Behavioral Mechanism and Strategy Optimization of Non-Grain Utilization of Farmland Based on Evolutionary Game Theory and Simulation Analysis.

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Title: Behavioral Mechanism and Strategy Optimization of Non-Grain Utilization of Farmland Based on Evolutionary Game Theory and Simulation Analysis.
Alternate Title: 基于演化博弈和仿真分析的耕地"非粮化"行为机理与策略提升研究.
Authors: Qianru, CHEN1,2,3 xiehl2000@163.com, Yuying, CHEN1,3, Dan, FU1,3, Hualin, XIE1,2,3, Chumin, LIU1,3
Source: Journal of Resources & Ecology. May2026, Vol. 17 Issue 3, p802-818. 17p.
Subject Terms: *Game theory, *Simulation methods & models, *Multiagent systems, *Land management, *Subsidies, *Mathematical optimization, *Grain farming
Abstract (English): Effectively governing non-grain utilization of farmland requires balancing the complex interests of farmers, local governments, and enterprises. Traditional static models are ill-equipped to capture this dynamic. Through the lens of multi-agent collaborative governance, this study uses evolutionary game theory and simulation analysis to examine how decisions regarding non-grain utilization of farmland evolve dynamically and the key factors shaping these choices. The results reveal that: (1) In the farmer-local government two-party game model, when the sum of farmers' grain cultivation income and subsidies under the grain cultivation guidance approach exceeds the income from non-grain utilization, the strategy profile (grain cultivation, grain cultivation guidance) emerges as a stable equilibrium. Subsidies, central government penalties on local governments, local government compensation to farmers, and farmers' additional costs of non-grain utilization all influence the evolution of both parties' strategies. Among these factors, subsidies and additional costs have a more pronounced impact on farmers, while penalties and compensation exert a stronger driving effect on local governments' strategic choices. (2) In the tripartite evolutionary game of farmers-local governments-enterprises, including enterprises' large-scale operation decisions, the results indicate that rent has the most significant impact on farmers' land transfer willingness; mandatory costs dominate local governments' strategic choices; and subsidies and non-grain utilization penalties have comparable and mutually the strongest effects on enterprises' grain cultivation decisions. Based on these findings, we propose the following policy recommendations: optimizing subsidy mechanisms, implementing differentiated incentives for local governments, linking farmers' subsidies to actual grain cultivation, and establishing a dynamic land rent adjustment mechanism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Abstract (Chinese): 有效治理耕地"非粮化"需要平衡农户、地方政府与企业之间的复杂利益关系。传统静态模型难以捕捉这一动态 过程。本文基于多主体协同治理视角, 运用演化博弈与仿真分析探究耕地"非粮化"决策的动态演化规律与关键影响因素。研究 结果表明:(1)"农户-地方政府"双方博弈模型中, 引导种粮方式下农户种粮收益与补贴之和大于非粮化收益时, (种粮行为, 引导种粮)会成为稳定均衡策略。补贴、中央对地方政府的惩罚、地方政府对农户的补偿及农户非粮化额外成本均会影响双方策 略的演化, 其中补贴和额外成本对农户的影响更显著, 惩罚和补偿对地方政府策略选择的驱动效果更强。(2)"农户-地方政府-企业"三方博弈中, 进一步纳入企业规模化经营决策, 结果表明租金对农户流转意愿影响最显著, 强制成本主导地方政府策略选 择, 补贴与非粮化惩罚对企业种粮决策的驱动效果相近且作用最强。基于此, 提出优化补贴发放机制、对地方政府施以差异化激 励、施行补贴与农户种粮挂钩机制、构建租金动态调整体系等政策建议. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Database: Energy & Power Source
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DbLabel: Energy & Power Source
An: 195089503
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Items – Name: Title
  Label: Title
  Group: Ti
  Data: Behavioral Mechanism and Strategy Optimization of Non-Grain Utilization of Farmland Based on Evolutionary Game Theory and Simulation Analysis.
