STGCformer: Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Transformer for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting.

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Title: STGCformer: Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Transformer for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting.
Authors: Tian, Chenyu1 (AUTHOR), Xia, Min1,2 (AUTHOR), Yuan, Shi1 (AUTHOR), Wang, Liwen2 (AUTHOR), Zhuang, Wei1 (AUTHOR) zw@nuist.edu.cn
Source: Energies (19961073). Mar2026, Vol. 19 Issue 5, p1214. 17p.
Subject Terms: *Wind forecasting, *Transformer models, *Time series analysis, *Forecasting, *Graph neural networks, *Electric power system reliability
Abstract: The accuracy of short-term wind power forecasting (STWPF) is crucial for the stable operation of power systems. To address the issue of insufficient capture of spatio-temporal dependencies in existing models, which leads to low prediction accuracy, this paper proposes a novel Transformer-based spatio-temporal graph convolutional (STGCformer) model. The time series decomposition module (TSDM) captures periodic fluctuations and long-term variations within the data by performing seasonal trend decomposition. The spatio-temporal graph convolutional (STGC) architecture combines a Graph Attention Network (GAT) with convolutional layers (Convs) to capture both spatial and temporal dependencies, jointly processing the spatio-temporal characteristics inherent in wind power data. The Transformer's attention mechanism simultaneously handles both short-term and long-term fluctuations. Extensive experimental results show that STGCformer achieves the best prediction accuracy across multiple time steps (24, 48, 72, 96 h), with the average absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) at 48 h being 41.383 and 3.862, respectively. This model provides a new methodological framework for STWPF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Database: Energy & Power Source
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Header DbId: enr
DbLabel: Energy & Power Source
An: 192640939
AccessLevel: 6
PubType: Academic Journal
PubTypeId: academicJournal
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  Label: Title
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  Data: STGCformer: Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Transformer for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting.
– Name: Author
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Tian%2C+Chenyu%22">Tian, Chenyu</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Xia%2C+Min%22">Xia, Min</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yuan%2C+Shi%22">Yuan, Shi</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Wang%2C+Liwen%22">Wang, Liwen</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zhuang%2C+Wei%22">Zhuang, Wei</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> zw@nuist.edu.cn</i>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Energies+%2819961073%29%22">Energies (19961073)</searchLink>. Mar2026, Vol. 19 Issue 5, p1214. 17p.
– Name: Subject
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Wind+forecasting%22">Wind forecasting</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Transformer+models%22">Transformer models</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Time+series+analysis%22">Time series analysis</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Forecasting%22">Forecasting</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Graph+neural+networks%22">Graph neural networks</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Electric+power+system+reliability%22">Electric power system reliability</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: The accuracy of short-term wind power forecasting (STWPF) is crucial for the stable operation of power systems. To address the issue of insufficient capture of spatio-temporal dependencies in existing models, which leads to low prediction accuracy, this paper proposes a novel Transformer-based spatio-temporal graph convolutional (STGCformer) model. The time series decomposition module (TSDM) captures periodic fluctuations and long-term variations within the data by performing seasonal trend decomposition. The spatio-temporal graph convolutional (STGC) architecture combines a Graph Attention Network (GAT) with convolutional layers (Convs) to capture both spatial and temporal dependencies, jointly processing the spatio-temporal characteristics inherent in wind power data. The Transformer's attention mechanism simultaneously handles both short-term and long-term fluctuations. Extensive experimental results show that STGCformer achieves the best prediction accuracy across multiple time steps (24, 48, 72, 96 h), with the average absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) at 48 h being 41.383 and 3.862, respectively. This model provides a new methodological framework for STWPF. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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        Value: 10.3390/en19051214
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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        PageCount: 17
        StartPage: 1214
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      – SubjectFull: Wind forecasting
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Transformer models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Time series analysis
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      – SubjectFull: Forecasting
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Graph neural networks
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Electric power system reliability
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      – TitleFull: STGCformer: Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Transformer for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting.
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            NameFull: Tian, Chenyu
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            – D: 01
              M: 03
              Text: Mar2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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              Value: 19
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              Value: 5
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