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Are Students on Track?: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Administrative and Survey Measures of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills for Long-Term Outcomes. EdWorkingPaper No. 24-900

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Title: Are Students on Track?: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Administrative and Survey Measures of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills for Long-Term Outcomes. EdWorkingPaper No. 24-900
Language: English
Authors: Christopher Cleveland, Ethan Scherer, Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University
Source: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. 2024.
Availability: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. Brown University Box 1985, Providence, RI 02912. Tel: 401-863-7990; Fax: 401-863-1290; e-mail: annenberg@brown.edu; Web site: https://annenberg.brown.edu/
Peer Reviewed: N
Page Count: 31
Publication Date: 2024
Sponsoring Agency: Institute of Education Sciences (ED)
Contract Number: R305B150010
Document Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: Elementary Education
Grade 8
Junior High Schools
Middle Schools
Secondary Education
Descriptors: Surveys, Thinking Skills, Self Management, Student Behavior, Performance, Scores, Grade 8, Middle School Students, Outcomes of Education, Predictor Variables, Track System (Education), Cognitive Processes
Abstract: Education leaders must identify valid metrics to predict student long-term success. We exploit a unique dataset containing data on cognitive skills, self-regulation, behavior, course performance, and test scores for 8th-grade students. We link these data to data on students' high school outcomes, college enrollment, persistence, and on-time degree completion. Cognitive tests and survey-based self-regulation measures predict high school and college outcomes. However, these relationships become small and lose statistical significance when we control for test scores and a behavioral index. For leaders hoping to identify the best on-track indicators for college completion, the information collected in student longitudinal data systems better predicts both short- and long-run educational outcomes than these survey-based measures of self-regulation and cognitive skills.
Abstractor: As Provided
IES Funded: Yes
Entry Date: 2025
Accession Number: ED664524
Database: ERIC
FullText Text:
  Availability: 0
CustomLinks:
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  Data: Are Students on Track?: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Administrative and Survey Measures of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills for Long-Term Outcomes. EdWorkingPaper No. 24-900
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Christopher+Cleveland%22">Christopher Cleveland</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Ethan+Scherer%22">Ethan Scherer</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Annenberg+Institute+for+School+Reform+at+Brown+University%22">Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University</searchLink>
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  Data: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. Brown University Box 1985, Providence, RI 02912. Tel: 401-863-7990; Fax: 401-863-1290; e-mail: annenberg@brown.edu; Web site: https://annenberg.brown.edu/
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Surveys%22">Surveys</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Thinking+Skills%22">Thinking Skills</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Self+Management%22">Self Management</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Student+Behavior%22">Student Behavior</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Performance%22">Performance</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Scores%22">Scores</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Grade+8%22">Grade 8</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Middle+School+Students%22">Middle School Students</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Outcomes+of+Education%22">Outcomes of Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Predictor+Variables%22">Predictor Variables</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Track+System+%28Education%29%22">Track System (Education)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Cognitive+Processes%22">Cognitive Processes</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Education leaders must identify valid metrics to predict student long-term success. We exploit a unique dataset containing data on cognitive skills, self-regulation, behavior, course performance, and test scores for 8th-grade students. We link these data to data on students' high school outcomes, college enrollment, persistence, and on-time degree completion. Cognitive tests and survey-based self-regulation measures predict high school and college outcomes. However, these relationships become small and lose statistical significance when we control for test scores and a behavioral index. For leaders hoping to identify the best on-track indicators for college completion, the information collected in student longitudinal data systems better predicts both short- and long-run educational outcomes than these survey-based measures of self-regulation and cognitive skills.
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  Data: 2025
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  Data: ED664524
PLink https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=ED664524
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    Languages:
      – Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 31
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Surveys
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Thinking Skills
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Self Management
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      – SubjectFull: Student Behavior
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      – SubjectFull: Performance
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      – SubjectFull: Scores
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      – SubjectFull: Grade 8
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      – SubjectFull: Middle School Students
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      – SubjectFull: Outcomes of Education
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      – SubjectFull: Predictor Variables
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      – SubjectFull: Track System (Education)
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      – SubjectFull: Cognitive Processes
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    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Are Students on Track?: Comparing the Predictive Validity of Administrative and Survey Measures of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills for Long-Term Outcomes. EdWorkingPaper No. 24-900
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              Y: 2024
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