Heating load prediction in buildings using decision tree machine learning method.

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Title: Heating load prediction in buildings using decision tree machine learning method.
Authors: Yan, Huiming1 (AUTHOR), Yan, Zilin1 (AUTHOR) yan03352023@163.com, Wang, Weiling1 (AUTHOR), Liu, Shuyue1 (AUTHOR)
Source: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems. Aug2025, Vol. 49 Issue 2, p540-552. 13p.
Subjects: Heating load, Optimization algorithms, Machine learning, Decision trees, Air conditioning efficiency, Building operation management, Metaheuristic algorithms, Energy consumption
Abstract: In recent years, the burgeoning imperative of energy-efficient building management practices has surged dramatically, underscoring an urgent mandate for comprehensive studies that integrate cutting-edge optimization algorithms with precise heating load forecasting techniques. These studies are not merely endeavors; they represent concerted efforts to increase building energy efficiency and address mounting concerns regarding sustainability and resource utilization. In the intricate domain of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, energy optimization challenges are being meticulously confronted through rigorous exploration and the application of innovative problem-solving methodologies. This pioneering study introduces groundbreaking methodologies by seamlessly integrating two state-of-the-art optimization algorithms— the Red Fox Optimization and the Golden Eagle Optimizer— with the Decision Tree model. This fusion is aimed at enhancing the accuracy of heating load predictions and streamlining HVAC system optimization processes, marking a significant leap toward achieving heightened energy efficiency and operational efficacy in building management practices. The study emphasizes the significance of precise heating load prediction in advancing energy efficiency, realizing cost savings, and fostering environmental sustainability in building management. Furthermore, it delves into the multifaceted impact of various building features on heating load, encompassing variables such as glazing area, orientation, height, relative compactness, roof area, surface area, and wall area. These insights furnish actionable intelligence for refined decision-making processes in both building design and operation. Based on the results, the DT single model experienced the weakest performance among the three models, with R 2 = 0.975 and RMSE = 1.608. The model DTFO (DT + FOX) achieves an extraordinary R 2 value of 0.996 and RMSE value of 0.961 for heating load prediction, surpassing the performance benchmarks set by other models. This achievement holds considerable promise for aiding engineers in crafting energy-efficient buildings, particularly within the swiftly evolving landscape of smart home technologies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems is the property of Sage Publications Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: Heating load prediction in buildings using decision tree machine learning method.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yan%2C+Huiming%22">Yan, Huiming</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yan%2C+Zilin%22">Yan, Zilin</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> yan03352023@163.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Wang%2C+Weiling%22">Wang, Weiling</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Liu%2C+Shuyue%22">Liu, Shuyue</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Journal+of+Intelligent+%26+Fuzzy+Systems%22">Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems</searchLink>. Aug2025, Vol. 49 Issue 2, p540-552. 13p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subjects
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Heating+load%22">Heating load</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Optimization+algorithms%22">Optimization algorithms</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Machine+learning%22">Machine learning</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Decision+trees%22">Decision trees</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Air+conditioning+efficiency%22">Air conditioning efficiency</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Building+operation+management%22">Building operation management</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Metaheuristic+algorithms%22">Metaheuristic algorithms</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Energy+consumption%22">Energy consumption</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: In recent years, the burgeoning imperative of energy-efficient building management practices has surged dramatically, underscoring an urgent mandate for comprehensive studies that integrate cutting-edge optimization algorithms with precise heating load forecasting techniques. These studies are not merely endeavors; they represent concerted efforts to increase building energy efficiency and address mounting concerns regarding sustainability and resource utilization. In the intricate domain of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, energy optimization challenges are being meticulously confronted through rigorous exploration and the application of innovative problem-solving methodologies. This pioneering study introduces groundbreaking methodologies by seamlessly integrating two state-of-the-art optimization algorithms— the Red Fox Optimization and the Golden Eagle Optimizer— with the Decision Tree model. This fusion is aimed at enhancing the accuracy of heating load predictions and streamlining HVAC system optimization processes, marking a significant leap toward achieving heightened energy efficiency and operational efficacy in building management practices. The study emphasizes the significance of precise heating load prediction in advancing energy efficiency, realizing cost savings, and fostering environmental sustainability in building management. Furthermore, it delves into the multifaceted impact of various building features on heating load, encompassing variables such as glazing area, orientation, height, relative compactness, roof area, surface area, and wall area. These insights furnish actionable intelligence for refined decision-making processes in both building design and operation. Based on the results, the DT single model experienced the weakest performance among the three models, with R 2 = 0.975 and RMSE = 1.608. The model DTFO (DT + FOX) achieves an extraordinary R 2 value of 0.996 and RMSE value of 0.961 for heating load prediction, surpassing the performance benchmarks set by other models. This achievement holds considerable promise for aiding engineers in crafting energy-efficient buildings, particularly within the swiftly evolving landscape of smart home technologies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems is the property of Sage Publications Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.3233/JIFS-240283
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 13
        StartPage: 540
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Heating load
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Optimization algorithms
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Machine learning
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Decision trees
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Air conditioning efficiency
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Building operation management
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Metaheuristic algorithms
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Energy consumption
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Heating load prediction in buildings using decision tree machine learning method.
        Type: main
  BibRelationships:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Yan, Huiming
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Yan, Zilin
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wang, Weiling
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Liu, Shuyue
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 08
              Text: Aug2025
              Type: published
              Y: 2025
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              Value: 10641246
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              Value: 49
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              Value: 2
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems
              Type: main
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