Probabilidades de empleo-desempleo en Medellín: evidencia empírica para pensar un seguro de desempleo en Colombia.

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Title: Probabilidades de empleo-desempleo en Medellín: evidencia empírica para pensar un seguro de desempleo en Colombia.
Alternate Title: Employment and unemployment probability in Medellin: empirical evidence for thinking about an unemployment insurance in Colombia.
Authors: Nieto, Emmanuel1 emmanuel@saludpublica.udea.edu.co, Mejía, Luz M.2, Cardona, Álvaro3
Source: Revista Facultad Nacional de Salud Pública. ene-abr2013, Vol. 31 Issue 1, p67-74. 8p.
Subjects: EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYED people, JOB hunting, LOGISTIC regression analysis, NONPARAMETRIC estimation
Geographic Terms: MEDELLIN (Colombia), COLOMBIA
Abstract (English): Objective: to estimate the employment and unemployment probability of the labor force in the metropolitan area of Medellín (Colombia), and to analyze the duration of the unemployment period experienced by a group of unemployed workers in Medellín during 2004 in terms of individual characteristics and job search time. Methodology: a cross-sectional, descriptive study using secondary and primary sources. Two central analysis categories were defined for the study: employed labor force and unemployed labor force. Likewise, logistic regression and nonparametric estimation techniques such as the Kaplan-Meier survival tables were applied. Results: unemployed women aged 44 and older, with secondary education and work experience in the industry and commerce sectors were the most likely to remain unemployed, and therefore spend more time searching for a job. Discussion: the main findings of this study and their relationship with other local and national studies demonstrate that the duration of the unemployment periods in Colombia is, in most cases, long; therefore, this factor should be taken into account while discussing the scope and nature of unemployment insurance plans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Abstract (Spanish): Objetivo: estimar las probabilidades de empleo-desempleo de la fuerza laboral del área metropolitana de Medellín-Colombia y analizar la duración del desempleo según características individuales y tiempo de búsqueda de empleo de un grupo de trabajadores cesantes de esta área en el año 2004, a fin de aportar evidencia científica para la toma de decisiones en materia de políticas de protección social. Metodología: estudio descriptivo de corte transversal que utilizó fuentes de información secundaria y primaria. Dos categorías centrales de análisis se definieron para los propósitos del estudio: fuerza laboral ocupada y fuerza laboral cesante. Para los fines pertinentes, se aplicaron técnicas de regresión logística y de estimación no paramétrica tipo Kaplan-Meier de tablas de supervivencia. Resultados: los cesantes de sexo femenino, con edad superior a los 44 años, educación media y experiencia laboral en los sectores de la industria y el comercio, fueron los que registraron mayores probabilidades de permanecer desempleados y, por tanto, mayor tiempo promedio de búsqueda de empleo. Discusión: los principales hallazgos del estudio y su relación con otros de carácter local y nacional evidencian que buena parte del desempleo en Colombia es de larga duración y este precedente debería orientar la discusión sobre los alcances y las características de un seguro de desempleo. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Revista Facultad Nacional de Salud Pública is the property of Universidad de Antioquia, Facultad Nacional de Salud Publica and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: Probabilidades de empleo-desempleo en Medellín: evidencia empírica para pensar un seguro de desempleo en Colombia.
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  Data: Employment and unemployment probability in Medellin: empirical evidence for thinking about an unemployment insurance in Colombia.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Nieto%2C+Emmanuel%22">Nieto, Emmanuel</searchLink><relatesTo>1</relatesTo><i> emmanuel@saludpublica.udea.edu.co</i><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Mejía%2C+Luz+M%2E%22">Mejía, Luz M.</searchLink><relatesTo>2</relatesTo><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Cardona%2C+Álvaro%22">Cardona, Álvaro</searchLink><relatesTo>3</relatesTo>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Revista+Facultad+Nacional+de+Salud+Pública%22">Revista Facultad Nacional de Salud Pública</searchLink>. ene-abr2013, Vol. 31 Issue 1, p67-74. 8p.
– Name: Subject
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22EMPLOYMENT%22">EMPLOYMENT</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22UNEMPLOYMENT%22">UNEMPLOYMENT</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22UNEMPLOYED+people%22">UNEMPLOYED people</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22JOB+hunting%22">JOB hunting</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22LOGISTIC+regression+analysis%22">LOGISTIC regression analysis</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22NONPARAMETRIC+estimation%22">NONPARAMETRIC estimation</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22MEDELLIN+%28Colombia%29%22">MEDELLIN (Colombia)</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22COLOMBIA%22">COLOMBIA</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract (English)
  Group: Ab
  Data: Objective: to estimate the employment and unemployment probability of the labor force in the metropolitan area of Medellín (Colombia), and to analyze the duration of the unemployment period experienced by a group of unemployed workers in Medellín during 2004 in terms of individual characteristics and job search time. Methodology: a cross-sectional, descriptive study using secondary and primary sources. Two central analysis categories were defined for the study: employed labor force and unemployed labor force. Likewise, logistic regression and nonparametric estimation techniques such as the Kaplan-Meier survival tables were applied. Results: unemployed women aged 44 and older, with secondary education and work experience in the industry and commerce sectors were the most likely to remain unemployed, and therefore spend more time searching for a job. Discussion: the main findings of this study and their relationship with other local and national studies demonstrate that the duration of the unemployment periods in Colombia is, in most cases, long; therefore, this factor should be taken into account while discussing the scope and nature of unemployment insurance plans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract (Spanish)
  Group: Ab
  Data: Objetivo: estimar las probabilidades de empleo-desempleo de la fuerza laboral del área metropolitana de Medellín-Colombia y analizar la duración del desempleo según características individuales y tiempo de búsqueda de empleo de un grupo de trabajadores cesantes de esta área en el año 2004, a fin de aportar evidencia científica para la toma de decisiones en materia de políticas de protección social. Metodología: estudio descriptivo de corte transversal que utilizó fuentes de información secundaria y primaria. Dos categorías centrales de análisis se definieron para los propósitos del estudio: fuerza laboral ocupada y fuerza laboral cesante. Para los fines pertinentes, se aplicaron técnicas de regresión logística y de estimación no paramétrica tipo Kaplan-Meier de tablas de supervivencia. Resultados: los cesantes de sexo femenino, con edad superior a los 44 años, educación media y experiencia laboral en los sectores de la industria y el comercio, fueron los que registraron mayores probabilidades de permanecer desempleados y, por tanto, mayor tiempo promedio de búsqueda de empleo. Discusión: los principales hallazgos del estudio y su relación con otros de carácter local y nacional evidencian que buena parte del desempleo en Colombia es de larga duración y este precedente debería orientar la discusión sobre los alcances y las características de un seguro de desempleo. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Revista Facultad Nacional de Salud Pública is the property of Universidad de Antioquia, Facultad Nacional de Salud Publica and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
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        Value: 10.17533/udea.rfnsp.12481
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      – Code: spa
        Text: Spanish
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        StartPage: 67
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: EMPLOYMENT
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: UNEMPLOYMENT
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: UNEMPLOYED people
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      – SubjectFull: JOB hunting
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      – SubjectFull: LOGISTIC regression analysis
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      – SubjectFull: NONPARAMETRIC estimation
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      – SubjectFull: MEDELLIN (Colombia)
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      – SubjectFull: COLOMBIA
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      – TitleFull: Probabilidades de empleo-desempleo en Medellín: evidencia empírica para pensar un seguro de desempleo en Colombia.
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