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Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.

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Title: Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
Authors: Cramer EY; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Ray EL; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Lopez VK; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Bracher J; Chair of Econometrics and Statistics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 76185 Karlsruhe, Germany.; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies, 69118 Heidelberg, Germany., Brennen A; IQT Labs, In-Q-Tel, Waltham, MA 02451., Castro Rivadeneira AJ; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gerding A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gneiting T; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies, 69118 Heidelberg, Germany.; Institute of Stochastics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 69118 Karlsruhe, Germany., House KH; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Huang Y; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Jayawardena D; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Kanji AH; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Khandelwal A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Le K; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Mühlemann A; Institute of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Bern, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland., Niemi J; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Shah A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Stark A; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Wang Y; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Wattanachit N; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Zorn MW; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gu Y; Unaffiliated, New York, NY 10016., Jain S; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Bannur N; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Deva A; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Kulkarni M; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Merugu S; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Raval A; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Shingi S; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Tiwari A; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., White J; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India., Abernethy NF; University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98109., Woody S; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Dahan M; Texas Advanced Computing Center, Austin, TX 78758., Fox S; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Gaither K; Texas Advanced Computing Center, Austin, TX 78758., Lachmann M; Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM 87501., Meyers LA; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Scott JG; Department of Information, Risk, and Operations Management, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Tec M; Department of Statistics and Data Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Srivastava A; Ming Hsieh Department of Computer and Electrical Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089., George GE; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Cegan JC; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742., Dettwiller ID; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., England WP; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Farthing MW; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Hunter RH; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Lafferty B; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Linkov I; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742., Mayo ML; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Parno MD; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Hanover, NH 03755., Rowland MA; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180., Trump BD; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742., Zhang-James Y; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Chen S; School of Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Faraone SV; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Hess J; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Morley CP; Department of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Salekin A; Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13207., Wang D; Department of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210., Corsetti SM; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Baer TM; Department of Physics, Trinity University, San Antonio, TX 78212., Eisenberg MC; Department of Complex Systems, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.; Department of Mathematics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.; School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109., Falb K; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Huang Y; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Martin ET; School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109., McCauley E; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Myers RL; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Schwarz T; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109., Sheldon D; College of Information and Computer Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Gibson GC; School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003., Yu R; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093.; Khoury College of Computer Sciences, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Gao L; Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98185., Ma Y; Halıcıoğlu Data Science Institute, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093., Wu D; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093., Yan X; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106., Jin X; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106., Wang YX; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106., Chen Y; Mechatronics, Embedded Systems and Automation Lab, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of California, Merced, CA 95301., Guo L; Jilin University, Changchun City, Jilin Province, 130012, People's Republic of China., Zhao Y; University of Science and Technology of China, Heifei, Anhui, 230027, People's Republic of China., Gu Q; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Chen J; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Wang L; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Xu P; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Zhang W; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Zou D; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095., Biegel H; Department of Mathematics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721., Lega J; Department of Mathematics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721., McConnell S; Construx, Bellevue, WA 98004., Nagraj VP; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911., Guertin SL; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911., Hulme-Lowe C; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Austin, TX 78759., Turner SD; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911., Shi Y; Department of Materials Science and Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12309., Ban X; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Walraven R; Unaffiliated, Davis, CA 95616., Hong QJ; School for Engineering of Matter, Transport and Energy, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.; School of Engineering, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912., Kong S; Manhasset Secondary School, Manhasset, NY 11030., van de Walle A; School of Engineering, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912., Turtle JA; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121., Ben-Nun M; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121., Riley S; Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College, W2 1PG London, United Kingdom., Riley P; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121., Koyluoglu U; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., DesRoches D; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, Boston, MA 02110., Forli P; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, Sao Paolo, Brazil 04711-904., Hamory B; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, Boston, MA 02110., Kyriakides C; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Leis H; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Milliken J; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Moloney M; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Morgan J; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Nirgudkar N; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Ozcan G; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Piwonka N; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Ravi M; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Schrader C; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Shakhnovich E; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Siegel D; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Spatz R; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Stiefeling C; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman Digital, Toronto, ON, Canada M5J 0A1., Wilkinson B; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, London, UK W1U 8EW., Wong A; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036., Cavany S; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., España G; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Moore S; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Oidtman R; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556.; Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637., Perkins A; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556., Kraus D; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic., Kraus A; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic., Gao Z; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Bian J; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Cao W; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Lavista Ferres J; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Li C; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Liu TY; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Xie X; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Zhang S; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Zheng S; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029., Vespignani A; Institute for Scientific Interchange Foundation, Turin, 10133, Italy.; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Chinazzi M; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Davis