Assessment of regional official development programs on solid waste management via system dynamics approach considering their GHGs emissions.

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Title: Assessment of regional official development programs on solid waste management via system dynamics approach considering their GHGs emissions.
Authors: Zekri, Elnaz1 (AUTHOR) e.zekri@ut.ac.ir, Dehnavi, Ali2 (AUTHOR) a.dehnavi@eng.ui.ac.ir, Nasseri, Mohsen1 (AUTHOR) mnasseri@ut.ac.ir, Majed, Vahid3 (AUTHOR) majed@ut.ac.ir, Zarandi, Saeed Motesaddi4 (AUTHOR) smotesaddi@sbmu.ac.ir
Source: Environment, Development & Sustainability. Jul2026, Vol. 28 Issue 7, p16223-16251. 29p.
Subject Terms: *Solid waste management, *Greenhouse gases, *System dynamics, *Fermentation, *Economic development, *Waste products as fuel, *Waste treatment
Geographic Terms: Iran
Abstract: Iran, as a developing country, recently regards the reduction of GHGs emissions from waste sector as one of the important strategies in national sustainable development planning. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the effects of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) management on GHGs mitigation potential. For this purpose, an integrated system dynamic model was developed to evaluate the environmental impacts of Official Development Plans (ODPs) regarding MSW. To demonstrate its applicability, Isfahan province in Iran is selected as a case study. The results show that ODPs on waste sector have adverse effect on GHGs mitigation. Which means that short, mid and long-term ODPs will increase GHGs emissions by about 71%, 80% and 152%, respectively. In all ODPs scenarios, aerobic fermentation (AF) method accounted for nearly most of GHGs emissions, at 95%, 78% and 34% in short, mid and long-term ODPs, respectively. Other treatment methods such as landfilling, anaerobic digester (AD), and incineration are very small sources of GHGs emissions, accounting for only less than 10% combined. Scenario analysis further indicates that Waste to Energy (WTE) method of compost gas utilization in AF is the most effective and adoptive measure in reducing GHGs emissions from MSW treatment, leading to about 34% and 22% of reduction compared with mid and long-term development scenarios, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Database: Energy & Power Source
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Items – Name: Title
  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: Assessment of regional official development programs on solid waste management via system dynamics approach considering their GHGs emissions.
– Name: Author
  Label: Authors
  Group: Au
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zekri%2C+Elnaz%22">Zekri, Elnaz</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> e.zekri@ut.ac.ir</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Dehnavi%2C+Ali%22">Dehnavi, Ali</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> a.dehnavi@eng.ui.ac.ir</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Nasseri%2C+Mohsen%22">Nasseri, Mohsen</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> mnasseri@ut.ac.ir</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Majed%2C+Vahid%22">Majed, Vahid</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> majed@ut.ac.ir</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zarandi%2C+Saeed+Motesaddi%22">Zarandi, Saeed Motesaddi</searchLink><relatesTo>4</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> smotesaddi@sbmu.ac.ir</i>
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  Label: Source
  Group: Src
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Environment%2C+Development+%26+Sustainability%22">Environment, Development & Sustainability</searchLink>. Jul2026, Vol. 28 Issue 7, p16223-16251. 29p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Solid+waste+management%22">Solid waste management</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Greenhouse+gases%22">Greenhouse gases</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22System+dynamics%22">System dynamics</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Fermentation%22">Fermentation</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Economic+development%22">Economic development</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Waste+products+as+fuel%22">Waste products as fuel</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Waste+treatment%22">Waste treatment</searchLink>
– Name: SubjectGeographic
  Label: Geographic Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Iran%22">Iran</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Iran, as a developing country, recently regards the reduction of GHGs emissions from waste sector as one of the important strategies in national sustainable development planning. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the effects of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) management on GHGs mitigation potential. For this purpose, an integrated system dynamic model was developed to evaluate the environmental impacts of Official Development Plans (ODPs) regarding MSW. To demonstrate its applicability, Isfahan province in Iran is selected as a case study. The results show that ODPs on waste sector have adverse effect on GHGs mitigation. Which means that short, mid and long-term ODPs will increase GHGs emissions by about 71%, 80% and 152%, respectively. In all ODPs scenarios, aerobic fermentation (AF) method accounted for nearly most of GHGs emissions, at 95%, 78% and 34% in short, mid and long-term ODPs, respectively. Other treatment methods such as landfilling, anaerobic digester (AD), and incineration are very small sources of GHGs emissions, accounting for only less than 10% combined. Scenario analysis further indicates that Waste to Energy (WTE) method of compost gas utilization in AF is the most effective and adoptive measure in reducing GHGs emissions from MSW treatment, leading to about 34% and 22% of reduction compared with mid and long-term development scenarios, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1007/s10668-024-05592-4
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 29
        StartPage: 16223
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Solid waste management
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Greenhouse gases
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: System dynamics
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Fermentation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Economic development
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Waste products as fuel
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Waste treatment
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Iran
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Assessment of regional official development programs on solid waste management via system dynamics approach considering their GHGs emissions.
        Type: main
  BibRelationships:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zekri, Elnaz
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Dehnavi, Ali
      – PersonEntity:
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            NameFull: Nasseri, Mohsen
      – PersonEntity:
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            NameFull: Majed, Vahid
      – PersonEntity:
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            NameFull: Zarandi, Saeed Motesaddi
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 07
              Text: Jul2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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            – Type: issn-print
              Value: 1387585X
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            – Type: volume
              Value: 28
            – Type: issue
              Value: 7
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Environment, Development & Sustainability
              Type: main
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