The Impact of Pillar II Funding: Validation from a Modelling and Evaluation Perspective.
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| Title: | The Impact of Pillar II Funding: Validation from a Modelling and Evaluation Perspective. |
|---|---|
| Authors: | Schroeder, Lilli Aline, Gocht, Alexander, Britz, Wolfgang |
| Source: | Journal of Agricultural Economics. Jun2015, Vol. 66 Issue 2, p415-441. 27p. |
| Subjects: | Farm income, Agricultural policy, Agricultural economics, Economic equilibrium, Greenhouse gas mitigation, Computable general equilibrium models |
| Geographic Terms: | Germany |
| Abstract: | We extend the Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact Modelling System ( CAPRI) with a regional computational general equilibrium ( CGE) model to estimate the effects of the Pillar II of the Common Agricultural Policy. Our aim is to assess the modeling approach by comparing the scenario results with observations from the evaluation reports for rural development, supplemented with expert interviews and findings from the literature. For this purpose, an ex-post scenario is developed for Germany that models the effect of the Pillar II measures in 2006. We observe a moderate impact, namely, an increase in agricultural income (5%) and agricultural land use (0.15%), particularly grassland, and a substitution of arable land with grassland. This effect leads to a total increase in agricultural production, particularly of beef, and to an increase in total greenhouse gas emissions and total nitrogen surplus for Germany. Greenhouse gas emissions and nutrient surpluses per ha, however, are reduced. We observe that farm investment programmes displace private investment. The evaluation reports confirm the moderate impact and our major results, as does the comparison with other literature. However, the conclusions about agri-environment measures and their impact on income differ. The most important difference between our results and the evaluation reports and majority of the present literature is that we also quantify the joint effect between the whole economy and policy measures, with some contradictory effects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Journal of Agricultural Economics is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | Engineering Source |
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| Header | DbId: egs DbLabel: Engineering Source An: 102203248 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: The Impact of Pillar II Funding: Validation from a Modelling and Evaluation Perspective. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Schroeder%2C+Lilli+Aline%22">Schroeder, Lilli Aline</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gocht%2C+Alexander%22">Gocht, Alexander</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Britz%2C+Wolfgang%22">Britz, Wolfgang</searchLink> – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Journal+of+Agricultural+Economics%22">Journal of Agricultural Economics</searchLink>. Jun2015, Vol. 66 Issue 2, p415-441. 27p. – Name: Subject Label: Subjects Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Farm+income%22">Farm income</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Agricultural+policy%22">Agricultural policy</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Agricultural+economics%22">Agricultural economics</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Economic+equilibrium%22">Economic equilibrium</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Greenhouse+gas+mitigation%22">Greenhouse gas mitigation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Computable+general+equilibrium+models%22">Computable general equilibrium models</searchLink> – Name: SubjectGeographic Label: Geographic Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Germany%22">Germany</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: We extend the Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact Modelling System ( CAPRI) with a regional computational general equilibrium ( CGE) model to estimate the effects of the Pillar II of the Common Agricultural Policy. Our aim is to assess the modeling approach by comparing the scenario results with observations from the evaluation reports for rural development, supplemented with expert interviews and findings from the literature. For this purpose, an ex-post scenario is developed for Germany that models the effect of the Pillar II measures in 2006. We observe a moderate impact, namely, an increase in agricultural income (5%) and agricultural land use (0.15%), particularly grassland, and a substitution of arable land with grassland. This effect leads to a total increase in agricultural production, particularly of beef, and to an increase in total greenhouse gas emissions and total nitrogen surplus for Germany. Greenhouse gas emissions and nutrient surpluses per ha, however, are reduced. We observe that farm investment programmes displace private investment. The evaluation reports confirm the moderate impact and our major results, as does the comparison with other literature. However, the conclusions about agri-environment measures and their impact on income differ. The most important difference between our results and the evaluation reports and majority of the present literature is that we also quantify the joint effect between the whole economy and policy measures, with some contradictory effects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Journal of Agricultural Economics is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1111/1477-9552.12091 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 27 StartPage: 415 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Farm income Type: general – SubjectFull: Agricultural policy Type: general – SubjectFull: Agricultural economics Type: general – SubjectFull: Economic equilibrium Type: general – SubjectFull: Greenhouse gas mitigation Type: general – SubjectFull: Computable general equilibrium models Type: general – SubjectFull: Germany Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: The Impact of Pillar II Funding: Validation from a Modelling and Evaluation Perspective. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Schroeder, Lilli Aline – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Gocht, Alexander – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Britz, Wolfgang IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 06 Text: Jun2015 Type: published Y: 2015 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 0021857X Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 66 – Type: issue Value: 2 Titles: – TitleFull: Journal of Agricultural Economics Type: main |
| ResultId | 1 |