JT; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Mu K; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Pastore Y Piontti A; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Xiong X; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115., Zheng A; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Baek J; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Farias V; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Georgescu A; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Levi R; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Sinha D; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Wilde J; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Perakis G; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Bennouna MA; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Nze-Ndong D; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Singhvi D; Technology, Operations and Statistics (TOPS) group, Stern School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10012., Spantidakis I; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Thayaparan L; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Tsiourvas A; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Sarker A; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Jadbabaie A; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Shah D; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Della Penna N; Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Celi LA; Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139., Sundar S; River Hill High School, Clarksville, MD 21029., Wolfinger R; JMP Life Sciences, SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC 27513., Osthus D; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Castro L; Information Systems and Modeling Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Fairchild G; Information Systems and Modeling Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Michaud I; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545., Karlen D; Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada.; Physical Sciences Division, TRIUMF, Vancouver, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada., Kinsey M; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Mullany LC; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Rainwater-Lovett K; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Shin L; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Tallaksen K; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Wilson S; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723., Lee EC; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Dent J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Grantz KH; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Hill AL; Institute for Computational Medicine, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21218., Kaminsky J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Kaminsky K; Unaffiliated, Baltimore, MD 21205., Keegan LT; Division of Epidemiology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84108., Lauer SA; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Lemaitre JC; Laboratory of Ecohydrology, School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering, École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland., Lessler J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Meredith HR; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Perez-Saez J; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Shah S; Unaffiliated, San Francisco, CA 94122., Smith CP; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215., Truelove SA; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21215.; International Vaccine Access Center, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21231.; Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21231., Wills J; Unaffiliated, San Francisco, CA 94122., Marshall M; Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218., Gardner L; Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218., Nixon K; Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21218., Burant JC; Unaffiliated, Amsterdam, The Netherlands., Wang L; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Gao L; Department of Finance, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Gu Z; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Kim M; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Li X; School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, Clemson University, Clemson, SC 29634., Wang G; Department of Mathematics, College of William & Mary, Williamsburg, VA 23187., Wang Y; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011., Yu S; Department of Statistics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904., Reiner RC; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Barber R; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Gakidou E; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Hay SI; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Lim S; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Murray C; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Pigott D; Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Gurung HL; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Bel Air, MD 21015., Baccam P; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Bel Air, MD 21015., Stage SA; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Baton Rouge, LA 70809., Suchoski BT; Emerging Technologies, IEM, Inc., Bel Air, MD 21015., Prakash BA; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Adhikari B; Department of Computer Science, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA 52242., Cui J; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Rodríguez A; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Tabassum A; Department of Computer Science, Virginia Tech, Falls Church, VA 22043., Xie J; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308., Keskinocak P; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Asplund J; Advanced Data Analytics, Metron, Inc., Reston, VA 20190., Baxter A; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Oruc BE; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Serban N; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Arik SO; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Dusenberry M; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Epshteyn A; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Kanal E; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Le LT; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Li CL; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Pfister T; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Sava D; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Sinha R; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Tsai T; Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138., Yoder N; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Yoon J; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Zhang L; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089., Abbott S; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Bosse NI; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Funk S; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Hellewell J; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Meakin SR; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Sherratt K; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom., Zhou M; McCombs School of Business, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Kalantari R; Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712., Yamana TK; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Pei S; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Shaman J; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Li ML; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Bertsimas D; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142., Skali Lami O; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Soni S; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Tazi Bouardi H; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139., Ayer T; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332.; Winship Cancer Institute, Emory University Medical School, Atlanta, GA 30322., Adee M; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Chhatwal J; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Dalgic OO; Health Economic Modeling, Value Analytics Labs, 34776 İstanbul, Turkey., Ladd MA; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Linas BP; Department of Medicine, Section of Infectious Diseases, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA 02118., Mueller P; Radiology-Institute for Technology Assessment, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 02114., Xiao J; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332., Wang Y; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.; Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Wang Q; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Xie S; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032., Zeng D; Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599., Green A; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Bien J; Marshall School of Business, Department of Data Sciences and Operations (DSO), University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089., Brooks L; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Hu AJ; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Jahja M; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., McDonald D; Department of Statistics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada., Narasimhan B; Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Politsch C; Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Rajanala S; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Rumack A; Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Simon N; Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195., Tibshirani RJ; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Tibshirani R; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305., Ventura V; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., Wasserman L; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213., O'Dea EB; Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602., Drake JM; Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602., Pagano R; Unaffiliated, Tucson, AZ 85704., Tran QT; Catalog Data Science, Walmart Inc., Sunnyvale, CA 94085., Ho LST; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, B3H 4R2, Canada., Huynh H; Virtual Power System Inc, Milpitas, CA 95035., Walker JW; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Slayton RB; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Johansson MA; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Biggerstaff M; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333., Reich NG; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.
