Evaluation of AI-based seasonal weather ensembles as input for fluvial flood risk estimation: a case study over the Elbe basin. - Ashcroft, John; Poulston, Alison; Koch, Marius; Ertl, Georg; Brown, Kirsty; Butler, James; Hammond, Anthony; Jordan, Owen; Warren, Sarah; Lamb, Rob; Young, Paul J.; Wood, David (Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences, 2026)