A Multi-Scale Offshore Wind Power Forecasting Model Based on Data Decomposition, Intelligent Optimization Algorithms, and Multi-Modal Fusion.
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| Title: | A Multi-Scale Offshore Wind Power Forecasting Model Based on Data Decomposition, Intelligent Optimization Algorithms, and Multi-Modal Fusion. |
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| Authors: | Liu, Kang1 (AUTHOR), Sun, Yuan2 (AUTHOR), Han, Pengyu1,2 (AUTHOR) zsy123450710@163.com |
| Source: | Energies (19961073). Feb2026, Vol. 19 Issue 4, p994. 28p. |
| Subject Terms: | *Optimization algorithms, *Wind forecasting, *Multisensor data fusion, *Feature extraction, *Forecasting |
| Abstract: | To accurately characterize the complex coupling and nonlinear interactions between meteorological and oceanic variables in offshore wind power scenarios, this study proposes a novel forecasting model based on a "multi-scale fusion-decomposition-reconstruction-optimization-prediction" framework. This model integrates Variational Modal Decomposition (VMD) with the feature-interaction Informer framework, employing an enhanced Honey Badger Algorithm (HBA) for the collaborative optimization of their key parameters. The enhanced HBA integrates cubic chaotic mapping, random perturbation strategy, elite tangent search, and differential mutation operations to strengthen its global optimization capability and convergence efficiency. The model construction process proceeds as follows: First, sample entropy (SE) is applied to evaluate the entropy values and reconstruct sequences of the modal components obtained from VMD. Subsequently, the dynamic adjustment of the maximum information coefficient (DE-MIC) is employed to select key input variables from multi-source features. Subsequently, the feature interaction-probabilistic sparse attention mechanism (FI-ProbSparse-AM) unique to the feature interaction-based Informer is employed to construct an attention architecture capable of explicitly modeling dependencies among multidimensional variables, thereby effectively capturing the spatiotemporal latent correlations between wind power output and multi-source features. Experiments based on real offshore wind farm data demonstrate that the MAPE values are reduced by approximately 11% compared to existing benchmark models. The proposed method demonstrates significant advantages in both prediction accuracy and stability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Database: | Energy & Power Source |
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| Header | DbId: enr DbLabel: Energy & Power Source An: 191973414 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
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| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: A Multi-Scale Offshore Wind Power Forecasting Model Based on Data Decomposition, Intelligent Optimization Algorithms, and Multi-Modal Fusion. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Liu%2C+Kang%22">Liu, Kang</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Sun%2C+Yuan%22">Sun, Yuan</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Han%2C+Pengyu%22">Han, Pengyu</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> zsy123450710@163.com</i> – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Energies+%2819961073%29%22">Energies (19961073)</searchLink>. Feb2026, Vol. 19 Issue 4, p994. 28p. – Name: Subject Label: Subject Terms Group: Su Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Optimization+algorithms%22">Optimization algorithms</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Wind+forecasting%22">Wind forecasting</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Multisensor+data+fusion%22">Multisensor data fusion</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Feature+extraction%22">Feature extraction</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Forecasting%22">Forecasting</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: To accurately characterize the complex coupling and nonlinear interactions between meteorological and oceanic variables in offshore wind power scenarios, this study proposes a novel forecasting model based on a "multi-scale fusion-decomposition-reconstruction-optimization-prediction" framework. This model integrates Variational Modal Decomposition (VMD) with the feature-interaction Informer framework, employing an enhanced Honey Badger Algorithm (HBA) for the collaborative optimization of their key parameters. The enhanced HBA integrates cubic chaotic mapping, random perturbation strategy, elite tangent search, and differential mutation operations to strengthen its global optimization capability and convergence efficiency. The model construction process proceeds as follows: First, sample entropy (SE) is applied to evaluate the entropy values and reconstruct sequences of the modal components obtained from VMD. Subsequently, the dynamic adjustment of the maximum information coefficient (DE-MIC) is employed to select key input variables from multi-source features. Subsequently, the feature interaction-probabilistic sparse attention mechanism (FI-ProbSparse-AM) unique to the feature interaction-based Informer is employed to construct an attention architecture capable of explicitly modeling dependencies among multidimensional variables, thereby effectively capturing the spatiotemporal latent correlations between wind power output and multi-source features. Experiments based on real offshore wind farm data demonstrate that the MAPE values are reduced by approximately 11% compared to existing benchmark models. The proposed method demonstrates significant advantages in both prediction accuracy and stability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| PLink | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=enr&AN=191973414 |
| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.3390/en19040994 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 28 StartPage: 994 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Optimization algorithms Type: general – SubjectFull: Wind forecasting Type: general – SubjectFull: Multisensor data fusion Type: general – SubjectFull: Feature extraction Type: general – SubjectFull: Forecasting Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: A Multi-Scale Offshore Wind Power Forecasting Model Based on Data Decomposition, Intelligent Optimization Algorithms, and Multi-Modal Fusion. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Liu, Kang – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Sun, Yuan – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Han, Pengyu IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 15 M: 02 Text: Feb2026 Type: published Y: 2026 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 19961073 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 19 – Type: issue Value: 4 Titles: – TitleFull: Energies (19961073) Type: main |
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