Statistical Approach to Research on the Relationship Between Kp/Dst Geomagnetic Indices and Total GPS Position Error.

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Title: Statistical Approach to Research on the Relationship Between Kp/Dst Geomagnetic Indices and Total GPS Position Error.
Authors: Bakota, Mario1 (AUTHOR), Jelaska, Igor2 (AUTHOR), Kos, Serdjo3 (AUTHOR), Brčić, David1,3 (AUTHOR) david.brcic@pfri.uniri.hr
Source: Remote Sensing. Jul2025, Vol. 17 Issue 14, p2374. 22p.
Subjects: Geomagnetic variations, Satellite positioning, Wireless geolocation systems, Spatiotemporal processes, Solar-terrestrial physics, Statistics, Measurement errors
Abstract: This study examines the impact of geomagnetic disturbances quantified by the Kp and Dst indices on the accuracy of single-frequency GPS positioning across mid-latitudes and the equatorial zone, with a focus on temporal and spatial positioning errors variability. GNSS data from a globally distributed network of 14 IGS stations were analyzed for September 2017, featuring significant geomagnetic activity. The selection of stations encompassed equatorial and mid-latitude regions (approximately ±45°), strategically aligned with the distribution of the Dst index during geomagnetic storms. Satellite navigation data were processed using RTKLIB software in standalone mode with standardized atmospheric and orbital corrections. The GPS was chosen over GLONASS following preliminary testing, which revealed a higher sensitivity of GPS positional accuracy to variations in geomagnetic indices such as Kp and Dst, despite generally lower total error magnitudes. The ECEF coordinate system calculates the total GPS error as the vector sum of deviations in the X, Y, and Z axes. Statistical evaluation was performed using One-Way Repeated Measures ANOVA to determine whether positional error variances across geomagnetic activity phases were significant. The results of the variance analysis confirm that the variation in the total GPS positioning error is non-random and can be attributed to the influence of geomagnetic storms. However, regression analysis reveals that the impact of geomagnetic storms (quantified by Kp and Dst) displays spatiotemporal variability, with no consistent correlation to GPS positioning error dynamics. The findings, as well as the developed methodology, have qualitative implications for GNSS-dependent operations in sensitive sectors such as navigation, timing services, and geospatial monitoring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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Abstract:This study examines the impact of geomagnetic disturbances quantified by the Kp and Dst indices on the accuracy of single-frequency GPS positioning across mid-latitudes and the equatorial zone, with a focus on temporal and spatial positioning errors variability. GNSS data from a globally distributed network of 14 IGS stations were analyzed for September 2017, featuring significant geomagnetic activity. The selection of stations encompassed equatorial and mid-latitude regions (approximately ±45°), strategically aligned with the distribution of the Dst index during geomagnetic storms. Satellite navigation data were processed using RTKLIB software in standalone mode with standardized atmospheric and orbital corrections. The GPS was chosen over GLONASS following preliminary testing, which revealed a higher sensitivity of GPS positional accuracy to variations in geomagnetic indices such as Kp and Dst, despite generally lower total error magnitudes. The ECEF coordinate system calculates the total GPS error as the vector sum of deviations in the X, Y, and Z axes. Statistical evaluation was performed using One-Way Repeated Measures ANOVA to determine whether positional error variances across geomagnetic activity phases were significant. The results of the variance analysis confirm that the variation in the total GPS positioning error is non-random and can be attributed to the influence of geomagnetic storms. However, regression analysis reveals that the impact of geomagnetic storms (quantified by Kp and Dst) displays spatiotemporal variability, with no consistent correlation to GPS positioning error dynamics. The findings, as well as the developed methodology, have qualitative implications for GNSS-dependent operations in sensitive sectors such as navigation, timing services, and geospatial monitoring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
ISSN:20724292
DOI:10.3390/rs17142374