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Predictive Validity: Post-Secondary Enrollment. Research Brief

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Title: Predictive Validity: Post-Secondary Enrollment. Research Brief
Language: English
Authors: Juliana Pacicco, Josh Rew, Oregon Department of Education
Source: Oregon Department of Education. 2025.
Availability: Oregon Department of Education. 255 Capitol Street NE, Salem, OR 97310-0203. Tel: 503-947-5600; Fax: 503-378-5156; Web site: https://www.oregon.gov/ode/reports-and-data/Pages/default.aspx
Peer Reviewed: N
Page Count: 8
Publication Date: 2025
Document Type: Reports - Research
Education Level: Higher Education
Postsecondary Education
Grade 11
High Schools
Secondary Education
Descriptors: English Instruction, Language Arts, Mathematics Achievement, Academic Achievement, College Enrollment, Prediction, Validity, Scores, Postsecondary Education, Grade 11, Achievement Tests, Standardized Tests, State Standards
Geographic Terms: Oregon
Abstract: This study examines how student performance in English Language Arts (ELA) and Mathematics predicts later college enrollment. The results show a strong and consistent relationship over time: students who score at the highest performance level are more than twice as likely to enroll in college compared with students scoring at the lowest level. Mathematics performance is a stronger predictor of enrollment in four-year colleges than in two-year colleges, and it also remains more influential than ELA when both subjects are considered together. Students with high mathematics scores are likely to enroll in a four-year college even if their ELA scores are lower, while high ELA performance alone is less strongly associated with four-year college enrollment. These findings suggest that mathematics proficiency plays a particularly important role in shaping postsecondary pathways.
Abstractor: As Provided
Entry Date: 2025
Accession Number: ED676907
Database: ERIC
FullText Text:
  Availability: 0
CustomLinks:
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  Data: Predictive Validity: Post-Secondary Enrollment. Research Brief
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  Data: Oregon Department of Education. 255 Capitol Street NE, Salem, OR 97310-0203. Tel: 503-947-5600; Fax: 503-378-5156; Web site: https://www.oregon.gov/ode/reports-and-data/Pages/default.aspx
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  Data: 8
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22Higher+Education%22">Higher Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22Postsecondary+Education%22">Postsecondary Education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22Grade+11%22">Grade 11</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22High+Schools%22">High Schools</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="EL" term="%22Secondary+Education%22">Secondary Education</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Oregon%22">Oregon</searchLink>
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  Data: This study examines how student performance in English Language Arts (ELA) and Mathematics predicts later college enrollment. The results show a strong and consistent relationship over time: students who score at the highest performance level are more than twice as likely to enroll in college compared with students scoring at the lowest level. Mathematics performance is a stronger predictor of enrollment in four-year colleges than in two-year colleges, and it also remains more influential than ELA when both subjects are considered together. Students with high mathematics scores are likely to enroll in a four-year college even if their ELA scores are lower, while high ELA performance alone is less strongly associated with four-year college enrollment. These findings suggest that mathematics proficiency plays a particularly important role in shaping postsecondary pathways.
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      – Text: English
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        PageCount: 8
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: English Instruction
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Language Arts
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Mathematics Achievement
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Academic Achievement
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      – SubjectFull: College Enrollment
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      – SubjectFull: Prediction
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      – SubjectFull: Validity
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      – SubjectFull: Scores
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Postsecondary Education
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Grade 11
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Achievement Tests
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      – SubjectFull: Standardized Tests
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      – SubjectFull: State Standards
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      – SubjectFull: Oregon
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      – TitleFull: Predictive Validity: Post-Secondary Enrollment. Research Brief
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