Estimating wheat production in west Iran using a simple water footprint approach.

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Title: Estimating wheat production in west Iran using a simple water footprint approach.
Authors: Ramezani Etedali, Hadi1 (AUTHOR) Ramezani@eng.ikiu.ac.ir, Kalanaki, Mahdi1,2 (AUTHOR), van Oel, Pieter2 (AUTHOR), Gorginpaveh, Faraz3 (AUTHOR)
Source: Environment, Development & Sustainability. Jul2026, Vol. 28 Issue 7, p17335-17373. 39p.
Subject Terms: *Water consumption, *Climate change models, *Supervised learning, *Atmospheric models, *Wheat farming, *Forecasting
Geographic Terms: Iran
Abstract: In this study, a simple approach for comparing future water footprints (WF) has been presented. Six General Circulation Models (GCMs) for three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) were applied, during 1990–2019 (30 years). The LARS-WG model was used to calculate the different RCPs from the six GCM models for each of the ten selected locations in West Iran. Linear regression in the Python environment as a machine learning technique was applied to estimate future Wheat production for the preferred locations. Our model projections indicate that the blue and green WF could increase by an estimated 10–40 % by the year 2100. Concerning overall model performance, the BCC.CM1.1 and GISS-E2-R-CC models were not able to provide consistent results, while estimates of other models were quite accurate. Estimates for RCP 2.6 resulted in relatively higher values while estimates for RCP 8.5 resulted in relatively lower values. The lowest estimates for green and blue WF were found for Parsabad with RCP 2.6 with values of 99.7 and 2325.5 m3/ton respectively. The highest estimate for the green WF was found for Ilam with 718.8 m3/ton for RCP 8.5. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Database: Energy & Power Source
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An: 194936970
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  Data: Estimating wheat production in west Iran using a simple water footprint approach.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Ramezani+Etedali%2C+Hadi%22">Ramezani Etedali, Hadi</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<i> Ramezani@eng.ikiu.ac.ir</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Kalanaki%2C+Mahdi%22">Kalanaki, Mahdi</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22van+Oel%2C+Pieter%22">van Oel, Pieter</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Gorginpaveh%2C+Faraz%22">Gorginpaveh, Faraz</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Environment%2C+Development+%26+Sustainability%22">Environment, Development & Sustainability</searchLink>. Jul2026, Vol. 28 Issue 7, p17335-17373. 39p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Water+consumption%22">Water consumption</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Climate+change+models%22">Climate change models</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Supervised+learning%22">Supervised learning</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Atmospheric+models%22">Atmospheric models</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Wheat+farming%22">Wheat farming</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Forecasting%22">Forecasting</searchLink>
– Name: SubjectGeographic
  Label: Geographic Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Iran%22">Iran</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: In this study, a simple approach for comparing future water footprints (WF) has been presented. Six General Circulation Models (GCMs) for three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) were applied, during 1990–2019 (30 years). The LARS-WG model was used to calculate the different RCPs from the six GCM models for each of the ten selected locations in West Iran. Linear regression in the Python environment as a machine learning technique was applied to estimate future Wheat production for the preferred locations. Our model projections indicate that the blue and green WF could increase by an estimated 10–40 % by the year 2100. Concerning overall model performance, the BCC.CM1.1 and GISS-E2-R-CC models were not able to provide consistent results, while estimates of other models were quite accurate. Estimates for RCP 2.6 resulted in relatively higher values while estimates for RCP 8.5 resulted in relatively lower values. The lowest estimates for green and blue WF were found for Parsabad with RCP 2.6 with values of 99.7 and 2325.5 m3/ton respectively. The highest estimate for the green WF was found for Ilam with 718.8 m3/ton for RCP 8.5. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1007/s10668-024-05605-2
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 39
        StartPage: 17335
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Water consumption
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Climate change models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Supervised learning
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Atmospheric models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Wheat farming
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Forecasting
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Iran
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Estimating wheat production in west Iran using a simple water footprint approach.
        Type: main
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Ramezani Etedali, Hadi
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kalanaki, Mahdi
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: van Oel, Pieter
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gorginpaveh, Faraz
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 07
              Text: Jul2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
          Identifiers:
            – Type: issn-print
              Value: 1387585X
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            – Type: volume
              Value: 28
            – Type: issue
              Value: 7
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Environment, Development & Sustainability
              Type: main
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