Model selection for discrete regular vine copulas.

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Title: Model selection for discrete regular vine copulas.
Authors: Panagiotelis, Anastasios1 anastasios.panagiotelis@monash.edu, Czado, Claudia2, Joe, Harry3, Stöber, Jakob4
Source: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. Feb2017, Vol. 106, p138-152. 15p.
Subjects: Copula functions, Discrete systems, High-dimensional model representation, Multivariate analysis, Probability theory, Marginal distributions
Abstract: Discrete vine copulas provide a flexible modeling framework for high-dimensional data and have significant computational advantages over competing methods. A vine-based multivariate probability mass function is constructed from bivariate copula building blocks and univariate marginal distributions. However, even for a moderate number of variables, the number of alternative vine decompositions is very large and additionally there is a large set of candidate bivariate copula families that can be used as building blocks in any given decomposition. Together, these two issues ensure that it is infeasible to evaluate all possible vine copula models. Instead, two greedy algorithms for automatically selecting vine structures and component pair-copula building blocks are introduced. The algorithms are tested in a simulation study that is itself driven by real world data from online retail. Both algorithms select vines that provide accurate estimates of the joint probabilities. Using three different f-divergences as criteria, the proposed algorithms outperform a Gaussian copula benchmark, especially for data with high dependence. Finally, the selection algorithm is applied to data from the General Social Survey and outperforms a Gaussian copula benchmark using both in-sample and out-of-sample criteria. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Computational Statistics & Data Analysis is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: Model selection for discrete regular vine copulas.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Computational+Statistics+%26+Data+Analysis%22">Computational Statistics & Data Analysis</searchLink>. Feb2017, Vol. 106, p138-152. 15p.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Copula+functions%22">Copula functions</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Discrete+systems%22">Discrete systems</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22High-dimensional+model+representation%22">High-dimensional model representation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Multivariate+analysis%22">Multivariate analysis</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Probability+theory%22">Probability theory</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Marginal+distributions%22">Marginal distributions</searchLink>
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  Data: Discrete vine copulas provide a flexible modeling framework for high-dimensional data and have significant computational advantages over competing methods. A vine-based multivariate probability mass function is constructed from bivariate copula building blocks and univariate marginal distributions. However, even for a moderate number of variables, the number of alternative vine decompositions is very large and additionally there is a large set of candidate bivariate copula families that can be used as building blocks in any given decomposition. Together, these two issues ensure that it is infeasible to evaluate all possible vine copula models. Instead, two greedy algorithms for automatically selecting vine structures and component pair-copula building blocks are introduced. The algorithms are tested in a simulation study that is itself driven by real world data from online retail. Both algorithms select vines that provide accurate estimates of the joint probabilities. Using three different f-divergences as criteria, the proposed algorithms outperform a Gaussian copula benchmark, especially for data with high dependence. Finally, the selection algorithm is applied to data from the General Social Survey and outperforms a Gaussian copula benchmark using both in-sample and out-of-sample criteria. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Computational Statistics & Data Analysis is the property of Elsevier B.V. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1016/j.csda.2016.09.007
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 15
        StartPage: 138
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Copula functions
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Discrete systems
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: High-dimensional model representation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Multivariate analysis
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Probability theory
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Marginal distributions
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Model selection for discrete regular vine copulas.
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            NameFull: Czado, Claudia
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            NameFull: Joe, Harry
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            NameFull: Stöber, Jakob
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              Text: Feb2017
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              Y: 2017
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              Value: 106
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