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Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Political Party on Education Finance and Outcomes: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from U.S. States across Election Cycles. EdWorkingPaper No. 20-280

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Title: Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Political Party on Education Finance and Outcomes: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from U.S. States across Election Cycles. EdWorkingPaper No. 20-280
Language: English
Authors: Mark J. Chin, Lena Shi, Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University
Source: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. 2023.
Availability: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. Brown University Box 1985, Providence, RI 02912. Tel: 401-863-7990; Fax: 401-863-1290; e-mail: annenberg@brown.edu; Web site: https://annenberg.brown.edu/
Peer Reviewed: N
Page Count: 49
Publication Date: 2023
Sponsoring Agency: Institute of Education Sciences (ED)
Spencer Foundation
Contract Number: R305B150010
Document Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: Elementary Secondary Education
Higher Education
Postsecondary Education
Descriptors: Political Affiliation, Educational Finance, Outcomes of Education, Politics of Education, State Officials, Elections, Politics, State Government, Expenditures, Political Campaigns, Differences, Educational Trends, Trend Analysis, Elementary Secondary Education, Higher Education, Class Size, Small Classes, Graduation Rate, College Enrollment, Enrollment Rate, Context Effect
Abstract: In the U.S., state politicians directly influence legislation and budget decisions that can substantially affect public education spending and students. Does the political party of elected officials matter for these outcomes? We use a regression discontinuity design to analyze close house and gubernatorial elections from 1982 to 2016 and find that the impact of Democratic control of state government depends on whether elections occur during a presidential election year. On average, Democratic states spend less per capita on K-12 education. This trend, however, reverses when Democrats secure marginal control during off-cycle elections. Outside of presidential election years, we find increased state expenditures on both K-12 education and higher education. These increases coincided with smaller K-12 class sizes, relatively higher high school diploma rates, and expanded college enrollment. Our results highlight the importance of considering how federal political contexts influence the effects of state-level politics on education finance and outcomes.
Abstractor: As Provided
IES Funded: Yes
Entry Date: 2025
Accession Number: ED671428
Database: ERIC
FullText Text:
  Availability: 0
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  Data: Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Political Party on Education Finance and Outcomes: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from U.S. States across Election Cycles. EdWorkingPaper No. 20-280
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  Data: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University. Brown University Box 1985, Providence, RI 02912. Tel: 401-863-7990; Fax: 401-863-1290; e-mail: annenberg@brown.edu; Web site: https://annenberg.brown.edu/
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  Data: N
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  Data: 49
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22Elementary+Secondary+Education%22">Elementary Secondary Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22Higher+Education%22">Higher Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22Postsecondary+Education%22">Postsecondary Education</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Political+Affiliation%22">Political Affiliation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Educational+Finance%22">Educational Finance</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Outcomes+of+Education%22">Outcomes of Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Politics+of+Education%22">Politics of Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22State+Officials%22">State Officials</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Elections%22">Elections</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Politics%22">Politics</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22State+Government%22">State Government</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Expenditures%22">Expenditures</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Political+Campaigns%22">Political Campaigns</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Differences%22">Differences</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Educational+Trends%22">Educational Trends</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Trend+Analysis%22">Trend Analysis</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Elementary+Secondary+Education%22">Elementary Secondary Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Higher+Education%22">Higher Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Class+Size%22">Class Size</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Small+Classes%22">Small Classes</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Graduation+Rate%22">Graduation Rate</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22College+Enrollment%22">College Enrollment</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Enrollment+Rate%22">Enrollment Rate</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Context+Effect%22">Context Effect</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: In the U.S., state politicians directly influence legislation and budget decisions that can substantially affect public education spending and students. Does the political party of elected officials matter for these outcomes? We use a regression discontinuity design to analyze close house and gubernatorial elections from 1982 to 2016 and find that the impact of Democratic control of state government depends on whether elections occur during a presidential election year. On average, Democratic states spend less per capita on K-12 education. This trend, however, reverses when Democrats secure marginal control during off-cycle elections. Outside of presidential election years, we find increased state expenditures on both K-12 education and higher education. These increases coincided with smaller K-12 class sizes, relatively higher high school diploma rates, and expanded college enrollment. Our results highlight the importance of considering how federal political contexts influence the effects of state-level politics on education finance and outcomes.
– Name: AbstractInfo
  Label: Abstractor
  Group: Ab
  Data: As Provided
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  Label: IES Funded
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  Data: Yes
– Name: DateEntry
  Label: Entry Date
  Group: Date
  Data: 2025
– Name: AN
  Label: Accession Number
  Group: ID
  Data: ED671428
PLink https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=eric&AN=ED671428
RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Languages:
      – Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
      Pagination:
        PageCount: 49
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Political Affiliation
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Educational Finance
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Outcomes of Education
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Politics of Education
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: State Officials
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Elections
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Politics
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: State Government
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Expenditures
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Political Campaigns
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Differences
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Educational Trends
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Trend Analysis
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Elementary Secondary Education
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Higher Education
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Class Size
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Small Classes
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Graduation Rate
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: College Enrollment
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Enrollment Rate
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Context Effect
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Average and Heterogeneous Effects of Political Party on Education Finance and Outcomes: Regression Discontinuity Evidence from U.S. States across Election Cycles. EdWorkingPaper No. 20-280
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            NameFull: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University
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            NameFull: Mark J. Chin
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            NameFull: Lena Shi
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              M: 04
              Type: published
              Y: 2023
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            – TitleFull: Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University
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