How do smallholder farmers run towards agricultural modernization under multiple stressors in China's coastal zones: an agent-based modeling approach.

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Title: How do smallholder farmers run towards agricultural modernization under multiple stressors in China's coastal zones: an agent-based modeling approach.
Authors: Wang, Han1,2,3 (AUTHOR) hanwang@gxu.edu.cn, Li, Fengqin1 (AUTHOR) lifq94@st.gxu.edu.cn, Zou, Yuhuan1 (AUTHOR) 2001301074@st.gxu.edu.cn, Yang, Mengshi1 (AUTHOR) 2001301065@st.gxu.edu.cn, Chen, Zhoupeng1 (AUTHOR) chenzp@st.gxu.edu.cn, Nie, Xin1,2,4 (AUTHOR) toefl678@gxu.edu.cn
Source: Environment, Development & Sustainability. May2026, Vol. 28 Issue 5, p11809-11835. 27p.
Subject Terms: *Agricultural modernization, *Socioeconomics, *Arid regions agriculture, *Psychological stress, *Coasts, *Multiagent systems, *Small farms
Geographic Terms: China
Abstract: Smallholder farmers play a key role in global food production, but multiple stressors such as climate change are impacting their farming operations, posing serious challenges to their livelihoods as well as to global food security. The Chinese government is comprehensively promoting the modern transformation of smallholder farmers. Faced with the threat of multiple stressors, what farming decisions will smallholder farmers make? Can the modern transformation of smallholder farmers be sustained? There are no answers to these questions. In light of this, this paper investigates and analyzes the environmental and socio-economic stressors affecting smallholder farmers in China's coastal zones. The study applies an agent-based model to explore the long-term dynamic farming decisions and agricultural transformation of smallholder farmers experiencing multiple stressors. The different effects of relieving environmental and socio-economic stressors are compared. The results show that coastal smallholder farmers environment-based stress, related to perennial drought, diseases and pests, is more prominent than socio-economic stress. Furthermore, under multiple stressors, trends such as abandoning farmland and shifting to non-agricultural land are significantly in coastal zones. It is difficult to promote the agricultural modernization of smallholder farmers in the long term. To minimize land abandonment and promote transformation, reducing environmental stresses is more effective than reducing social-economic stresses. Therefore, the government should prioritize addressing prominent environmental issues to meet the basic conditions for coastal smallholder farming, and specifically resolve key socio-economic problems. This approach will further enhance the willingness of coastal smallholders to farm, alleviate their pressures, and promote the modernization transformation of agriculture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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  Label: Title
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  Data: How do smallholder farmers run towards agricultural modernization under multiple stressors in China's coastal zones: an agent-based modeling approach.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Wang%2C+Han%22">Wang, Han</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2,3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> hanwang@gxu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Li%2C+Fengqin%22">Li, Fengqin</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> lifq94@st.gxu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zou%2C+Yuhuan%22">Zou, Yuhuan</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> 2001301074@st.gxu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yang%2C+Mengshi%22">Yang, Mengshi</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> 2001301065@st.gxu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Chen%2C+Zhoupeng%22">Chen, Zhoupeng</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> chenzp@st.gxu.edu.cn</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Nie%2C+Xin%22">Nie, Xin</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2,4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> toefl678@gxu.edu.cn</i>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Environment%2C+Development+%26+Sustainability%22">Environment, Development & Sustainability</searchLink>. May2026, Vol. 28 Issue 5, p11809-11835. 27p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
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  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Agricultural+modernization%22">Agricultural modernization</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Socioeconomics%22">Socioeconomics</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Arid+regions+agriculture%22">Arid regions agriculture</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Psychological+stress%22">Psychological stress</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Coasts%22">Coasts</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Multiagent+systems%22">Multiagent systems</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Small+farms%22">Small farms</searchLink>
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  Label: Geographic Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22China%22">China</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Smallholder farmers play a key role in global food production, but multiple stressors such as climate change are impacting their farming operations, posing serious challenges to their livelihoods as well as to global food security. The Chinese government is comprehensively promoting the modern transformation of smallholder farmers. Faced with the threat of multiple stressors, what farming decisions will smallholder farmers make? Can the modern transformation of smallholder farmers be sustained? There are no answers to these questions. In light of this, this paper investigates and analyzes the environmental and socio-economic stressors affecting smallholder farmers in China's coastal zones. The study applies an agent-based model to explore the long-term dynamic farming decisions and agricultural transformation of smallholder farmers experiencing multiple stressors. The different effects of relieving environmental and socio-economic stressors are compared. The results show that coastal smallholder farmers environment-based stress, related to perennial drought, diseases and pests, is more prominent than socio-economic stress. Furthermore, under multiple stressors, trends such as abandoning farmland and shifting to non-agricultural land are significantly in coastal zones. It is difficult to promote the agricultural modernization of smallholder farmers in the long term. To minimize land abandonment and promote transformation, reducing environmental stresses is more effective than reducing social-economic stresses. Therefore, the government should prioritize addressing prominent environmental issues to meet the basic conditions for coastal smallholder farming, and specifically resolve key socio-economic problems. This approach will further enhance the willingness of coastal smallholders to farm, alleviate their pressures, and promote the modernization transformation of agriculture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1007/s10668-024-05429-0
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 27
        StartPage: 11809
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Agricultural modernization
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Socioeconomics
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Arid regions agriculture
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Psychological stress
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Coasts
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Multiagent systems
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Small farms
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: China
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: How do smallholder farmers run towards agricultural modernization under multiple stressors in China's coastal zones: an agent-based modeling approach.
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            NameFull: Wang, Han
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            NameFull: Li, Fengqin
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            NameFull: Zou, Yuhuan
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            NameFull: Yang, Mengshi
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            NameFull: Chen, Zhoupeng
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            – D: 01
              M: 05
              Text: May2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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              Value: 28
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            – TitleFull: Environment, Development & Sustainability
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