ACCESS-TC: Vortex Specification, 4DVAR Initialization, Verification, and Structure Diagnostics.

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Title: ACCESS-TC: Vortex Specification, 4DVAR Initialization, Verification, and Structure Diagnostics.
Authors: Davidson, Noel E., Xiao, Yi, Ma, Yimin, Weber, Harry C., Sun, Xudong, Rikus, Lawrie J., Kepert, Jeff D., Steinle, Peter X., Dietachmayer, Gary S., Lok, Charlie C. F., Fraser, James, Fernon, Joan, Shaik, Hakeem
Source: Monthly Weather Review. Mar2014, Vol. 142 Issue 3, p1265-1289. 25p. 4 Charts, 13 Graphs, 3 Maps.
Subjects: Tropical cyclones, Computer simulation of weather forecasting, Rainfall simulators, Meteorology, Tropical storms
Geographic Terms: Australia
Abstract: The Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) has been adapted for operational and research applications on tropical cyclones. The base system runs at a resolution of 0.11° and 50 levels. The domain is relocatable and nested in coarser-resolution ACCESS forecasts. Initialization consists of five cycles of four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) over 24 h. Forecasts to 72 h are made. Without vortex specification, initial conditions usually contain a weak and misplaced circulation pattern. Significant effort has been devoted to building physically based, synthetic inner-core structures, validated using historical dropsonde data and surface analyses from the Atlantic. Based on estimates of central pressure and storm size, vortex specification is used to filter the analyzed circulation from the original analysis, construct an inner core of the storm, locate it to the observed position, and merge it with the large-scale analysis at outer radii. Using all available conventional observations and only synthetic surface pressure observations from the idealized vortex to correct the initial location and structure of the storm, the 4DVAR builds a balanced, intense 3D vortex with maximum wind at the radius of maximum wind and with a well-developed secondary circulation. Mean track and intensity errors for Australian region and northwest Pacific storms have been encouraging, as are recent real-time results from the Australian National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre. The system became fully operational in November 2011. From preliminary diagnostics, some interesting structure change features are illustrated. Current limitations, future enhancements, and research applications are also discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Monthly Weather Review is the property of American Meteorological Society and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: ACCESS-TC: Vortex Specification, 4DVAR Initialization, Verification, and Structure Diagnostics.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Davidson%2C+Noel+E%2E%22">Davidson, Noel E.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Xiao%2C+Yi%22">Xiao, Yi</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Ma%2C+Yimin%22">Ma, Yimin</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Weber%2C+Harry+C%2E%22">Weber, Harry C.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Sun%2C+Xudong%22">Sun, Xudong</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Rikus%2C+Lawrie+J%2E%22">Rikus, Lawrie J.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Kepert%2C+Jeff+D%2E%22">Kepert, Jeff D.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Steinle%2C+Peter+X%2E%22">Steinle, Peter X.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Dietachmayer%2C+Gary+S%2E%22">Dietachmayer, Gary S.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Lok%2C+Charlie+C%2E+F%2E%22">Lok, Charlie C. F.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Fraser%2C+James%22">Fraser, James</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Fernon%2C+Joan%22">Fernon, Joan</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Shaik%2C+Hakeem%22">Shaik, Hakeem</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Monthly+Weather+Review%22">Monthly Weather Review</searchLink>. Mar2014, Vol. 142 Issue 3, p1265-1289. 25p. 4 Charts, 13 Graphs, 3 Maps.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Tropical+cyclones%22">Tropical cyclones</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Computer+simulation+of+weather+forecasting%22">Computer simulation of weather forecasting</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Rainfall+simulators%22">Rainfall simulators</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Meteorology%22">Meteorology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Tropical+storms%22">Tropical storms</searchLink>
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  Data: The Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) has been adapted for operational and research applications on tropical cyclones. The base system runs at a resolution of 0.11° and 50 levels. The domain is relocatable and nested in coarser-resolution ACCESS forecasts. Initialization consists of five cycles of four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) over 24 h. Forecasts to 72 h are made. Without vortex specification, initial conditions usually contain a weak and misplaced circulation pattern. Significant effort has been devoted to building physically based, synthetic inner-core structures, validated using historical dropsonde data and surface analyses from the Atlantic. Based on estimates of central pressure and storm size, vortex specification is used to filter the analyzed circulation from the original analysis, construct an inner core of the storm, locate it to the observed position, and merge it with the large-scale analysis at outer radii. Using all available conventional observations and only synthetic surface pressure observations from the idealized vortex to correct the initial location and structure of the storm, the 4DVAR builds a balanced, intense 3D vortex with maximum wind at the radius of maximum wind and with a well-developed secondary circulation. Mean track and intensity errors for Australian region and northwest Pacific storms have been encouraging, as are recent real-time results from the Australian National Meteorological and Oceanographic Centre. The system became fully operational in November 2011. From preliminary diagnostics, some interesting structure change features are illustrated. Current limitations, future enhancements, and research applications are also discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Monthly Weather Review is the property of American Meteorological Society and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00062.1
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        Text: English
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        PageCount: 25
        StartPage: 1265
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Tropical cyclones
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Computer simulation of weather forecasting
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Rainfall simulators
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      – SubjectFull: Meteorology
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      – SubjectFull: Tropical storms
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      – SubjectFull: Australia
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      – TitleFull: ACCESS-TC: Vortex Specification, 4DVAR Initialization, Verification, and Structure Diagnostics.
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              Text: Mar2014
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