Deferred timber value and economic contributions: Oregon's forest sector under the Private Forest Accord.

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Title: Deferred timber value and economic contributions: Oregon's forest sector under the Private Forest Accord.
Authors: Lu, Gang1 (AUTHOR), Susaeta, Andres1 (AUTHOR) andres.susaeta@oregonstate.edu, Kaetzel, Brandon2 (AUTHOR), Hubner, Daniel2 (AUTHOR), Tokarczyk, John2 (AUTHOR)
Source: Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 2/12/2026, Vol. 56, p1-14. 14p.
Subject Terms: *Forest policy, *Forest products industry, *Sustainable forestry, *Forest management, Value (Economics), Employment, Timber
Geographic Terms: Oregon, Western Oregon
Abstract: This study assesses the economic contribution of Oregon's forest industry from 2020 to 2022 and examines the potential impacts of the Private Forest Accord (PFA) on timber production and employment in Western Oregon. Established in 2021, the PFA seeks to balance environmental conservation with sustainable timber harvesting, particularly on private lands. Using the IMPLAN multi-regional input–output (MRIO) model, this analysis quantifies the forest industry's contributions, employment, and output trends from 2017 to 2022, along with the hypothetical effects of deferred harvests under the PFA. Results show that while industry output increased, employment declined, reflecting gains in labor efficiency, technological advances, and broader economic pressures such as inflation and wage growth. Projections for 2020–2022 indicate that deferred harvests under the PFA reduced direct logging employment and output by approximately 1.2%–1.3%, but less than 0.25% of total forest industry employment and 0.10% of total output. These modest impacts suggest that deferred timber serves as a strategic reserve with minimal economic disruption while supporting biodiversity, forest health, and long-term carbon storage. Overall, the study demonstrates that forest policy can align conservation objectives with economic resilience, offering insights for sustainable management in forest-dependent regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Canadian Journal of Forest Research is the property of Canadian Science Publishing and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: Deferred timber value and economic contributions: Oregon's forest sector under the Private Forest Accord.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Lu%2C+Gang%22">Lu, Gang</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Susaeta%2C+Andres%22">Susaeta, Andres</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> andres.susaeta@oregonstate.edu</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Kaetzel%2C+Brandon%22">Kaetzel, Brandon</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hubner%2C+Daniel%22">Hubner, Daniel</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Tokarczyk%2C+John%22">Tokarczyk, John</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Canadian+Journal+of+Forest+Research%22">Canadian Journal of Forest Research</searchLink>. 2/12/2026, Vol. 56, p1-14. 14p.
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Forest+policy%22">Forest policy</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Forest+products+industry%22">Forest products industry</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Sustainable+forestry%22">Sustainable forestry</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Forest+management%22">Forest management</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Value+%28Economics%29%22">Value (Economics)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Employment%22">Employment</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Timber%22">Timber</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Oregon%22">Oregon</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Western+Oregon%22">Western Oregon</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
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  Data: This study assesses the economic contribution of Oregon's forest industry from 2020 to 2022 and examines the potential impacts of the Private Forest Accord (PFA) on timber production and employment in Western Oregon. Established in 2021, the PFA seeks to balance environmental conservation with sustainable timber harvesting, particularly on private lands. Using the IMPLAN multi-regional input–output (MRIO) model, this analysis quantifies the forest industry's contributions, employment, and output trends from 2017 to 2022, along with the hypothetical effects of deferred harvests under the PFA. Results show that while industry output increased, employment declined, reflecting gains in labor efficiency, technological advances, and broader economic pressures such as inflation and wage growth. Projections for 2020–2022 indicate that deferred harvests under the PFA reduced direct logging employment and output by approximately 1.2%–1.3%, but less than 0.25% of total forest industry employment and 0.10% of total output. These modest impacts suggest that deferred timber serves as a strategic reserve with minimal economic disruption while supporting biodiversity, forest health, and long-term carbon storage. Overall, the study demonstrates that forest policy can align conservation objectives with economic resilience, offering insights for sustainable management in forest-dependent regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Canadian Journal of Forest Research is the property of Canadian Science Publishing and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1139/cjfr-2025-0208
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 14
        StartPage: 1
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Forest policy
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Forest products industry
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Sustainable forestry
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Forest management
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Value (Economics)
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Employment
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Timber
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Oregon
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Western Oregon
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Deferred timber value and economic contributions: Oregon's forest sector under the Private Forest Accord.
        Type: main
  BibRelationships:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lu, Gang
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Susaeta, Andres
      – PersonEntity:
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            NameFull: Kaetzel, Brandon
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hubner, Daniel
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Tokarczyk, John
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            – D: 12
              M: 02
              Text: 2/12/2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
          Identifiers:
            – Type: issn-print
              Value: 00455067
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            – Type: volume
              Value: 56
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Canadian Journal of Forest Research
              Type: main
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