Source: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America [Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A] 2022 Apr 12; Vol. 119 (15), pp. e2113561119. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Apr 08.
Publication Type: Journal Article
Journal Info: Publisher: National Academy of Sciences Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 7505876 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1091-6490 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00278424 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Subsets: MEDLINE
Database: MEDLINE Ultimate
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  Data: Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
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Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gerding+A%22">Gerding A</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gneiting+T%22">Gneiting T</searchLink>; Computational Statistics Group, Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies, 69118 Heidelberg, Germany.; Institute of Stochastics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 69118 Karlsruhe, Germany.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22House+KH%22">House KH</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Huang+Y%22">Huang Y</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Jayawardena+D%22">Jayawardena D</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kanji+AH%22">Kanji AH</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Khandelwal+A%22">Khandelwal A</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Le+K%22">Le K</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Mühlemann+A%22">Mühlemann A</searchLink>; Institute of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Bern, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Niemi+J%22">Niemi J</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Shah+A%22">Shah A</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Stark+A%22">Stark A</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wang+Y%22">Wang Y</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wattanachit+N%22">Wattanachit N</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zorn+MW%22">Zorn MW</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gu+Y%22">Gu Y</searchLink>; Unaffiliated, New York, NY 10016.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Jain+S%22">Jain S</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bannur+N%22">Bannur N</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Deva+A%22">Deva A</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kulkarni+M%22">Kulkarni M</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Merugu+S%22">Merugu S</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Raval+A%22">Raval A</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Shingi+S%22">Shingi S</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tiwari+A%22">Tiwari A</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22White+J%22">White J</searchLink>; Wadhwani Institute of Artificial Intelligence, Andheri East, Mumbai, 400093, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Abernethy+NF%22">Abernethy NF</searchLink>; University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Woody+S%22">Woody S</searchLink>; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Dahan+M%22">Dahan M</searchLink>; Texas Advanced Computing Center, Austin, TX 78758.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Fox+S%22">Fox S</searchLink>; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gaither+K%22">Gaither K</searchLink>; Texas Advanced Computing Center, Austin, TX 78758.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Lachmann+M%22">Lachmann M</searchLink>; Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, NM 87501.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Meyers+LA%22">Meyers LA</searchLink>; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Scott+JG%22">Scott JG</searchLink>; Department of Information, Risk, and Operations Management, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tec+M%22">Tec M</searchLink>; Department of Statistics and Data Sciences, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Srivastava+A%22">Srivastava A</searchLink>; Ming Hsieh Department of Computer and Electrical Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22George+GE%22">George GE</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Cegan+JC%22">Cegan JC</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Dettwiller+ID%22">Dettwiller ID</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22England+WP%22">England WP</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Farthing+MW%22">Farthing MW</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hunter+RH%22">Hunter RH</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Lafferty+B%22">Lafferty B</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Linkov+I%22">Linkov I</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Mayo+ML%22">Mayo ML</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Parno+MD%22">Parno MD</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Hanover, NH 03755.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Rowland+MA%22">Rowland MA</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Trump+BD%22">Trump BD</searchLink>; US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA 01742.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zhang-James+Y%22">Zhang-James Y</searchLink>; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Chen+S%22">Chen S</searchLink>; School of Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Faraone+SV%22">Faraone SV</searchLink>; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hess+J%22">Hess J</searchLink>; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Morley+CP%22">Morley CP</searchLink>; Department of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Salekin+A%22">Salekin A</searchLink>; Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13207.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wang+D%22">Wang D</searchLink>; Department of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, State University of New York Upstate Medical University, Syracuse, NY 13210.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Corsetti+SM%22">Corsetti SM</searchLink>; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Baer+TM%22">Baer TM</searchLink>; Department of Physics, Trinity University, San Antonio, TX 78212.