Estimating the total incidence of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years from 1990 to 2050: a global simulation-based analysis.

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Title: Estimating the total incidence of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years from 1990 to 2050: a global simulation-based analysis.
Authors: Ward ZJ; Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: zward@hsph.harvard.edu., Yeh JM; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of General Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Reddy CL; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Gomber A; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Ross C; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Academic Foundation Programme, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK., Rittiphairoj T; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Health Systems Management, Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand., Manne-Goehler J; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Infectious Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Abdalla AT; International University of Africa, College of Medicine, Khartoum, Sudan., Abdullah MA; International University of Africa, College of Medicine, Khartoum, Sudan; Sudanese Childhood Diabetes Association, Khartoum, Sudan., Ahmed A; Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia., Ankotche A; Department of Internal Medicine, Endocrinology and Geriatrics, Unit of Training and Research, Medical Science of Abidjan, University of Côte D'Ivoire, Abidjan, Ivory Coast., Azad K; BIRDEM and Ibrahim Medical College, Dhaka, Bangladesh., Bahendeka S; Department of Internal Medicine, MKPGMS Uganda Martyrs University, Kampala, Uganda., Baldé N; Department of Endocrinology, University Hospital, Conakry, Guinea., Jain SM; TOTALL Diabetes Hormone Institute, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India., Kalobu JC; Memisa, Kinshasa, DR Congo., Karekezi C; Kenya Diabetes Management and Information Centre, Nairobi, Kenya., Kol H; Department of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Phnom Penh, Cambodia., Prasannakumar KM; Centre for Diabetes and Endocrine Care, Bengaluru, India., Leik SK; Department of Social, Economic, and Adminstrative Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand., Mbanya JC; Department of Internal Medicine and Specialties, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University of Yaoundé, Yaoundé, Cameroon., Mbaye MN; Centre du Diabète Marc Sankalé, Dakar, Senegal; Faculty of Medicine, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal., Niang B; Centre Hospitalier National d'Enfants Albert Royer, Dakar, Sénégal., Paturi VR; DiabetOmics, Hyderabad, India., Raghupathy P; Paediatric and Adolescent Endocrinology, Indira Gandhi Institute of Child Health, Bangalore, India., Ramaiya K; Shree Hindu Mandal Hospital, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania., Sethi B; Care Hospital, Hyderabad, India., Zabeen B; Department of Paediatrics, Bangladesh Institute of Research & Rehabilitation in Diabetes, Endocrine & Metabolic Disorders, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Changing Diabetes in Children Programme, Diabetic Association of Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh., Atun R; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
Source: The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology [Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol] 2022 Dec; Vol. 10 (12), pp. 848-858. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Nov 10.
Publication Type: Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Journal Info: Publisher: The Lancet, Diabetes & Endocrinology Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101618821 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2213-8595 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 22138587 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol Subsets: MEDLINE
Database: MEDLINE Ultimate
Description
ISSN:2213-8595
DOI:10.1016/S2213-8587(22)00276-5