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A pathway design framework for national freight transport decarbonization strategies.

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Title: A pathway design framework for national freight transport decarbonization strategies.
Authors: Briand, Yann1 yann.briand@sciencespo.fr, Gupta, Dipti2, D'Agosto, Marcio de Almeida3, Goes, George Vasconcelos3, Gonçalves, Daniel Neves Schmitz3, Garg, Amit4, Vishwanathan, Saritha Sudharmma4, Ahjum, Fadiel5, Trollip, Hilton5, McCall, Bryce5, Siagan, Ucok W. R.6, Dewi, Retno Gumilang6, Pye, Steve7, Combes, François8, Koning, Martin8
Source: Climate Policy (Taylor & Francis Ltd). May2026, Vol. 26 Issue 5, p777-793. 17p.
Subject Terms: *Carbon dioxide mitigation, *Transportation & the environment, Freight & freightage, Stakeholders, Supply chain management
Abstract: National and international freight transport emissions represent about 40% of global transport emissions, with demand expected to triple by 2050, which will increase emissions further. However, to meet the 1.5°C climate goal, a rapid decrease in transport emissions is required, along with the achievement of zero emissions as soon as possible around mid-century. Given this context, long-term low-emission national development pathways provide a strategic instrument to align short-term action with long-term objectives and to reduce national freight transport emissions. However, current transport-energy modelling studies often exclude the structural and systemic mitigation options that influence the industrial production and supply chain structure, as well as modal and logistics choices, and instead focus mainly on the technological options related to road freight vehicles and fuels. In addition, such studies lack relevant policy and stakeholder-oriented explanations of the barriers and enablers associated with these options. In this paper, we introduce a new framework to design and compare long-term national and sectoral decarbonization pathways for freight transportation, facilitating the consideration of all decarbonization options and the organization of stakeholder-oriented policy dialogues. The development of this sectoral framework builds on the general Deep Decarbonization Pathways (DDP) framework and a first implementation in France. It is then applied and tested in three emerging countries: Brazil, India and South Africa and the results show that the linking of systemic and technological changes could reduce emissions per tonne-km by at least 60%, and up to 100% by 2050, while also reducing energy consumption and supporting national development. Key policy insights: National mitigation strategies currently overlook the reduction of national freight transport emissions, so it should become a higher priority in future revisions. Deep decarbonization is possible but requires systemic changes in logistical and industrial organizations consistently linked with the necessary technological changes towards zero-emission vehicles. In addition to road hauliers, road vehicle manufacturers and energy providers, national strategies must not forget to drive changes among freight owners and shippers, customers, infrastructure developers and operators, as well as logistics service providers. Policy-relevant strategies should be adapted to national development, industrial and logistics contexts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Climate Policy (Taylor & Francis Ltd) is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: A pathway design framework for national freight transport decarbonization strategies.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Briand%2C+Yann%22">Briand, Yann</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo><i> yann.briand@sciencespo.fr</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gupta%2C+Dipti%22">Gupta, Dipti</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22D'Agosto%2C+Marcio+de+Almeida%22">D'Agosto, Marcio de Almeida</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Goes%2C+George+Vasconcelos%22">Goes, George Vasconcelos</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gonçalves%2C+Daniel+Neves+Schmitz%22">Gonçalves, Daniel Neves Schmitz</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Garg%2C+Amit%22">Garg, Amit</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Vishwanathan%2C+Saritha+Sudharmma%22">Vishwanathan, Saritha Sudharmma</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Ahjum%2C+Fadiel%22">Ahjum, Fadiel</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Trollip%2C+Hilton%22">Trollip, Hilton</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22McCall%2C+Bryce%22">McCall, Bryce</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Siagan%2C+Ucok+W%2E+R%2E%22">Siagan, Ucok W. R.</searchLink><relatesTo>6</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Dewi%2C+Retno+Gumilang%22">Dewi, Retno Gumilang</searchLink><relatesTo>6</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pye%2C+Steve%22">Pye, Steve</searchLink><relatesTo>7</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Combes%2C+François%22">Combes, François</searchLink><relatesTo>8</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Koning%2C+Martin%22">Koning, Martin</searchLink><relatesTo>8</relatesTo>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Climate+Policy+%28Taylor+%26+Francis+Ltd%29%22">Climate Policy (Taylor & Francis Ltd)</searchLink>. May2026, Vol. 26 Issue 5, p777-793. 17p.
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  Label: Abstract
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  Data: National and international freight transport emissions represent about 40% of global transport emissions, with demand expected to triple by 2050, which will increase emissions further. However, to meet the 1.5°C climate goal, a rapid decrease in transport emissions is required, along with the achievement of zero emissions as soon as possible around mid-century. Given this context, long-term low-emission national development pathways provide a strategic instrument to align short-term action with long-term objectives and to reduce national freight transport emissions. However, current transport-energy modelling studies often exclude the structural and systemic mitigation options that influence the industrial production and supply chain structure, as well as modal and logistics choices, and instead focus mainly on the technological options related to road freight vehicles and fuels. In addition, such studies lack relevant policy and stakeholder-oriented explanations of the barriers and enablers associated with these options. In this paper, we introduce a new framework to design and compare long-term national and sectoral decarbonization pathways for freight transportation, facilitating the consideration of all decarbonization options and the organization of stakeholder-oriented policy dialogues. The development of this sectoral framework builds on the general Deep Decarbonization Pathways (DDP) framework and a first implementation in France. It is then applied and tested in three emerging countries: Brazil, India and South Africa and the results show that the linking of systemic and technological changes could reduce emissions per tonne-km by at least 60%, and up to 100% by 2050, while also reducing energy consumption and supporting national development. Key policy insights: National mitigation strategies currently overlook the reduction of national freight transport emissions, so it should become a higher priority in future revisions. Deep decarbonization is possible but requires systemic changes in logistical and industrial organizations consistently linked with the necessary technological changes towards zero-emission vehicles. In addition to road hauliers, road vehicle manufacturers and energy providers, national strategies must not forget to drive changes among freight owners and shippers, customers, infrastructure developers and operators, as well as logistics service providers. Policy-relevant strategies should be adapted to national development, industrial and logistics contexts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Climate Policy (Taylor & Francis Ltd) is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1080/14693062.2024.2412709
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        Text: English
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        PageCount: 17
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      – SubjectFull: Carbon dioxide mitigation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Transportation & the environment
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      – SubjectFull: Freight & freightage
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      – SubjectFull: Stakeholders
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      – SubjectFull: Supply chain management
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