Policy impact of national comprehensive pilot initiative for new-type urbanization on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption in China.
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| Title: | Policy impact of national comprehensive pilot initiative for new-type urbanization on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption in China. |
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| Authors: | Wang, Man1 (AUTHOR) wangman@nwafu.edu.cn, Gao, Manman1 (AUTHOR) gaomanman@nwafu.edu.cn, Cao, Huimin1 (AUTHOR) caohm@nwafu.edu.cn, Yan, Zhenyu1 (AUTHOR) yanzhenyu@nwsuaf.edu.cn, Taimoor, Muhammad1 (AUTHOR) taimooruaf@gmail.com, Xu, Jiapeng1 (AUTHOR) xujp@nwsuaf.edu.cn |
| Source: | Environment, Development & Sustainability. Mar2026, Vol. 28 Issue 3, p5823-5851. 29p. |
| Subject Terms: | *Carbon emissions, *Energy consumption, *Rural development, *Causal inference, *Environmental policy, *Countries, *Policy analysis, *Regional disparities |
| Geographic Terms: | China |
| Abstract: | With the coordinated advancement of China's new-type urbanization (NTU) and the "dual carbon" objectives, the government is increasingly prioritizing green and low-carbon development in rural areas. Based on the provincial panel data from the China Energy Statistical Yearbook spanning the years 2010 to 2019, this study employs a rigorous Difference-in-Differences (DID) model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the impact of NTU on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption (CEREC) and its underlying mechanisms. Furthermore, we explore the decoupling dynamics between urbanization development levels and CEREC across various stages and provinces. Our findings highlight the catalytic effect of the National Comprehensive Pilot Initiative for New-Type Urbanization (NCPINTU) initiatives on CEREC. Compared to non-pilot provinces, rural per capita carbon emissions have increased by an average of 1.278 tons per year, and the spillover effect from neighboring provinces is significant, resulting in an average increase of 1.219 tons per year. Mechanism analysis indicates that NTU affects rural energy consumption intensity (ECI) and energy consumption structure (ECS) across multiple dimensions, including population, economy, society, ecology, and space, thereby influencing CEREC. Furthermore, our expanded analysis reveals spatial and temporal disparities in the decoupling status of provinces, with western regions generally exhibiting poorer decoupling statuses. These findings deepen our understanding of the performance and mechanisms of achieving the "dual-carbon" objectives through NTU, also underscore the imperative to foster a new era of low-carbon and environmentally sustainable rural development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Database: | Energy & Power Source |
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| Abstract: | With the coordinated advancement of China's new-type urbanization (NTU) and the "dual carbon" objectives, the government is increasingly prioritizing green and low-carbon development in rural areas. Based on the provincial panel data from the China Energy Statistical Yearbook spanning the years 2010 to 2019, this study employs a rigorous Difference-in-Differences (DID) model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the impact of NTU on carbon emissions from rural energy consumption (CEREC) and its underlying mechanisms. Furthermore, we explore the decoupling dynamics between urbanization development levels and CEREC across various stages and provinces. Our findings highlight the catalytic effect of the National Comprehensive Pilot Initiative for New-Type Urbanization (NCPINTU) initiatives on CEREC. Compared to non-pilot provinces, rural per capita carbon emissions have increased by an average of 1.278 tons per year, and the spillover effect from neighboring provinces is significant, resulting in an average increase of 1.219 tons per year. Mechanism analysis indicates that NTU affects rural energy consumption intensity (ECI) and energy consumption structure (ECS) across multiple dimensions, including population, economy, society, ecology, and space, thereby influencing CEREC. Furthermore, our expanded analysis reveals spatial and temporal disparities in the decoupling status of provinces, with western regions generally exhibiting poorer decoupling statuses. These findings deepen our understanding of the performance and mechanisms of achieving the "dual-carbon" objectives through NTU, also underscore the imperative to foster a new era of low-carbon and environmentally sustainable rural development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| ISSN: | 1387585X |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s10668-024-05206-z |
