Parameter estimation of a susceptible–infected–recovered–dead computer worm model.

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Title: Parameter estimation of a susceptible–infected–recovered–dead computer worm model.
Authors: Deng, Yue1 (AUTHOR), Pei, Yongzhen2 (AUTHOR) peiyzh_team@sina.com, Li, Changguo3 (AUTHOR)
Source: Simulation. Mar2022, Vol. 98 Issue 3, p209-220. 12p.
Subjects: Computer worms, Parameter estimation, Kalman filtering, Markov chain Monte Carlo, Least squares, Computer simulation, Ordinary differential equations
Abstract: Computer worms are serious threats to Internet security and have caused billions of dollars of economic losses during the past decades. In this study, we implemented a susceptible–infected–recovered–dead (SIRD) model of computer worms and analyzed the characteristics and mechanisms of worm transmission. We applied the ordinary differential equation model to simulate the transmission process of computer worms and estimated the unknown parameters of the SIRD model through the methods of least squares, Markov chain Monte Carlo, and ensemble Kalman filtering (ENKF). The results reveal that the proposed SIRD model is more accurate than the susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered–susceptible model with respect to parameter estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Simulation is the property of Sage Publications, Ltd. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Engineering Source
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DbLabel: Engineering Source
An: 155083111
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  Data: Parameter estimation of a susceptible–infected–recovered–dead computer worm model.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Deng%2C+Yue%22">Deng, Yue</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pei%2C+Yongzhen%22">Pei, Yongzhen</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> peiyzh_team@sina.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Li%2C+Changguo%22">Li, Changguo</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Simulation%22">Simulation</searchLink>. Mar2022, Vol. 98 Issue 3, p209-220. 12p.
– Name: Subject
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Computer+worms%22">Computer worms</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Parameter+estimation%22">Parameter estimation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Kalman+filtering%22">Kalman filtering</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Markov+chain+Monte+Carlo%22">Markov chain Monte Carlo</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Least+squares%22">Least squares</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Computer+simulation%22">Computer simulation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Ordinary+differential+equations%22">Ordinary differential equations</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Computer worms are serious threats to Internet security and have caused billions of dollars of economic losses during the past decades. In this study, we implemented a susceptible–infected–recovered–dead (SIRD) model of computer worms and analyzed the characteristics and mechanisms of worm transmission. We applied the ordinary differential equation model to simulate the transmission process of computer worms and estimated the unknown parameters of the SIRD model through the methods of least squares, Markov chain Monte Carlo, and ensemble Kalman filtering (ENKF). The results reveal that the proposed SIRD model is more accurate than the susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered–susceptible model with respect to parameter estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Simulation is the property of Sage Publications, Ltd. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1177/00375497211009576
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 12
        StartPage: 209
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Computer worms
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Parameter estimation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Kalman filtering
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Markov chain Monte Carlo
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Least squares
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Computer simulation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Ordinary differential equations
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Parameter estimation of a susceptible–infected–recovered–dead computer worm model.
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            NameFull: Deng, Yue
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            NameFull: Pei, Yongzhen
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            NameFull: Li, Changguo
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            – D: 01
              M: 03
              Text: Mar2022
              Type: published
              Y: 2022
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              Value: 98
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            – TitleFull: Simulation
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