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Modeling electricity consumption from sugarcane bagasse in Brazil: 2013 to 2021.

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Title: Modeling electricity consumption from sugarcane bagasse in Brazil: 2013 to 2021.
Authors: Martins, Luís Oscar Silva1 (AUTHOR) luisoscar@ufrb.edu.br, Mendes, Vinícius de Araújo2 (AUTHOR) viniciusamendes@gmail.com, Silva, Marcelo Santana3,4 (AUTHOR) marcelosilva@ifba.edu.br, Hocevar, Luciano Sérgio1 (AUTHOR) lucianohocevar@ufrb.edu.br, Torres, Ednildo Andrade5 (AUTHOR) ednildotorres@gmail.com
Source: Environment, Development & Sustainability. Apr2026, Vol. 28 Issue 4, p9811-9835. 25p.
Subject Terms: *Biomass energy, *Sugarcane, *Panel analysis, *Countries, *Electric power consumption, *Energy policy, *Regional economic disparities, *Renewable energy sources
Geographic Terms: Brazil
Abstract: Biomass represents 9% of the installed electricity generation capacity in Brazil. If only sugarcane bagasse is considered, it represents 7.5% of the country's electricity supply. Thus, seeking a broader economic vision, the main objective of this research is to analyze the behavior of electricity consumption generated through sugarcane bagasse in Brazil, from 2013 to 2021. To do this, it used a model in dynamic panel using as independent variables the price of electricity, per capita income, sugarcane production, price of ethanol (competing product), total electricity consumption in each state and the level of rainfall. The analysis sought to capture differences in bioelectricity consumption between states considered richer and poorer. After confirming the indication of the absence of a unit root in bioelectricity consumption, the model was estimated using the generalized first difference moment method (FD GMM), which was more robust to the data. The results suggest that the consumption of sugar-energy electricity has been decreasing, on average, 0.82% per year in the period analyzed. However, the research also showed that the increase in electricity prices had a positive effect on the consumption of sugar-alcohol bioelectricity, offsetting the effect of the downward trend in recent years. From a regional point of view, the research also showed a downward trend in consumption for the states considered more developed and a slight upward trend for the poorest regions. This implies that price and income, analyzed together, point to the existence of a systematic effect between income levels on the price elasticity of demand for electricity from sugarcane. The finding is important for those responsible for conducting energy policy as it indicates that different income levels between regions must be taken into account when proposing public policies to contain or encourage electricity consumption from renewable sources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Database: Energy & Power Source
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Header DbId: enr
DbLabel: Energy & Power Source
An: 192726323
AccessLevel: 6
PubType: Academic Journal
PubTypeId: academicJournal
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  Data: Modeling electricity consumption from sugarcane bagasse in Brazil: 2013 to 2021.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Martins%2C+Luís+Oscar+Silva%22">Martins, Luís Oscar Silva</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> luisoscar@ufrb.edu.br</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Mendes%2C+Vinícius+de+Araújo%22">Mendes, Vinícius de Araújo</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> viniciusamendes@gmail.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Silva%2C+Marcelo+Santana%22">Silva, Marcelo Santana</searchLink><relatesTo>3,4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> marcelosilva@ifba.edu.br</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hocevar%2C+Luciano+Sérgio%22">Hocevar, Luciano Sérgio</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> lucianohocevar@ufrb.edu.br</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Torres%2C+Ednildo+Andrade%22">Torres, Ednildo Andrade</searchLink><relatesTo>5</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> ednildotorres@gmail.com</i>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Environment%2C+Development+%26+Sustainability%22">Environment, Development & Sustainability</searchLink>. Apr2026, Vol. 28 Issue 4, p9811-9835. 25p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Biomass+energy%22">Biomass energy</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Sugarcane%22">Sugarcane</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Panel+analysis%22">Panel analysis</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Countries%22">Countries</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Electric+power+consumption%22">Electric power consumption</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Energy+policy%22">Energy policy</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Regional+economic+disparities%22">Regional economic disparities</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Renewable+energy+sources%22">Renewable energy sources</searchLink>
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  Label: Geographic Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Brazil%22">Brazil</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Biomass represents 9% of the installed electricity generation capacity in Brazil. If only sugarcane bagasse is considered, it represents 7.5% of the country's electricity supply. Thus, seeking a broader economic vision, the main objective of this research is to analyze the behavior of electricity consumption generated through sugarcane bagasse in Brazil, from 2013 to 2021. To do this, it used a model in dynamic panel using as independent variables the price of electricity, per capita income, sugarcane production, price of ethanol (competing product), total electricity consumption in each state and the level of rainfall. The analysis sought to capture differences in bioelectricity consumption between states considered richer and poorer. After confirming the indication of the absence of a unit root in bioelectricity consumption, the model was estimated using the generalized first difference moment method (FD GMM), which was more robust to the data. The results suggest that the consumption of sugar-energy electricity has been decreasing, on average, 0.82% per year in the period analyzed. However, the research also showed that the increase in electricity prices had a positive effect on the consumption of sugar-alcohol bioelectricity, offsetting the effect of the downward trend in recent years. From a regional point of view, the research also showed a downward trend in consumption for the states considered more developed and a slight upward trend for the poorest regions. This implies that price and income, analyzed together, point to the existence of a systematic effect between income levels on the price elasticity of demand for electricity from sugarcane. The finding is important for those responsible for conducting energy policy as it indicates that different income levels between regions must be taken into account when proposing public policies to contain or encourage electricity consumption from renewable sources. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1007/s10668-024-05351-5
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 25
        StartPage: 9811
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Biomass energy
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Sugarcane
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Panel analysis
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Countries
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Electric power consumption
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Energy policy
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Regional economic disparities
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Renewable energy sources
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Brazil
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Modeling electricity consumption from sugarcane bagasse in Brazil: 2013 to 2021.
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          Name:
            NameFull: Martins, Luís Oscar Silva
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            NameFull: Mendes, Vinícius de Araújo
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            NameFull: Silva, Marcelo Santana
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            NameFull: Hocevar, Luciano Sérgio
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            NameFull: Torres, Ednildo Andrade
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            – D: 01
              M: 04
              Text: Apr2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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              Value: 28
            – Type: issue
              Value: 4
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Environment, Development & Sustainability
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