Regional-scale quasi-periodic and random fluctuations of projected offshore wind energy in East Asia.
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| Title: | Regional-scale quasi-periodic and random fluctuations of projected offshore wind energy in East Asia. |
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| Authors: | Chen, Jiahao1 (AUTHOR), Nie, Bingchuan1 (AUTHOR) bcnie@bjtu.edu.cn, Yan, Chao2 (AUTHOR) |
| Source: | Wind Engineering. Jun2026, Vol. 50 Issue 3, p583-601. 19p. |
| Subjects: | Wind power, East Asians, Climate change, Atmospheric circulation, Oscillations, Renewable energy sources, Offshore wind power plants, Atmospheric models |
| Geographic Terms: | East Asia, China |
| Abstract: | Developing offshore wind energy is an effective measure to mitigate the impact of human activities on climate change, in turn, offshore wind resources may be altered by climate change. This study investigates fluctuations of future offshore wind power density (WPD) in East Asia under typical emission scenarios. The spatial modes of WPD with random and quasi-periodic fluctuations are discussed using the regional windspeed dataset from 2010 to 2099. It shows that WPD would decrease amplitude and increase fluctuation intensity simultaneously. The amplitude of the highest energetic mode M1 with random fluctuation would decrease by 2.5% and the standard deviation of fluctuation intensity would increase by 13.5%. The spatial pattern of the annual fluctuating mode M2 reveals an opposite fluctuation phase between the regions located north and south of 30° N, which is likely relevant to the large-scale atmospheric circulations. This suggests that offshore wind farm placements should be evenly distributed on both sides to mitigate the overall fluctuation in offshore wind power from the perspective of the entire nation of China. A novel fluctuation index serving as an indicator to consider the impact of regular periodic fluctuations of wind power density is further proposed. The distribution of the fluctuation index indicates that, under the high emission scenario Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5, the high-fluctuation region expands, whereas the low-fluctuation region contracts, compared to the low-emission scenario RCP 2.6. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Wind Engineering is the property of Sage Publications Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | Engineering Source |
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| Header | DbId: egs DbLabel: Engineering Source An: 194489428 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Regional-scale quasi-periodic and random fluctuations of projected offshore wind energy in East Asia. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Chen%2C+Jiahao%22">Chen, Jiahao</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Nie%2C+Bingchuan%22">Nie, Bingchuan</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> bcnie@bjtu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yan%2C+Chao%22">Yan, Chao</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR) – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Wind+Engineering%22">Wind Engineering</searchLink>. Jun2026, Vol. 50 Issue 3, p583-601. 19p. – Name: Subject Label: Subjects Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Wind+power%22">Wind power</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22East+Asians%22">East Asians</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change%22">Climate change</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Atmospheric+circulation%22">Atmospheric circulation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Oscillations%22">Oscillations</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Renewable+energy+sources%22">Renewable energy sources</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Offshore+wind+power+plants%22">Offshore wind power plants</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Atmospheric+models%22">Atmospheric models</searchLink> – Name: SubjectGeographic Label: Geographic Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22East+Asia%22">East Asia</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22China%22">China</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: Developing offshore wind energy is an effective measure to mitigate the impact of human activities on climate change, in turn, offshore wind resources may be altered by climate change. This study investigates fluctuations of future offshore wind power density (WPD) in East Asia under typical emission scenarios. The spatial modes of WPD with random and quasi-periodic fluctuations are discussed using the regional windspeed dataset from 2010 to 2099. It shows that WPD would decrease amplitude and increase fluctuation intensity simultaneously. The amplitude of the highest energetic mode M1 with random fluctuation would decrease by 2.5% and the standard deviation of fluctuation intensity would increase by 13.5%. The spatial pattern of the annual fluctuating mode M2 reveals an opposite fluctuation phase between the regions located north and south of 30° N, which is likely relevant to the large-scale atmospheric circulations. This suggests that offshore wind farm placements should be evenly distributed on both sides to mitigate the overall fluctuation in offshore wind power from the perspective of the entire nation of China. A novel fluctuation index serving as an indicator to consider the impact of regular periodic fluctuations of wind power density is further proposed. The distribution of the fluctuation index indicates that, under the high emission scenario Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5, the high-fluctuation region expands, whereas the low-fluctuation region contracts, compared to the low-emission scenario RCP 2.6. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Wind Engineering is the property of Sage Publications Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1177/0309524X251391726 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 19 StartPage: 583 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Wind power Type: general – SubjectFull: East Asians Type: general – SubjectFull: Climate change Type: general – SubjectFull: Atmospheric circulation Type: general – SubjectFull: Oscillations Type: general – SubjectFull: Renewable energy sources Type: general – SubjectFull: Offshore wind power plants Type: general – SubjectFull: Atmospheric models Type: general – SubjectFull: East Asia Type: general – SubjectFull: China Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Regional-scale quasi-periodic and random fluctuations of projected offshore wind energy in East Asia. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Chen, Jiahao – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Nie, Bingchuan – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Yan, Chao IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 06 Text: Jun2026 Type: published Y: 2026 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 0309524X Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 50 – Type: issue Value: 3 Titles: – TitleFull: Wind Engineering Type: main |
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