Economic aspects of the detection of new strains in a multi-strain epidemiological–mathematical model.
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| Title: | Economic aspects of the detection of new strains in a multi-strain epidemiological–mathematical model. |
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| Authors: | Shami, Labib1 (AUTHOR) labibs@wgalil.ac.il, Lazebnik, Teddy1,2 (AUTHOR) |
| Source: | Chaos, Solitons & Fractals. Dec2022:Part 2, Vol. 165, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p. |
| Subjects: | Machine learning, Statistical sampling, Human beings, Pandemics, Genetic algorithms |
| Abstract: | Mankind has struggled with pathogens throughout history. In this context, the contribution of vaccines to the continued economic and social prosperity of humanity is enormous, but it is constantly threatened by the development of vaccine-resistant strains of the pathogen. In this study, we investigate the usage of genomic sequencing tests to detect new strains of a pathogen in a multi-strain pandemic scenario using a mathematical–epidemiological–genomic–economic model. Our model provides a theoretical framework to explore the influence of an extensive number of pharmaceutical interventions in a dynamic multi-strain pandemic. Specifically, we show that while a genomic sequence testing policy can be both economically and epidemiologically efficient, a random sample of the population provides sub-optimal results. Moreover, we demonstrate that the optimal policy is sensitive to the social and economic settings of the population, and provide a machine learning based model that offers a solution to these challenges. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Chaos, Solitons & Fractals is the property of Pergamon Press - An Imprint of Elsevier Science and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | Engineering Source |
| FullText | Text: Availability: 0 |
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| Header | DbId: egs DbLabel: Engineering Source An: 160439709 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Periodical PubTypeId: serialPeriodical PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Economic aspects of the detection of new strains in a multi-strain epidemiological–mathematical model. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Shami%2C+Labib%22">Shami, Labib</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> labibs@wgalil.ac.il</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Lazebnik%2C+Teddy%22">Lazebnik, Teddy</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR) – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Chaos%2C+Solitons+%26+Fractals%22">Chaos, Solitons & Fractals</searchLink>. Dec2022:Part 2, Vol. 165, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p. – Name: Subject Label: Subjects Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Machine+learning%22">Machine learning</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Statistical+sampling%22">Statistical sampling</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Human+beings%22">Human beings</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Pandemics%22">Pandemics</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Genetic+algorithms%22">Genetic algorithms</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: Mankind has struggled with pathogens throughout history. In this context, the contribution of vaccines to the continued economic and social prosperity of humanity is enormous, but it is constantly threatened by the development of vaccine-resistant strains of the pathogen. In this study, we investigate the usage of genomic sequencing tests to detect new strains of a pathogen in a multi-strain pandemic scenario using a mathematical–epidemiological–genomic–economic model. Our model provides a theoretical framework to explore the influence of an extensive number of pharmaceutical interventions in a dynamic multi-strain pandemic. Specifically, we show that while a genomic sequence testing policy can be both economically and epidemiologically efficient, a random sample of the population provides sub-optimal results. Moreover, we demonstrate that the optimal policy is sensitive to the social and economic settings of the population, and provide a machine learning based model that offers a solution to these challenges. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Chaos, Solitons & Fractals is the property of Pergamon Press - An Imprint of Elsevier Science and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112823 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 1 StartPage: N.PAG Subjects: – SubjectFull: Machine learning Type: general – SubjectFull: Statistical sampling Type: general – SubjectFull: Human beings Type: general – SubjectFull: Pandemics Type: general – SubjectFull: Genetic algorithms Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Economic aspects of the detection of new strains in a multi-strain epidemiological–mathematical model. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Shami, Labib – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Lazebnik, Teddy IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 10 M: 12 Text: Dec2022:Part 2 Type: published Y: 2022 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 09600779 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 165 Titles: – TitleFull: Chaos, Solitons & Fractals Type: main |
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