Distribution and Habitat Modeling of Diploknema butyracea Under Past, Present, and Future Climatic Conditions.
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| Title: | Distribution and Habitat Modeling of Diploknema butyracea Under Past, Present, and Future Climatic Conditions. |
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| Authors: | Bhattarai, Shreehari1 (AUTHOR) sbhattarai@afu.edu.np, Kunwar, Ripu M.2 (AUTHOR), Shrestha, Arjun K.3 (AUTHOR), Bhatta, Balram1 (AUTHOR), Adhikari, Binaya4 (AUTHOR) |
| Source: | Ecology & Evolution (20457758). Oct2025, Vol. 15 Issue 10, p1-10. 10p. |
| Subject Terms: | *Species distribution, *Habitat selection, *Forest restoration, *Climate change, *Climate change detection, *Environmental management, Rainfall reliability |
| Geographic Terms: | Nepal, Tarai (India & Nepal) |
| Abstract: | Climate change has profoundly impacted global weather patterns, intensifying extreme events and shifting seasonal trends. Species distribution models (SDMs) are crucial for assessing ecological effects, particularly in forecasting climate‐induced shifts. This study examined the distribution of Diploknema butyracea by refining and spatially thinning occurrence data to a 1 km resolution, reducing an initial 413 records to 80 unique localities. Nineteen bioclimatic variables from the CHELSA dataset were analyzed, retaining only those with variance inflation factor (VIF) values below 10. Climatic conditions from past, present, and future scenarios were incorporated to assess habitat suitability over time. To ensure model reliability, block partitioning cross‐validation was applied, identifying the LQ model (Rm = 1.5) as the most effective. Key determinants of habitat suitability included bio08 (mean temperature of the wettest quarter), bio06 (minimum temperature of the coldest month), bio07 (temperature annual range), bio12 (annual precipitation), and bio18 (precipitation of the warmest quarter). During the Last Glacial Maximum (~20,000 years ago), suitable habitats were largely confined to the southern lowlands of Nepal. By the mid‐Holocene, rising temperatures and increased precipitation enabled expansion into mid‐hill regions. The present distribution shows high suitability across mid‐hills and lowlands, while future projections (SSP3‐7.0) indicate declining suitability in the lowland Terai due to increasing temperatures and precipitation, with a slight increase at higher elevations. These findings underscore the importance of climatic stability in shaping the distribution of D. butyracea and offer valuable insights for conservation planning and forest restoration in the face of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Ecology & Evolution (20457758) is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
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| Header | DbId: 8gh DbLabel: GreenFILE An: 188962173 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Distribution and Habitat Modeling of Diploknema butyracea Under Past, Present, and Future Climatic Conditions. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Bhattarai%2C+Shreehari%22">Bhattarai, Shreehari</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> sbhattarai@afu.edu.np</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Kunwar%2C+Ripu+M%2E%22">Kunwar, Ripu M.</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Shrestha%2C+Arjun+K%2E%22">Shrestha, Arjun K.</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Bhatta%2C+Balram%22">Bhatta, Balram</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Adhikari%2C+Binaya%22">Adhikari, Binaya</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR) – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Ecology+%26+Evolution+%2820457758%29%22">Ecology & Evolution (20457758)</searchLink>. Oct2025, Vol. 15 Issue 10, p1-10. 10p. – Name: Subject Label: Subject Terms Group: Su Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Species+distribution%22">Species distribution</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Habitat+selection%22">Habitat selection</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Forest+restoration%22">Forest restoration</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change%22">Climate change</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change+detection%22">Climate change detection</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Environmental+management%22">Environmental management</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Rainfall+reliability%22">Rainfall reliability</searchLink> – Name: SubjectGeographic Label: Geographic Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Nepal%22">Nepal</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Tarai+%28India+%26+Nepal%29%22">Tarai (India & Nepal)</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: Climate change has profoundly impacted global weather patterns, intensifying extreme events and shifting seasonal trends. Species distribution models (SDMs) are crucial for assessing ecological effects, particularly in forecasting climate‐induced shifts. This study examined the distribution of Diploknema butyracea by refining and spatially thinning occurrence data to a 1 km resolution, reducing an initial 413 records to 80 unique localities. Nineteen bioclimatic variables from the CHELSA dataset were analyzed, retaining only those with variance inflation factor (VIF) values below 10. Climatic conditions from past, present, and future scenarios were incorporated to assess habitat suitability over time. To ensure model reliability, block partitioning cross‐validation was applied, identifying the LQ model (Rm = 1.5) as the most effective. Key determinants of habitat suitability included bio08 (mean temperature of the wettest quarter), bio06 (minimum temperature of the coldest month), bio07 (temperature annual range), bio12 (annual precipitation), and bio18 (precipitation of the warmest quarter). During the Last Glacial Maximum (~20,000 years ago), suitable habitats were largely confined to the southern lowlands of Nepal. By the mid‐Holocene, rising temperatures and increased precipitation enabled expansion into mid‐hill regions. The present distribution shows high suitability across mid‐hills and lowlands, while future projections (SSP3‐7.0) indicate declining suitability in the lowland Terai due to increasing temperatures and precipitation, with a slight increase at higher elevations. These findings underscore the importance of climatic stability in shaping the distribution of D. butyracea and offer valuable insights for conservation planning and forest restoration in the face of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Ecology & Evolution (20457758) is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1002/ece3.72412 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 10 StartPage: 1 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Species distribution Type: general – SubjectFull: Habitat selection Type: general – SubjectFull: Forest restoration Type: general – SubjectFull: Climate change Type: general – SubjectFull: Climate change detection Type: general – SubjectFull: Environmental management Type: general – SubjectFull: Rainfall reliability Type: general – SubjectFull: Nepal Type: general – SubjectFull: Tarai (India & Nepal) Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Distribution and Habitat Modeling of Diploknema butyracea Under Past, Present, and Future Climatic Conditions. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Bhattarai, Shreehari – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Kunwar, Ripu M. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Shrestha, Arjun K. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Bhatta, Balram – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Adhikari, Binaya IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 10 Text: Oct2025 Type: published Y: 2025 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 20457758 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 15 – Type: issue Value: 10 Titles: – TitleFull: Ecology & Evolution (20457758) Type: main |
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