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Eisenberg+MC%22">Eisenberg MC</searchLink>; Department of Complex Systems, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.; Department of Mathematics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.; School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Falb+K%22">Falb K</searchLink>; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Huang+Y%22">Huang Y</searchLink>; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Martin+ET%22">Martin ET</searchLink>; School of Public Health, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22McCauley+E%22">McCauley E</searchLink>; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Myers+RL%22">Myers RL</searchLink>; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Schwarz+T%22">Schwarz T</searchLink>; Department of Physics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sheldon+D%22">Sheldon D</searchLink>; College of Information and Computer Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gibson+GC%22">Gibson GC</searchLink>; School of Public Health and Health Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Yu+R%22">Yu R</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093.; Khoury College of Computer Sciences, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gao+L%22">Gao L</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98185.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ma+Y%22">Ma Y</searchLink>; Halıcıoğlu Data Science Institute, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wu+D%22">Wu D</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of California, San Diego, CA 92093.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Yan+X%22">Yan X</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Jin+X%22">Jin X</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wang+YX%22">Wang YX</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Chen+Y%22">Chen Y</searchLink>; Mechatronics, Embedded Systems and Automation Lab, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of California, Merced, CA 95301.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Guo+L%22">Guo L</searchLink>; Jilin University, Changchun City, Jilin Province, 130012, People's Republic of China.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zhao+Y%22">Zhao Y</searchLink>; University of Science and Technology of China, Heifei, Anhui, 230027, People's Republic of China.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gu+Q%22">Gu Q</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Chen+J%22">Chen J</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wang+L%22">Wang L</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Xu+P%22">Xu P</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zhang+W%22">Zhang W</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zou+D%22">Zou D</searchLink>; Department of Computer Science, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Biegel+H%22">Biegel H</searchLink>; Department of Mathematics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Lega+J%22">Lega J</searchLink>; Department of Mathematics, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22McConnell+S%22">McConnell S</searchLink>; Construx, Bellevue, WA 98004.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Nagraj+VP%22">Nagraj VP</searchLink>; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Guertin+SL%22">Guertin SL</searchLink>; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hulme-Lowe+C%22">Hulme-Lowe C</searchLink>; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Austin, TX 78759.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Turner+SD%22">Turner SD</searchLink>; Quality Assurance and Data Science, Signature Science, LLC, Charlottesville, VA 22911.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Shi+Y%22">Shi Y</searchLink>; Department of Materials Science and Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12309.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ban+X%22">Ban X</searchLink>; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Walraven+R%22">Walraven R</searchLink>; Unaffiliated, Davis, CA 95616.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hong+QJ%22">Hong QJ</searchLink>; School for Engineering of Matter, Transport and Energy, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287.; School of Engineering, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kong+S%22">Kong S</searchLink>; Manhasset Secondary School, Manhasset, NY 11030.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22van+de+Walle+A%22">van de Walle A</searchLink>; School of Engineering, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Turtle+JA%22">Turtle JA</searchLink>; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ben-Nun+M%22">Ben-Nun M</searchLink>; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Riley+S%22">Riley S</searchLink>; Medical Research Council Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Imperial College, W2 1PG London, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Riley+P%22">Riley P</searchLink>; Infectious Disease Group, Predictive Science, Inc, San Diego, CA 92121.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Koyluoglu+U%22">Koyluoglu U</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22DesRoches+D%22">DesRoches D</searchLink>; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, Boston, MA 02110.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Forli+P%22">Forli P</searchLink>; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, Sao Paolo, Brazil 04711-904.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hamory+B%22">Hamory B</searchLink>; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, Boston, MA 02110.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kyriakides+C%22">Kyriakides C</searchLink>; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Leis+H%22">Leis H</searchLink>; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Milliken+J%22">Milliken J</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Moloney+M%22">Moloney M</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Morgan+J%22">Morgan J</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Nirgudkar+N%22">Nirgudkar N</searchLink>; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ozcan+G%22">Ozcan G</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Piwonka+N%22">Piwonka N</searchLink>; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ravi+M%22">Ravi M</searchLink>; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Schrader+C%22">Schrader C</searchLink>; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Shakhnovich+E%22">Shakhnovich E</searchLink>; Health & Life Sciences, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Siegel+D%22">Siegel D</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Spatz+R%22">Spatz R</searchLink>; Core Consultant Group, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Stiefeling+C%22">Stiefeling C</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman Digital, Toronto, ON, Canada M5J 0A1.