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Policy impact of national comprehensive pilot initiative for new-type urbanization on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption in China.

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Title: Policy impact of national comprehensive pilot initiative for new-type urbanization on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption in China.
Authors: Wang, Man1 (AUTHOR) wangman@nwafu.edu.cn, Gao, Manman1 (AUTHOR) gaomanman@nwafu.edu.cn, Cao, Huimin1 (AUTHOR) caohm@nwafu.edu.cn, Yan, Zhenyu1 (AUTHOR) yanzhenyu@nwsuaf.edu.cn, Taimoor, Muhammad1 (AUTHOR) taimooruaf@gmail.com, Xu, Jiapeng1 (AUTHOR) xujp@nwsuaf.edu.cn
Source: Environment, Development & Sustainability. Mar2026, Vol. 28 Issue 3, p5823-5851. 29p.
Subject Terms: *Carbon emissions, *Energy consumption, *Rural development, *Causal inference, *Environmental policy, *Countries, *Policy analysis, *Regional disparities
Geographic Terms: China
Abstract: With the coordinated advancement of China's new-type urbanization (NTU) and the "dual carbon" objectives, the government is increasingly prioritizing green and low-carbon development in rural areas. Based on the provincial panel data from the China Energy Statistical Yearbook spanning the years 2010 to 2019, this study employs a rigorous Difference-in-Differences (DID) model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the impact of NTU on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption (CEREC) and its underlying mechanisms. Furthermore, we explore the decoupling dynamics between urbanization development levels and CEREC across various stages and provinces. Our findings highlight the catalytic effect of the National Comprehensive Pilot Initiative for New-Type Urbanization (NCPINTU) initiatives on CEREC. Compared to non-pilot provinces, rural per capita carbon emissions have increased by an average of 1.278 tons per year, and the spillover effect from neighboring provinces is significant, resulting in an average increase of 1.219 tons per year. Mechanism analysis indicates that NTU affects rural energy consumption intensity (ECI) and energy consumption structure (ECS) across multiple dimensions, including population, economy, society, ecology, and space, thereby influencing CEREC. Furthermore, our expanded analysis reveals spatial and temporal disparities in the decoupling status of provinces, with western regions generally exhibiting poorer decoupling statuses. These findings deepen our understanding of the performance and mechanisms of achieving the "dual-carbon" objectives through NTU, also underscore the imperative to foster a new era of low-carbon and environmentally sustainable rural development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Database: Energy & Power Source
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DbLabel: Energy & Power Source
An: 192418019
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  Data: Policy impact of national comprehensive pilot initiative for new-type urbanization on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption in China.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Wang%2C+Man%22">Wang, Man</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> wangman@nwafu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gao%2C+Manman%22">Gao, Manman</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> gaomanman@nwafu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Cao%2C+Huimin%22">Cao, Huimin</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> caohm@nwafu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yan%2C+Zhenyu%22">Yan, Zhenyu</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> yanzhenyu@nwsuaf.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Taimoor%2C+Muhammad%22">Taimoor, Muhammad</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> taimooruaf@gmail.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Xu%2C+Jiapeng%22">Xu, Jiapeng</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> xujp@nwsuaf.edu.cn</i>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Environment%2C+Development+%26+Sustainability%22">Environment, Development & Sustainability</searchLink>. Mar2026, Vol. 28 Issue 3, p5823-5851. 29p.
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Carbon+emissions%22">Carbon emissions</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Energy+consumption%22">Energy consumption</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Rural+development%22">Rural development</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Causal+inference%22">Causal inference</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Environmental+policy%22">Environmental policy</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Countries%22">Countries</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Policy+analysis%22">Policy analysis</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Regional+disparities%22">Regional disparities</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22China%22">China</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: With the coordinated advancement of China's new-type urbanization (NTU) and the "dual carbon" objectives, the government is increasingly prioritizing green and low-carbon development in rural areas. Based on the provincial panel data from the China Energy Statistical Yearbook spanning the years 2010 to 2019, this study employs a rigorous Difference-in-Differences (DID) model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the impact of NTU on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption (CEREC) and its underlying mechanisms. Furthermore, we explore the decoupling dynamics between urbanization development levels and CEREC across various stages and provinces. Our findings highlight the catalytic effect of the National Comprehensive Pilot Initiative for New-Type Urbanization (NCPINTU) initiatives on CEREC. Compared to non-pilot provinces, rural per capita carbon emissions have increased by an average of 1.278 tons per year, and the spillover effect from neighboring provinces is significant, resulting in an average increase of 1.219 tons per year. Mechanism analysis indicates that NTU affects rural energy consumption intensity (ECI) and energy consumption structure (ECS) across multiple dimensions, including population, economy, society, ecology, and space, thereby influencing CEREC. Furthermore, our expanded analysis reveals spatial and temporal disparities in the decoupling status of provinces, with western regions generally exhibiting poorer decoupling statuses. These findings deepen our understanding of the performance and mechanisms of achieving the "dual-carbon" objectives through NTU, also underscore the imperative to foster a new era of low-carbon and environmentally sustainable rural development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1007/s10668-024-05206-z
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 29
        StartPage: 5823
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Carbon emissions
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Energy consumption
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Rural development
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Causal inference
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Environmental policy
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Countries
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Policy analysis
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Regional disparities
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: China
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Policy impact of national comprehensive pilot initiative for new-type urbanization on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption in China.
        Type: main
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          Name:
            NameFull: Wang, Man
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            NameFull: Gao, Manman
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            NameFull: Cao, Huimin
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            NameFull: Yan, Zhenyu
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            NameFull: Taimoor, Muhammad
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            – D: 01
              M: 03
              Text: Mar2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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              Value: 1387585X
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              Value: 28
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            – TitleFull: Environment, Development & Sustainability
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