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Utility of pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning models for outcome prediction in classical Hodgkin lymphoma.

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Title: Utility of pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning models for outcome prediction in classical Hodgkin lymphoma.
Authors: Frood, Russell1,2,3 russellfrood@nhs.net, Clark, Matt2, Burton, Cathy4, Tsoumpas, Charalampos5,6, Frangi, Alejandro F.6,7,8, Gleeson, Fergus9, Patel, Chirag1,2, Scarsbrook, Andrew1,2,3
Source: European Radiology. Oct2022, Vol. 32 Issue 10, p7237-7247. 11p. 1 Color Photograph, 5 Charts, 4 Graphs.
Abstract: Objectives: Relapse occurs in ~20% of patients with classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) despite treatment adaption based on 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography response. The objective was to evaluate pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning (ML) models for predicting outcome in patients with cHL.Methods: All cHL patients undergoing pre-treatment PET/CT at our institution between 2008 and 2018 were retrospectively identified. A 1.5 × mean liver standardised uptake value (SUV) and a fixed 4.0 SUV threshold were used to segment PET/CT data. Feature extraction was performed using PyRadiomics with ComBat harmonisation. Training (80%) and test (20%) cohorts stratified around 2-year event-free survival (EFS), age, sex, ethnicity and disease stage were defined. Seven ML models were trained and hyperparameters tuned using stratified 5-fold cross-validation. Area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operator characteristic analysis was used to assess performance.Results: A total of 289 patients (153 males), median age 36 (range 16-88 years), were included. There was no significant difference between training (n = 231) and test cohorts (n = 58) (p value > 0.05). A ridge regression model using a 1.5 × mean liver SUV segmentation had the highest performance, with mean training, validation and test AUCs of 0.82 ± 0.002, 0.79 ± 0.01 and 0.81 ± 0.12. However, there was no significant difference between a logistic model derived from metabolic tumour volume and clinical features or the highest performing radiomic model.Conclusions: Outcome prediction using pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived ML models is feasible in cHL patients. Further work is needed to determine optimum predictive thresholds for clinical use.Key Points: • A fixed threshold segmentation method led to more robust radiomic features. • A radiomic-based model for predicting 2-year event-free survival in classical Hodgkin lymphoma patients is feasible. • A predictive model based on ridge regression was the best performing model on our dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Abstract:<bold>Objectives: </bold>Relapse occurs in ~20% of patients with classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) despite treatment adaption based on 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography response. The objective was to evaluate pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived machine learning (ML) models for predicting outcome in patients with cHL.<bold>Methods: </bold>All cHL patients undergoing pre-treatment PET/CT at our institution between 2008 and 2018 were retrospectively identified. A 1.5 × mean liver standardised uptake value (SUV) and a fixed 4.0 SUV threshold were used to segment PET/CT data. Feature extraction was performed using PyRadiomics with ComBat harmonisation. Training (80%) and test (20%) cohorts stratified around 2-year event-free survival (EFS), age, sex, ethnicity and disease stage were defined. Seven ML models were trained and hyperparameters tuned using stratified 5-fold cross-validation. Area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operator characteristic analysis was used to assess performance.<bold>Results: </bold>A total of 289 patients (153 males), median age 36 (range 16-88 years), were included. There was no significant difference between training (n = 231) and test cohorts (n = 58) (p value > 0.05). A ridge regression model using a 1.5 × mean liver SUV segmentation had the highest performance, with mean training, validation and test AUCs of 0.82 ± 0.002, 0.79 ± 0.01 and 0.81 ± 0.12. However, there was no significant difference between a logistic model derived from metabolic tumour volume and clinical features or the highest performing radiomic model.<bold>Conclusions: </bold>Outcome prediction using pre-treatment FDG PET/CT-derived ML models is feasible in cHL patients. Further work is needed to determine optimum predictive thresholds for clinical use.<bold>Key Points: </bold>• A fixed threshold segmentation method led to more robust radiomic features. • A radiomic-based model for predicting 2-year event-free survival in classical Hodgkin lymphoma patients is feasible. • A predictive model based on ridge regression was the best performing model on our dataset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:09387994
DOI:10.1007/s00330-022-09039-0