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wilkinson+B%22">Wilkinson B</searchLink>; Financial Services, Oliver Wyman, London, UK W1U 8EW.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wong+A%22">Wong A</searchLink>; Oliver Wyman Digital, Oliver Wyman, New York, NY 10036.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Cavany+S%22">Cavany S</searchLink>; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22España+G%22">España G</searchLink>; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Moore+S%22">Moore S</searchLink>; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Oidtman+R%22">Oidtman R</searchLink>; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556.; Department of Ecology and Evolution, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Perkins+A%22">Perkins A</searchLink>; Department of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kraus+D%22">Kraus D</searchLink>; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kraus+A%22">Kraus A</searchLink>; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gao+Z%22">Gao Z</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bian+J%22">Bian J</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Cao+W%22">Cao W</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Lavista+Ferres+J%22">Lavista Ferres J</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Li+C%22">Li C</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Liu+TY%22">Liu TY</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Xie+X%22">Xie X</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zhang+S%22">Zhang S</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zheng+S%22">Zheng S</searchLink>; Microsoft, Redmond, WA 98029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Vespignani+A%22">Vespignani A</searchLink>; Institute for Scientific Interchange Foundation, Turin, 10133, Italy.; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Chinazzi+M%22">Chinazzi M</searchLink>; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Davis+JT%22">Davis JT</searchLink>; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Mu+K%22">Mu K</searchLink>; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Pastore+Y+Piontti+A%22">Pastore Y Piontti A</searchLink>; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Xiong+X%22">Xiong X</searchLink>; Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zheng+A%22">Zheng A</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Baek+J%22">Baek J</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Farias+V%22">Farias V</searchLink>; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Georgescu+A%22">Georgescu A</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Levi+R%22">Levi R</searchLink>; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sinha+D%22">Sinha D</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wilde+J%22">Wilde J</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Perakis+G%22">Perakis G</searchLink>; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bennouna+MA%22">Bennouna MA</searchLink>; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Nze-Ndong+D%22">Nze-Ndong D</searchLink>; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Singhvi+D%22">Singhvi D</searchLink>; Technology, Operations and Statistics (TOPS) group, Stern School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10012.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Spantidakis+I%22">Spantidakis I</searchLink>; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Thayaparan+L%22">Thayaparan L</searchLink>; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tsiourvas+A%22">Tsiourvas A</searchLink>; Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sarker+A%22">Sarker A</searchLink>; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Jadbabaie+A%22">Jadbabaie A</searchLink>; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Shah+D%22">Shah D</searchLink>; Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Della+Penna+N%22">Della Penna N</searchLink>; Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Celi+LA%22">Celi LA</searchLink>; Laboratory for Computational Physiology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sundar+S%22">Sundar S</searchLink>; River Hill High School, Clarksville, MD 21029.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wolfinger+R%22">Wolfinger R</searchLink>; JMP Life Sciences, SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC 27513.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Osthus+D%22">Osthus D</searchLink>; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Castro+L%22">Castro L</searchLink>; Information Systems and Modeling Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Fairchild+G%22">Fairchild G</searchLink>; Information Systems and Modeling Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Michaud+I%22">Michaud I</searchLink>; Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM 87545.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Karlen+D%22">Karlen D</searchLink>; Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada.; Physical Sciences Division, TRIUMF, Vancouver, BC, V8W 2Y2, Canada.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kinsey+M%22">Kinsey M</searchLink>; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Mullany+LC%22">Mullany LC</searchLink>; Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, Laurel, MD 20723.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Rainwater-Lovett+K%22">Rainwater-Lovett K</searchLink>; 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Department of Computer Science, Virginia Tech, Falls Church, VA 22043.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Xie+J%22">Xie J</searchLink>; College of Computing, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30308.