Sparse modeling for climate variable selection across trophic levels.

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Title: Sparse modeling for climate variable selection across trophic levels.
Authors: Grames, Eliza M.1,2 egrames@binghamton.edu, Forister, Matthew L.1
Source: Ecology. Mar2024, Vol. 105 Issue 3, p1-10. 10p.
Subjects: Food chains, Atmospheric models, Conservation biology, Plant populations, Biological fitness, Bird populations, Plant phenology
Abstract: Understanding how populations respond to climate is fundamentally important to many questions in ecology, evolution, and conservation biology. Climate is complex and multifaceted, with aspects affecting populations in different and sometimes unexpected ways. Thus, when measuring the changing climate it is important to consider the complexity of the phenomenon and the number of ways it can be characterized through different metrics. We used a Bayesian sparse modeling approach to select among 80 metrics of climate and applied the approach to 19 datasets of bird, insect, and plant population responses to abiotic conditions as case studies of how the method can be applied for climate variable selection in a time series context. For phenological datasets, mean spring temperature was frequently selected as an important climate driver, while selected predictors were more diverse for population metrics such as abundance or reproductive success. The climate variable selection approach presented here can help to identify potential climate metrics when there is limited physiological or mechanistic information to make an a priori variable selection, and is broadly applicable across studies on population responses to climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Ecology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: Sparse modeling for climate variable selection across trophic levels.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Grames%2C+Eliza+M%2E%22">Grames, Eliza M.</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo><i> egrames@binghamton.edu</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Forister%2C+Matthew+L%2E%22">Forister, Matthew L.</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Ecology%22">Ecology</searchLink>. Mar2024, Vol. 105 Issue 3, p1-10. 10p.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Food+chains%22">Food chains</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Atmospheric+models%22">Atmospheric models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Conservation+biology%22">Conservation biology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Plant+populations%22">Plant populations</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Biological+fitness%22">Biological fitness</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Bird+populations%22">Bird populations</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Plant+phenology%22">Plant phenology</searchLink>
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  Data: Understanding how populations respond to climate is fundamentally important to many questions in ecology, evolution, and conservation biology. Climate is complex and multifaceted, with aspects affecting populations in different and sometimes unexpected ways. Thus, when measuring the changing climate it is important to consider the complexity of the phenomenon and the number of ways it can be characterized through different metrics. We used a Bayesian sparse modeling approach to select among 80 metrics of climate and applied the approach to 19 datasets of bird, insect, and plant population responses to abiotic conditions as case studies of how the method can be applied for climate variable selection in a time series context. For phenological datasets, mean spring temperature was frequently selected as an important climate driver, while selected predictors were more diverse for population metrics such as abundance or reproductive success. The climate variable selection approach presented here can help to identify potential climate metrics when there is limited physiological or mechanistic information to make an a priori variable selection, and is broadly applicable across studies on population responses to climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Ecology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1002/ecy.4231
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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        PageCount: 10
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    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Food chains
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Atmospheric models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Conservation biology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Plant populations
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Biological fitness
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Bird populations
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Plant phenology
        Type: general
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      – TitleFull: Sparse modeling for climate variable selection across trophic levels.
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              Text: Mar2024
              Type: published
              Y: 2024
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