Mathematical Models of Guinea Worm Disease Eradication: A Review.
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| Title: | Mathematical Models of Guinea Worm Disease Eradication: A Review. |
|---|---|
| Authors: | Gonzalez Engelhard, Cesar A.1, Spears, Paul K.2, Hodgkins, Allison P.3, Rychtář, Jan4 rychtarj@vcu.edu, Pearl, Essence E.5, Taylor, Dewey4 |
| Source: | UMAP Journal. 2023, Vol. 44 Issue 1, p39-62. 24p. |
| Subject Terms: | Disease eradication, Mathematical models, Neglected diseases, Worms, Helminths |
| Abstract: | Guinea-worm disease (GWD) is a neglected tropical disease (NTD) caused by the parasitic worm Dracunculus medinensis. In 1988, the Carter Center launched the campaign to eradicate the disease. The global campaign has been very successful, bringing the world-wide number of GWD cases down from 3.5 million in 1986 to low double digits in 2015 and thereafter. However, GWD now shows a peculiar pattern and is resurfacing again: not in humans, but mostly in dogs and other animals. Moreover, despite the fact that mathematical modeling is a standard and indispensable tool for NTDs elimination efforts, there are fewer than ten models of GWD. In this paper, we review most of those models and illustrate their basic assumptions and modeling techniques. We demonstrate that as the understanding of the Guinea worm biology evolved, so did the mathematical models. We also point out to what is still missing in all of these GWD models and discuss potential future research directions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of UMAP Journal is the property of COMAP Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | Education Research Complete |
| FullText | Links: – Type: pdflink Text: Availability: 0 |
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| Header | DbId: ehh DbLabel: Education Research Complete An: 170799240 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Mathematical Models of Guinea Worm Disease Eradication: A Review. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gonzalez+Engelhard%2C+Cesar+A%2E%22">Gonzalez Engelhard, Cesar A.</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Spears%2C+Paul+K%2E%22">Spears, Paul K.</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hodgkins%2C+Allison+P%2E%22">Hodgkins, Allison P.</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Rychtář%2C+Jan%22">Rychtář, Jan</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo><i> rychtarj@vcu.edu</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pearl%2C+Essence+E%2E%22">Pearl, Essence E.</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Taylor%2C+Dewey%22">Taylor, Dewey</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22UMAP+Journal%22">UMAP Journal</searchLink>. 2023, Vol. 44 Issue 1, p39-62. 24p. – Name: Subject Label: Subject Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Disease+eradication%22">Disease eradication</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Mathematical+models%22">Mathematical models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Neglected+diseases%22">Neglected diseases</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Worms%22">Worms</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Helminths%22">Helminths</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: Guinea-worm disease (GWD) is a neglected tropical disease (NTD) caused by the parasitic worm Dracunculus medinensis. In 1988, the Carter Center launched the campaign to eradicate the disease. The global campaign has been very successful, bringing the world-wide number of GWD cases down from 3.5 million in 1986 to low double digits in 2015 and thereafter. However, GWD now shows a peculiar pattern and is resurfacing again: not in humans, but mostly in dogs and other animals. Moreover, despite the fact that mathematical modeling is a standard and indispensable tool for NTDs elimination efforts, there are fewer than ten models of GWD. In this paper, we review most of those models and illustrate their basic assumptions and modeling techniques. We demonstrate that as the understanding of the Guinea worm biology evolved, so did the mathematical models. We also point out to what is still missing in all of these GWD models and discuss potential future research directions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of UMAP Journal is the property of COMAP Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 24 StartPage: 39 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Disease eradication Type: general – SubjectFull: Mathematical models Type: general – SubjectFull: Neglected diseases Type: general – SubjectFull: Worms Type: general – SubjectFull: Helminths Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Mathematical Models of Guinea Worm Disease Eradication: A Review. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Gonzalez Engelhard, Cesar A. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Spears, Paul K. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Hodgkins, Allison P. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Rychtář, Jan – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Pearl, Essence E. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Taylor, Dewey IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 03 Text: 2023 Type: published Y: 2023 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 01973622 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 44 – Type: issue Value: 1 Titles: – TitleFull: UMAP Journal Type: main |
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