Afforestation and mitigation of climate change: a mathematical model of the carbon–climate system.
Saved in:
| Title: | Afforestation and mitigation of climate change: a mathematical model of the carbon–climate system. |
|---|---|
| Authors: | van Kooten, G. Cornelis1,2,3 (AUTHOR) kooten@uvic.ca, Withey, Patrick4 (AUTHOR), Rácz, Victor5 (AUTHOR) |
| Source: | Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 6/17/2026, Vol. 56, p1-9. 9p. |
| Subject Terms: | *Afforestation, *Climate change mitigation, *Economic impact, *Carbon sequestration, *Carbon cycle, *Carbon emissions, *Climate change models, Atmospheric models |
| Abstract: | An energy balance model (EBM) is developed by augmenting a carbon–climate module found in Dynamic Integrated Climate and Economy to include a land carbon pool in addition to three other pools. The land pool allows us to examine the impact of potential afforestation on future temperatures and associated damages. By removing CO2 from the atmosphere afforestation reduces global temperatures and thereby economic damages. Realistic and optimistic rates of afforestation are investigated for four scenarios of future CO2 emissions and per capita incomes derived from the IPCC's shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). The emission pathways are employed in our EBM to provide a path of future temperatures that tracks well with projections from SSPs. Since afforestation reduces atmospheric CO2 and thereby temperatures, and since economic damages are a function of temperature, sequestration of carbon in forests reduces damages and increase income. Under the SSP2 and SSP3 scenarios, afforestation has little impact on atmospheric CO2 and damages, and minimal impact under the SSP5 scenario. Impacts of afforestation are higher when using a Weitzman damage function as opposed to Nordhaus specification. CO2 removals by afforestation are very small relative to anthropogenic emissions to the atmosphere. Yet afforestation may provide substantial ecosystem service benefits and/or local climate mitigation benefits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Canadian Journal of Forest Research is the property of Canadian Science Publishing and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | GreenFILE |
| FullText | Text: Availability: 0 |
|---|---|
| Header | DbId: 8gh DbLabel: GreenFILE An: 194576811 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
| IllustrationInfo | |
| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Afforestation and mitigation of climate change: a mathematical model of the carbon–climate system. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22van+Kooten%2C+G%2E+Cornelis%22">van Kooten, G. Cornelis</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2,3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> kooten@uvic.ca</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Withey%2C+Patrick%22">Withey, Patrick</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Rácz%2C+Victor%22">Rácz, Victor</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo> (AUTHOR) – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Canadian+Journal+of+Forest+Research%22">Canadian Journal of Forest Research</searchLink>. 6/17/2026, Vol. 56, p1-9. 9p. – Name: Subject Label: Subject Terms Group: Su Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Afforestation%22">Afforestation</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change+mitigation%22">Climate change mitigation</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Economic+impact%22">Economic impact</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Carbon+sequestration%22">Carbon sequestration</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Carbon+cycle%22">Carbon cycle</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Carbon+emissions%22">Carbon emissions</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change+models%22">Climate change models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Atmospheric+models%22">Atmospheric models</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: An energy balance model (EBM) is developed by augmenting a carbon–climate module found in Dynamic Integrated Climate and Economy to include a land carbon pool in addition to three other pools. The land pool allows us to examine the impact of potential afforestation on future temperatures and associated damages. By removing CO2 from the atmosphere afforestation reduces global temperatures and thereby economic damages. Realistic and optimistic rates of afforestation are investigated for four scenarios of future CO2 emissions and per capita incomes derived from the IPCC's shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). The emission pathways are employed in our EBM to provide a path of future temperatures that tracks well with projections from SSPs. Since afforestation reduces atmospheric CO2 and thereby temperatures, and since economic damages are a function of temperature, sequestration of carbon in forests reduces damages and increase income. Under the SSP2 and SSP3 scenarios, afforestation has little impact on atmospheric CO2 and damages, and minimal impact under the SSP5 scenario. Impacts of afforestation are higher when using a Weitzman damage function as opposed to Nordhaus specification. CO2 removals by afforestation are very small relative to anthropogenic emissions to the atmosphere. Yet afforestation may provide substantial ecosystem service benefits and/or local climate mitigation benefits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Canadian Journal of Forest Research is the property of Canadian Science Publishing and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
| PLink | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=8gh&AN=194576811 |
| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1139/cjfr-2025-0322 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 9 StartPage: 1 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Afforestation Type: general – SubjectFull: Climate change mitigation Type: general – SubjectFull: Economic impact Type: general – SubjectFull: Carbon sequestration Type: general – SubjectFull: Carbon cycle Type: general – SubjectFull: Carbon emissions Type: general – SubjectFull: Climate change models Type: general – SubjectFull: Atmospheric models Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Afforestation and mitigation of climate change: a mathematical model of the carbon–climate system. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: van Kooten, G. Cornelis – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Withey, Patrick – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Rácz, Victor IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 17 M: 06 Text: 6/17/2026 Type: published Y: 2026 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 00455067 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 56 Titles: – TitleFull: Canadian Journal of Forest Research Type: main |
| ResultId | 1 |
