of deep convection and mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) compared to coarser resolution models. However, CPMs still exhibit convective cloud and precipitation biases relative to observations, notably a lesser frequency of light precipitation rates and greater frequency of heavy precipitation rates. In this work we hypothesize that these CPM biases are related to under‐resolved mixing between convective updrafts and their surrounding environment. To test this hypothesis, we introduce a parameterization to the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) that adds a small angular rotation of the grid‐scale flow about the axis perpendicular to the plane of convective drafts. This rotated flow is then allowed to alter advection of moisture and hydrometeors. The effects of such mixing on precipitation characteristics are evaluated in month‐long 4‐km grid spacing simulations over the Amazon. The enhanced mixing transports moisture and condensate from convective cores to other areas including downdrafts. This increases the frequency of low‐precipitable water and light precipitation. It also decreases the frequency of intense precipitation from isolated deep convection and MCSs, increases cloud top temperatures, reduces radar echo‐top heights, and increases overall precipitation by altering the relationship of precipitation with precipitable water, in better agreement with observations. The results suggest when optimized using multiple observations, such an approach may provide a path toward more accurate representation of convection and precipitation statistics in convection‐permitting simulations. Plain Language Summary: Convection permitting models exhibit biases including a lesser frequency of light precipitation rates and greater frequency of heavy precipitation rates from clouds that are too deep and too small. In this work we propose a potential solution to these biases that involves enhancing the mixing between convective updrafts and their surrounding environment. As a demonstration we introduced a parameterization into WRF that adds a small angular rotation of the grid‐scale flow to mimic the strong horizontal vorticity in convection. This rotated flow is then allowed to alter advection of moisture and hydrometeors. The effects of such mixing on precipitation characteristics are evaluated in month‐long 4‐km grid spacing simulations over the Amazon. Examination of the resulting improvement in precipitation statistics and depth of convection suggest when optimized using multiple observations, such an approach may provide a path toward more accurate representation of convection and precipitation statistics in regional and global convection‐permitting simulations. Key Points: We hypothesize that "popcorn" precipitation biases in CPMs are related to under‐resolved mixing between convective updrafts and the environmentWe introduced a parameterization to WRF that adds a small angular rotation to the grid‐scale circulation to represent horizontal vorticity in convectionThe parameterization results in improved precipitation statistics and convection depth as desired [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
PLink https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=8gh&AN=185452978
RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1029/2024MS004524
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 17
        StartPage: 1
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Weather forecasting
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Mesoscale convective complexes
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Meteorological research
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Precipitable water
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Convective clouds
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: The Impacts of Rotational Mixing on the Precipitation Simulated by a Convection Permitting Model.
        Type: main
  BibRelationships:
    HasContributorRelationships:
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hagos, Samson
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Feng, Zhe
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Varble, Adam C.
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Tai, Sheng‐Lun
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Chen, Jingyi
    IsPartOfRelationships:
      – BibEntity:
          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 05
              Text: May2025
              Type: published
              Y: 2025
          Identifiers:
            – Type: issn-print
              Value: 19422466
          Numbering:
            – Type: volume
              Value: 17
            – Type: issue
              Value: 5
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
              Type: main
ResultId 1