Towards a socio-ecological system understanding of urban flood risk and barriers to climate change adaptation using causal loop diagrams.

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Title: Towards a socio-ecological system understanding of urban flood risk and barriers to climate change adaptation using causal loop diagrams.
Authors: Hanf, Franziska S.1 (AUTHOR) franziska.hanf@uni-hamburg.de, Ament, Felix1 (AUTHOR), Boettcher, Marita1 (AUTHOR), Burgemeister, Finn1 (AUTHOR), Gaslikova, Lidia2 (AUTHOR), Hoffmann, Peter3 (AUTHOR), Knieling, Jörg4 (AUTHOR), Matthias, Volker5 (AUTHOR), Meier, Linda6 (AUTHOR), Pein, Johannes2 (AUTHOR), Poschlod, Benjamin7 (AUTHOR), Quante, Markus5 (AUTHOR), Ratzke, Leonie8,9 (AUTHOR), Rudolph, Elisabeth10 (AUTHOR), Scheffran, Jürgen6 (AUTHOR), Schlünzen, K. Heinke1 (AUTHOR), Shokri, Nima11,12 (AUTHOR), Sillmann, Jana7,13 (AUTHOR), Vogelbacher, Anastasia11,12 (AUTHOR), von Szombathely, Malte7 (AUTHOR)
Source: International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development. Dec2025, Vol. 17 Issue 1, p69-102. 34p.
Subject Terms: *Climate change adaptation, *Ecosystems, *Cities & towns, Flood risk, System dynamics, Decision making
Geographic Terms: Hamburg (Germany)
Abstract: While cities are facing increasing challenges of flood risk due to combined effects of climate change and socioeconomic development, understanding of the complexity of urban flood risk is still limited, hampering decision-making and urban adaptation planning. This study presents a qualitative system dynamics modelling framework to investigate urban flood risk and adaptation under climate change in a coupled socio-ecological system, the city of Hamburg. The developed integrated conceptual model provides a holistic understanding of key physical and socio-economic processes and the role of feedback loops underlying the urban system, and contributes to the understanding of vicious cycles of barriers that perpetuate and hinder adaptation processes within cities. The qualitative approach can help to break down silo-thinking in urban flood risk assessments. Decision-makers could use the framework to understand the complexity of interactions among multiple drivers of flood risk to overcome barriers and lock-in effects to adaptation in cities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: Towards a socio-ecological system understanding of urban flood risk and barriers to climate change adaptation using causal loop diagrams.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hanf%2C+Franziska+S%2E%22">Hanf, Franziska S.</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> franziska.hanf@uni-hamburg.de</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Ament%2C+Felix%22">Ament, Felix</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Boettcher%2C+Marita%22">Boettcher, Marita</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Burgemeister%2C+Finn%22">Burgemeister, Finn</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gaslikova%2C+Lidia%22">Gaslikova, Lidia</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hoffmann%2C+Peter%22">Hoffmann, Peter</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Knieling%2C+Jörg%22">Knieling, Jörg</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Matthias%2C+Volker%22">Matthias, Volker</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Meier%2C+Linda%22">Meier, Linda</searchLink><relatesTo>6</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pein%2C+Johannes%22">Pein, Johannes</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Poschlod%2C+Benjamin%22">Poschlod, Benjamin</searchLink><relatesTo>7</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Quante%2C+Markus%22">Quante, Markus</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Ratzke%2C+Leonie%22">Ratzke, Leonie</searchLink><relatesTo>8,9</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Rudolph%2C+Elisabeth%22">Rudolph, Elisabeth</searchLink><relatesTo>10</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Scheffran%2C+Jürgen%22">Scheffran, Jürgen</searchLink><relatesTo>6</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Schlünzen%2C+K%2E+Heinke%22">Schlünzen, K. Heinke</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Shokri%2C+Nima%22">Shokri, Nima</searchLink><relatesTo>11,12</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Sillmann%2C+Jana%22">Sillmann, Jana</searchLink><relatesTo>7,13</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Vogelbacher%2C+Anastasia%22">Vogelbacher, Anastasia</searchLink><relatesTo>11,12</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22von+Szombathely%2C+Malte%22">von Szombathely, Malte</searchLink><relatesTo>7</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22International+Journal+of+Urban+Sustainable+Development%22">International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development</searchLink>. Dec2025, Vol. 17 Issue 1, p69-102. 34p.
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change+adaptation%22">Climate change adaptation</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Ecosystems%22">Ecosystems</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Cities+%26+towns%22">Cities & towns</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Flood+risk%22">Flood risk</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22System+dynamics%22">System dynamics</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Decision+making%22">Decision making</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Hamburg+%28Germany%29%22">Hamburg (Germany)</searchLink>
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  Data: While cities are facing increasing challenges of flood risk due to combined effects of climate change and socioeconomic development, understanding of the complexity of urban flood risk is still limited, hampering decision-making and urban adaptation planning. This study presents a qualitative system dynamics modelling framework to investigate urban flood risk and adaptation under climate change in a coupled socio-ecological system, the city of Hamburg. The developed integrated conceptual model provides a holistic understanding of key physical and socio-economic processes and the role of feedback loops underlying the urban system, and contributes to the understanding of vicious cycles of barriers that perpetuate and hinder adaptation processes within cities. The qualitative approach can help to break down silo-thinking in urban flood risk assessments. Decision-makers could use the framework to understand the complexity of interactions among multiple drivers of flood risk to overcome barriers and lock-in effects to adaptation in cities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
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  Data: <i>Copyright of International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1080/19463138.2025.2474399
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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        PageCount: 34
        StartPage: 69
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Climate change adaptation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Ecosystems
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      – SubjectFull: Cities & towns
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      – SubjectFull: Flood risk
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      – SubjectFull: System dynamics
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      – SubjectFull: Decision making
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      – SubjectFull: Hamburg (Germany)
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