– Name: TitleAlt
  Label: Alternate Title
  Group: TiAlt
  Data: 基于演化博弈和仿真分析的耕地"非粮化"行为机理与策略提升研究.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Qianru%2C+CHEN%22">Qianru, CHEN</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2,3</relatesTo><i> xiehl2000@163.com</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Yuying%2C+CHEN%22">Yuying, CHEN</searchLink><relatesTo>1,3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Dan%2C+FU%22">Dan, FU</searchLink><relatesTo>1,3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hualin%2C+XIE%22">Hualin, XIE</searchLink><relatesTo>1,2,3</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Chumin%2C+LIU%22">Chumin, LIU</searchLink><relatesTo>1,3</relatesTo>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Journal+of+Resources+%26+Ecology%22">Journal of Resources & Ecology</searchLink>. May2026, Vol. 17 Issue 3, p802-818. 17p.
– Name: Subject
  Label: Subject Terms
  Group: Su
  Data: *<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Game+theory%22">Game theory</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Simulation+methods+%26+models%22">Simulation methods & models</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Multiagent+systems%22">Multiagent systems</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Land+management%22">Land management</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Subsidies%22">Subsidies</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Mathematical+optimization%22">Mathematical optimization</searchLink><br />*<searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Grain+farming%22">Grain farming</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract (English)
  Group: Ab
  Data: Effectively governing non-grain utilization of farmland requires balancing the complex interests of farmers, local governments, and enterprises. Traditional static models are ill-equipped to capture this dynamic. Through the lens of multi-agent collaborative governance, this study uses evolutionary game theory and simulation analysis to examine how decisions regarding non-grain utilization of farmland evolve dynamically and the key factors shaping these choices. The results reveal that: (1) In the farmer-local government two-party game model, when the sum of farmers' grain cultivation income and subsidies under the grain cultivation guidance approach exceeds the income from non-grain utilization, the strategy profile (grain cultivation, grain cultivation guidance) emerges as a stable equilibrium. Subsidies, central government penalties on local governments, local government compensation to farmers, and farmers' additional costs of non-grain utilization all influence the evolution of both parties' strategies. Among these factors, subsidies and additional costs have a more pronounced impact on farmers, while penalties and compensation exert a stronger driving effect on local governments' strategic choices. (2) In the tripartite evolutionary game of farmers-local governments-enterprises, including enterprises' large-scale operation decisions, the results indicate that rent has the most significant impact on farmers' land transfer willingness; mandatory costs dominate local governments' strategic choices; and subsidies and non-grain utilization penalties have comparable and mutually the strongest effects on enterprises' grain cultivation decisions. Based on these findings, we propose the following policy recommendations: optimizing subsidy mechanisms, implementing differentiated incentives for local governments, linking farmers' subsidies to actual grain cultivation, and establishing a dynamic land rent adjustment mechanism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract (Chinese)
  Group: Ab
  Data: 有效治理耕地"非粮化"需要平衡农户、地方政府与企业之间的复杂利益关系。传统静态模型难以捕捉这一动态 过程。本文基于多主体协同治理视角, 运用演化博弈与仿真分析探究耕地"非粮化"决策的动态演化规律与关键影响因素。研究 结果表明:(1)"农户-地方政府"双方博弈模型中, 引导种粮方式下农户种粮收益与补贴之和大于非粮化收益时, (种粮行为, 引导种粮)会成为稳定均衡策略。补贴、中央对地方政府的惩罚、地方政府对农户的补偿及农户非粮化额外成本均会影响双方策 略的演化, 其中补贴和额外成本对农户的影响更显著, 惩罚和补偿对地方政府策略选择的驱动效果更强。(2)"农户-地方政府-企业"三方博弈中, 进一步纳入企业规模化经营决策, 结果表明租金对农户流转意愿影响最显著, 强制成本主导地方政府策略选 择, 补贴与非粮化惩罚对企业种粮决策的驱动效果相近且作用最强。基于此, 提出优化补贴发放机制、对地方政府施以差异化激 励、施行补贴与农户种粮挂钩机制、构建租金动态调整体系等政策建议. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2026.03.012
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 17
        StartPage: 802
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Game theory
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Simulation methods & models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Multiagent systems
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Land management
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Subsidies
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Mathematical optimization
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Grain farming
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Behavioral Mechanism and Strategy Optimization of Non-Grain Utilization of Farmland Based on Evolutionary Game Theory and Simulation Analysis.
        Type: main
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          Name:
            NameFull: Qianru, CHEN
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            NameFull: Yuying, CHEN
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            NameFull: Dan, FU
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            NameFull: Hualin, XIE
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            NameFull: Chumin, LIU
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            – D: 01
              M: 05
              Text: May2026
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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              Value: 3
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            – TitleFull: Journal of Resources & Ecology
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