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Keskinocak+P%22">Keskinocak P</searchLink>; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Asplund+J%22">Asplund J</searchLink>; Advanced Data Analytics, Metron, Inc., Reston, VA 20190.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Baxter+A%22">Baxter A</searchLink>; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Oruc+BE%22">Oruc BE</searchLink>; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Serban+N%22">Serban N</searchLink>; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Arik+SO%22">Arik SO</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Dusenberry+M%22">Dusenberry M</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Epshteyn+A%22">Epshteyn A</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kanal+E%22">Kanal E</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Le+LT%22">Le LT</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Li+CL%22">Li CL</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Pfister+T%22">Pfister T</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sava+D%22">Sava D</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sinha+R%22">Sinha R</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tsai+T%22">Tsai T</searchLink>; Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Yoder+N%22">Yoder N</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Yoon+J%22">Yoon J</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zhang+L%22">Zhang L</searchLink>; Google Cloud, Sunnyvale, CA 94089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Abbott+S%22">Abbott S</searchLink>; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bosse+NI%22">Bosse NI</searchLink>; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Funk+S%22">Funk S</searchLink>; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hellewell+J%22">Hellewell J</searchLink>; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Meakin+SR%22">Meakin SR</searchLink>; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sherratt+K%22">Sherratt K</searchLink>; Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT London, United Kingdom.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zhou+M%22">Zhou M</searchLink>; McCombs School of Business, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kalantari+R%22">Kalantari R</searchLink>; Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Yamana+TK%22">Yamana TK</searchLink>; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Pei+S%22">Pei S</searchLink>; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Shaman+J%22">Shaman J</searchLink>; Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Li+ML%22">Li ML</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bertsimas+D%22">Bertsimas D</searchLink>; Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Skali+Lami+O%22">Skali Lami O</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Soni+S%22">Soni S</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tazi+Bouardi+H%22">Tazi Bouardi H</searchLink>; Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Cambridge, MA 02139.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ayer+T%22">Ayer T</searchLink>; H. 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Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wang+Y%22">Wang Y</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.; Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wang+Q%22">Wang Q</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Xie+S%22">Xie S</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zeng+D%22">Zeng D</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Green+A%22">Green A</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bien+J%22">Bien J</searchLink>; Marshall School of Business, Department of Data Sciences and Operations (DSO), University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Brooks+L%22">Brooks L</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hu+AJ%22">Hu AJ</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Jahja+M%22">Jahja M</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22McDonald+D%22">McDonald D</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4, Canada.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Narasimhan+B%22">Narasimhan B</searchLink>; Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Politsch+C%22">Politsch C</searchLink>; Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Rajanala+S%22">Rajanala S</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Rumack+A%22">Rumack A</searchLink>; Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Simon+N%22">Simon N</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tibshirani+RJ%22">Tibshirani RJ</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tibshirani+R%22">Tibshirani R</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ventura+V%22">Ventura V</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wasserman+L%22">Wasserman L</searchLink>; Department of Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22O'Dea+EB%22">O'Dea EB</searchLink>; Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Drake+JM%22">Drake JM</searchLink>; Odum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Pagano+R%22">Pagano R</searchLink>; Unaffiliated, Tucson, AZ 85704.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Tran+QT%22">Tran QT</searchLink>; Catalog Data Science, Walmart Inc., Sunnyvale, CA 94085.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ho+LST%22">Ho LST</searchLink>; Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, B3H 4R2, Canada.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Huynh+H%22">Huynh H</searchLink>; Virtual Power System Inc, Milpitas, CA 95035.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Walker+JW%22">Walker JW</searchLink>; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Slayton+RB%22">Slayton RB</searchLink>; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Johansson+MA%22">Johansson MA</searchLink>; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Biggerstaff+M%22">Biggerstaff M</searchLink>; COVID-19 Response, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Atlanta, GA 30333.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Reich+NG%22">Reich NG</searchLink>; Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%227505876%22">Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America</searchLink> [Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A] 2022 Apr 12; Vol. 119 (15), pp. e2113561119. <i>Date of Electronic Publication: </i>2022 Apr 08.
