Contrasting Carbon–Water–Energy Dynamics in Perennial and Annual Bioenergy Agroecosystems Using Eddy Covariance and Interpretable Machine Learning.

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Title: Contrasting Carbon–Water–Energy Dynamics in Perennial and Annual Bioenergy Agroecosystems Using Eddy Covariance and Interpretable Machine Learning.
Authors: Yi, Koong1,2 (AUTHOR) koongyi@gmail.com, Benson, Michael C.1,3 (AUTHOR), Pederson, Taylor L.1,4 (AUTHOR), Bernacchi, Carl J.1,3,4 (AUTHOR) bernacch@illinois.edu
Source: GCB Bioenergy. Jul2026, Vol. 18 Issue 7, p1-14. 14p.
Subject Terms: *Evapotranspiration, *Ecosystem dynamics, *Machine learning, *Agricultural ecology, *Water use, *Photosynthetic rates
Abstract: Understanding how agroecosystems respond to environmental variability is fundamental to predicting productivity and sustainability under a changing climate. We analyzed 55 site‐years of high‐frequency eddy covariance observations from five agroecosystems—two perennial grasses (miscanthus and switchgrass), two annual rotation systems (maize–soybean and sorghum–soybean), and a restored native prairie—to examine ecosystem‐scale carbon, water, and energy fluxes. Using an interpretable machine‐learning framework with regression tree ensembles, Shapley Additive Explanations, and Accumulated Local Effects, we quantified how environmental and temporal factors regulate gross primary productivity (GPP), evapotranspiration (ET), water‐use efficiency, and the Bowen ratio. Perennials exhibited stronger physiological buffering and maintained fluxes across a broader range of temperature and moisture conditions, reflecting deeper rooting and persistent canopy cover. Annuals, in contrast, showed greater short‐term variability and stronger coupling to atmospheric demand, with GPP and ET declining rapidly under low humidity or soil moisture. Differences in temperature sensitivity of Bowen ratio further revealed that perennials sustained proportionally greater sensible heat flux under cool conditions, whereas annuals exhibited constrained energy exchange when evaporative demand was low. Together, these results demonstrate that crop life cycle and canopy structure are fundamental determinants of ecosystem‐scale carbon–water–energy coupling. By integrating long‐term flux observations with interpretable machine learning, this study identifies the environmental drivers that shape agroecosystem function and highlights how conversion from annual to perennial feedstocks can enhance climatic resilience and alter land–atmosphere energy feedbacks. These findings provide a data‐driven basis for improving crop and Earth‐system models and for guiding bioenergy landscape design under future climate scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Database: Energy & Power Source
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Items – Name: Title
  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: Contrasting Carbon–Water–Energy Dynamics in Perennial and Annual Bioenergy Agroecosystems Using Eddy Covariance and Interpretable Machine Learning.
– Name: Author
  Label: Authors
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yi%2C+Koong%22">Yi, Koong</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> koongyi@gmail.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Benson%2C+Michael+C%2E%22">Benson, Michael C.</searchLink><relatesTo>1,3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pederson%2C+Taylor+L%2E%22">Pederson, Taylor L.</searchLink><relatesTo>1,4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Bernacchi%2C+Carl+J%2E%22">Bernacchi, Carl J.</searchLink><relatesTo>1,3,4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> bernacch@illinois.edu</i>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22GCB+Bioenergy%22">GCB Bioenergy</searchLink>. Jul2026, Vol. 18 Issue 7, p1-14. 14p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Evapotranspiration%22">Evapotranspiration</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Ecosystem+dynamics%22">Ecosystem dynamics</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Machine+learning%22">Machine learning</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Agricultural+ecology%22">Agricultural ecology</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Water+use%22">Water use</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Photosynthetic+rates%22">Photosynthetic rates</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Understanding how agroecosystems respond to environmental variability is fundamental to predicting productivity and sustainability under a changing climate. We analyzed 55 site‐years of high‐frequency eddy covariance observations from five agroecosystems—two perennial grasses (miscanthus and switchgrass), two annual rotation systems (maize–soybean and sorghum–soybean), and a restored native prairie—to examine ecosystem‐scale carbon, water, and energy fluxes. Using an interpretable machine‐learning framework with regression tree ensembles, Shapley Additive Explanations, and Accumulated Local Effects, we quantified how environmental and temporal factors regulate gross primary productivity (GPP), evapotranspiration (ET), water‐use efficiency, and the Bowen ratio. Perennials exhibited stronger physiological buffering and maintained fluxes across a broader range of temperature and moisture conditions, reflecting deeper rooting and persistent canopy cover. Annuals, in contrast, showed greater short‐term variability and stronger coupling to atmospheric demand, with GPP and ET declining rapidly under low humidity or soil moisture. Differences in temperature sensitivity of Bowen ratio further revealed that perennials sustained proportionally greater sensible heat flux under cool conditions, whereas annuals exhibited constrained energy exchange when evaporative demand was low. Together, these results demonstrate that crop life cycle and canopy structure are fundamental determinants of ecosystem‐scale carbon–water–energy coupling. By integrating long‐term flux observations with interpretable machine learning, this study identifies the environmental drivers that shape agroecosystem function and highlights how conversion from annual to perennial feedstocks can enhance climatic resilience and alter land–atmosphere energy feedbacks. These findings provide a data‐driven basis for improving crop and Earth‐system models and for guiding bioenergy landscape design under future climate scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1111/gcbb.70156
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 14
        StartPage: 1
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Evapotranspiration
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Ecosystem dynamics
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Machine learning
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Agricultural ecology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Water use
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Photosynthetic rates
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Contrasting Carbon–Water–Energy Dynamics in Perennial and Annual Bioenergy Agroecosystems Using Eddy Covariance and Interpretable Machine Learning.
        Type: main
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          Name:
            NameFull: Yi, Koong
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            NameFull: Benson, Michael C.
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            NameFull: Pederson, Taylor L.
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            NameFull: Bernacchi, Carl J.
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 07
              Text: Jul2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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              Value: 17571693
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              Value: 18
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              Value: 7
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            – TitleFull: GCB Bioenergy
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