Fat Tails in Human Judgment: Empirical Evidence and Implications for the Aggregation of Estimates and Forecasts.

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Title: Fat Tails in Human Judgment: Empirical Evidence and Implications for the Aggregation of Estimates and Forecasts.
Authors: Lobo, Miguel Sousa1 (AUTHOR) miguel.lobo@insead.edu, Yao, Dai2 (AUTHOR) dai@yaod.ai
Source: Management Science (INFORMS). Mar2026, Vol. 72 Issue 3, p2364-2379. 16p.
Database: Business Source Ultimate
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  Data: Fat Tails in Human Judgment: Empirical Evidence and Implications for the Aggregation of Estimates and Forecasts.
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        Value: 10.1287/mnsc.2022.04006
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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        PageCount: 16
        StartPage: 2364
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              Text: Mar2026
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              Y: 2026
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