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  Data: Journal Article
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  Data: <i>Publisher: </i><searchLink fieldCode="PB" term="%22National+Academy+of+Sciences%22">National Academy of Sciences </searchLink><i>Country of Publication: </i>United States <i>NLM ID: </i>7505876 <i>Publication Model: </i>Print-Electronic <i>Cited Medium: </i>Internet <i>ISSN: </i>1091-6490 (Electronic) <i>Linking ISSN: </i><searchLink fieldCode="IS" term="%2200278424%22">00278424 </searchLink><i>NLM ISO Abbreviation: </i>Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A <i>Subsets: </i>MEDLINE
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        Value: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119
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        Text: English
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        StartPage: e2113561119
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      – TitleFull: Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.
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            NameFull: Tiwari A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: White J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Abernethy NF
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Woody S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Dahan M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Fox S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gaither K
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lachmann M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Meyers LA
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Scott JG
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Tec M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Srivastava A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: George GE
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Cegan JC
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Dettwiller ID
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: England WP
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Farthing MW
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hunter RH
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lafferty B
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Linkov I
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Mayo ML
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Parno MD
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Trump BD
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zhang-James Y
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Chen S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Faraone SV
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hess J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wang D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Falb K
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Huang Y
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Martin ET
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: McCauley E
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Myers RL
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Schwarz T
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Sheldon D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gibson GC
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Yu R
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gao L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Ma Y
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wu D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Yan X
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Jin X
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wang YX
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Chen Y
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Guo L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zhao Y
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gu Q
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Chen J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wang L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Xu P
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zhang W
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zou D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Biegel H
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lega J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: McConnell S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Nagraj VP
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Guertin SL
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hulme-Lowe C
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Turner SD
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Walraven R
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hong QJ
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kong S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: van de Walle A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Turtle JA
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Ben-Nun M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Riley S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Riley P
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Koyluoglu U
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: DesRoches D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Forli P
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hamory B
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kyriakides C
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Milliken J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Moloney M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Morgan J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Nirgudkar N
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Ozcan G
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Piwonka N
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Ravi M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Schrader C
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Shakhnovich E
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Siegel D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Spatz R
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Stiefeling C
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wilkinson B
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wong A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Cavany S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: España G
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Moore S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Oidtman R
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Perkins A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kraus D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kraus A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gao Z
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Bian J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Cao W
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lavista Ferres J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Li C
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Liu TY
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Xie X
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zhang S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zheng S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Vespignani A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Chinazzi M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Davis JT
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Mu K
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Pastore Y Piontti A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Xiong X
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Zheng A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Baek J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Farias V
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Georgescu A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Levi R
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Sinha D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wilde J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Perakis G
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Bennouna MA
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Nze-Ndong D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Singhvi D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Spantidakis I
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Thayaparan L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Tsiourvas A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Sarker A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Jadbabaie A
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Shah D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Della Penna N
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Celi LA
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Sundar S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wolfinger R
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Osthus D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Castro L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Fairchild G
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Michaud I
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Karlen D
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kinsey M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Mullany LC
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Rainwater-Lovett K
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Shin L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Tallaksen K
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wilson S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lee EC
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Dent J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Grantz KH
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Hill AL
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kaminsky J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kaminsky K
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Keegan LT
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lauer SA
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lemaitre JC
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Lessler J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Meredith HR
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Perez-Saez J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Shah S
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Smith CP
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Truelove SA
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wills J
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Marshall M
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gardner L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Nixon K
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Burant JC
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Wang L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gao L
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Gu Z
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Kim M
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          Dates:
            – D: 12
              M: 04
              Text: 2022 Apr 12
              Type: published
              Y: 2022
          Identifiers:
            – Type: issn-electronic
              Value: 1091-6490
          Numbering:
            – Type: volume
              Value: 119
            – Type: issue
              Value: 15
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
              Type: main
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