Analysis of seasonal and annual rainfall trends in the northern region of Bangladesh.
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| Title: | Analysis of seasonal and annual rainfall trends in the northern region of Bangladesh. |
|---|---|
| Authors: | Bari, Sheikh Hefzul1 bari_cee1989@yahoo.com, Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur2,3, Hoque, Muhammad Azizul2, Hussain, Md. Manjurul2 |
| Source: | Atmospheric Research. Jul/Aug2016, Vol. 176, p148-158. 11p. |
| Subjects: | Rainfall anomalies, Slopes (Physical geography), Monsoons, Trend analysis |
| Geographic Terms: | Bangladesh |
| Abstract: | The aim of the present study was to investigate 50 years (1964–2013) of seasonal and annual rainfall trends and their fluctuation over time in northern Bangladesh. After testing the autocorrelation, non-parametric Mann–Kendall test along with Sen Slope estimator was used to examine rainfall trends and their magnitudes. The sequential Mann–Kendall test was used to identify any fluctuations in the trends over time and to detect the possible points of change in the rainfall series. We found that pre-monsoon and post-monsoon rainfall is increasing in most of the rainfall stations. The only decrement in pre-monsoon rainfall was found for Ishurdi (1.28 mm/year). However, the sequential Mann–Kendall test detected decreasing pre-monsoon rainfall trend after early the 1990s. Monsoon rainfall showed a decreasing trend in the majority of the area studied. The maximum decrement in monsoon rainfall was found for Sylhet station (8.10 mm/year) and minimum in Mymensingh (1.53 mm/year). An upward monsoon rainfall trend was found for Rangpur (2.02 mm/year). Annual rainfall followed the monsoon rainfall trend. However, all of the positive and negative trends were found statistically non-significant at 95% confidence limit with the only exception for monsoon and annual rainfall at Rajshahi station. Rajshahi station was the only region where the monsoon and annual rainfall has a significant negative trend at 95% confidence limit. The sequential Mann–Kendall test detected several non-significant points of change for seasonal and annual rainfall at most of the stations. Periodic fluctuations were also detected. We observed that there were decreasing seasonal rainfall trend after early the 1990s for the majority of the stations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Atmospheric Research is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | Engineering Source |
| FullText | Text: Availability: 0 |
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| Header | DbId: egs DbLabel: Engineering Source An: 114254057 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Analysis of seasonal and annual rainfall trends in the northern region of Bangladesh. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Bari%2C+Sheikh+Hefzul%22">Bari, Sheikh Hefzul</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo><i> bari_cee1989@yahoo.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Rahman%2C+M%2E+Tauhid+Ur%22">Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur</searchLink><relatesTo>2,3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hoque%2C+Muhammad+Azizul%22">Hoque, Muhammad Azizul</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hussain%2C+Md%2E+Manjurul%22">Hussain, Md. Manjurul</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Atmospheric+Research%22">Atmospheric Research</searchLink>. Jul/Aug2016, Vol. 176, p148-158. 11p. – Name: Subject Label: Subjects Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Rainfall+anomalies%22">Rainfall anomalies</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Slopes+%28Physical+geography%29%22">Slopes (Physical geography)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Monsoons%22">Monsoons</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Trend+analysis%22">Trend analysis</searchLink> – Name: SubjectGeographic Label: Geographic Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Bangladesh%22">Bangladesh</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: The aim of the present study was to investigate 50 years (1964–2013) of seasonal and annual rainfall trends and their fluctuation over time in northern Bangladesh. After testing the autocorrelation, non-parametric Mann–Kendall test along with Sen Slope estimator was used to examine rainfall trends and their magnitudes. The sequential Mann–Kendall test was used to identify any fluctuations in the trends over time and to detect the possible points of change in the rainfall series. We found that pre-monsoon and post-monsoon rainfall is increasing in most of the rainfall stations. The only decrement in pre-monsoon rainfall was found for Ishurdi (1.28 mm/year). However, the sequential Mann–Kendall test detected decreasing pre-monsoon rainfall trend after early the 1990s. Monsoon rainfall showed a decreasing trend in the majority of the area studied. The maximum decrement in monsoon rainfall was found for Sylhet station (8.10 mm/year) and minimum in Mymensingh (1.53 mm/year). An upward monsoon rainfall trend was found for Rangpur (2.02 mm/year). Annual rainfall followed the monsoon rainfall trend. However, all of the positive and negative trends were found statistically non-significant at 95% confidence limit with the only exception for monsoon and annual rainfall at Rajshahi station. Rajshahi station was the only region where the monsoon and annual rainfall has a significant negative trend at 95% confidence limit. The sequential Mann–Kendall test detected several non-significant points of change for seasonal and annual rainfall at most of the stations. Periodic fluctuations were also detected. We observed that there were decreasing seasonal rainfall trend after early the 1990s for the majority of the stations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Atmospheric Research is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.02.008 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 11 StartPage: 148 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Rainfall anomalies Type: general – SubjectFull: Slopes (Physical geography) Type: general – SubjectFull: Monsoons Type: general – SubjectFull: Trend analysis Type: general – SubjectFull: Bangladesh Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Analysis of seasonal and annual rainfall trends in the northern region of Bangladesh. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Bari, Sheikh Hefzul – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Hoque, Muhammad Azizul – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Hussain, Md. Manjurul IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 07 Text: Jul/Aug2016 Type: published Y: 2016 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 01698095 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 176 Titles: – TitleFull: Atmospheric Research Type: main |
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