Vulnerability of barley yields in Québec.
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| Title: | Vulnerability of barley yields in Québec. |
|---|---|
| Authors: | Epule Epule, Terence1 (AUTHOR) terenceepule.epule@uqat.ca, Poirier, Vincent1 (AUTHOR), Peng, Changhui2 (AUTHOR), Etongo, Daniel3,4 (AUTHOR) |
| Source: | Environmental Monitoring & Assessment. Sep2024, Vol. 196 Issue 9, p1-16. 16p. |
| Subject Terms: | *Growing season, *Downloading, *Cropping systems, *Maple syrup, *Advisory boards |
| Geographic Terms: | Québec (Québec) |
| Abstract: | Climate projections across Québec indicate increased water stress and recurrent vulnerability of cropping systems. In recent years, reports of droughts and water stress have been recorded across the province. Many parts of Québec have experienced droughts in the past few years, which have had uninvestigated impacts on crops. These droughts have been described as some of the most significant in the last 80 years. On the positive side, climate change is likely to trigger shorter winters and therefore longer growing seasons for several crops. However, for crops like maple syrup, the regions suitable for their cultivation will shift northwards. Despite these projections, studies monitoring the susceptibility of barley to environmental changes, climate variability, and adaptive capacity across Québec are still limited. This study aims to provide a provincial-scale portrait of vulnerability of barley in Québec based on historical growing season precipitation, barley yield, and socioeconomic data (literacy and poverty rates) using a composite statistical model. Growing season precipitation data were downloaded from Ouranos. Barley yield data were collected from the Institut de la Statistique du Québec, and the socio-demographic data were collected from the Advisory Council of Poverty and the Institut de la Statistique du Québec. A vulnerability index with sub-indices (sensitivity, exposure, and adaptive capacity) is deployed. It is hypothesised that (1) vulnerability is inversely associated with adaptive capacity, and (2) the peripheral regions of Québec are more vulnerable and less adaptive to climate stressors. Initial results show that when the vulnerability index for barley is more prominent, the associated index of adaptive capacity is relatively lower. A significant gradient between the peripheral and southern regions of Québec is observed, with vulnerability lowest around Montreal/Laval and gradually increasing towards the peripheral regions. A better understanding of vulnerability warrants a change in approach from focusing solely on climate-related variables to integrating socioeconomic proxies. The challenge, however, has been how to introduce these socioeconomic proxies into empirical and process-based crop models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Database: | Energy & Power Source |
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| Header | DbId: enr DbLabel: Energy & Power Source An: 179669064 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Vulnerability of barley yields in Québec. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Epule+Epule%2C+Terence%22">Epule Epule, Terence</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> terenceepule.epule@uqat.ca</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Poirier%2C+Vincent%22">Poirier, Vincent</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Peng%2C+Changhui%22">Peng, Changhui</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Etongo%2C+Daniel%22">Etongo, Daniel</searchLink><relatesTo>3,4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR) – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Environmental+Monitoring+%26+Assessment%22">Environmental Monitoring & Assessment</searchLink>. Sep2024, Vol. 196 Issue 9, p1-16. 16p. – Name: Subject Label: Subject Terms Group: Su Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Growing+season%22">Growing season</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Downloading%22">Downloading</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Cropping+systems%22">Cropping systems</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Maple+syrup%22">Maple syrup</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Advisory+boards%22">Advisory boards</searchLink> – Name: SubjectGeographic Label: Geographic Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Québec+%28Québec%29%22">Québec (Québec)</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: Climate projections across Québec indicate increased water stress and recurrent vulnerability of cropping systems. In recent years, reports of droughts and water stress have been recorded across the province. Many parts of Québec have experienced droughts in the past few years, which have had uninvestigated impacts on crops. These droughts have been described as some of the most significant in the last 80 years. On the positive side, climate change is likely to trigger shorter winters and therefore longer growing seasons for several crops. However, for crops like maple syrup, the regions suitable for their cultivation will shift northwards. Despite these projections, studies monitoring the susceptibility of barley to environmental changes, climate variability, and adaptive capacity across Québec are still limited. This study aims to provide a provincial-scale portrait of vulnerability of barley in Québec based on historical growing season precipitation, barley yield, and socioeconomic data (literacy and poverty rates) using a composite statistical model. Growing season precipitation data were downloaded from Ouranos. Barley yield data were collected from the Institut de la Statistique du Québec, and the socio-demographic data were collected from the Advisory Council of Poverty and the Institut de la Statistique du Québec. A vulnerability index with sub-indices (sensitivity, exposure, and adaptive capacity) is deployed. It is hypothesised that (1) vulnerability is inversely associated with adaptive capacity, and (2) the peripheral regions of Québec are more vulnerable and less adaptive to climate stressors. Initial results show that when the vulnerability index for barley is more prominent, the associated index of adaptive capacity is relatively lower. A significant gradient between the peripheral and southern regions of Québec is observed, with vulnerability lowest around Montreal/Laval and gradually increasing towards the peripheral regions. A better understanding of vulnerability warrants a change in approach from focusing solely on climate-related variables to integrating socioeconomic proxies. The challenge, however, has been how to introduce these socioeconomic proxies into empirical and process-based crop models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1007/s10661-024-13036-9 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 16 StartPage: 1 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Growing season Type: general – SubjectFull: Downloading Type: general – SubjectFull: Cropping systems Type: general – SubjectFull: Maple syrup Type: general – SubjectFull: Advisory boards Type: general – SubjectFull: Québec (Québec) Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Vulnerability of barley yields in Québec. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Epule Epule, Terence – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Poirier, Vincent – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Peng, Changhui – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Etongo, Daniel IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 09 Text: Sep2024 Type: published Y: 2024 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 01676369 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 196 – Type: issue Value: 9 Titles: – TitleFull: Environmental Monitoring & Assessment Type: main |
| ResultId | 1 |
