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Estimating the total incidence of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years from 1990 to 2050: a global simulation-based analysis.

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Title: Estimating the total incidence of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years from 1990 to 2050: a global simulation-based analysis.
Authors: Ward ZJ; Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: zward@hsph.harvard.edu., Yeh JM; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of General Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Reddy CL; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Gomber A; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Ross C; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Academic Foundation Programme, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK., Rittiphairoj T; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Health Systems Management, Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand., Manne-Goehler J; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Infectious Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA., Abdalla AT; International University of Africa, College of Medicine, Khartoum, Sudan., Abdullah MA; International University of Africa, College of Medicine, Khartoum, Sudan; Sudanese Childhood Diabetes Association, Khartoum, Sudan., Ahmed A; Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia., Ankotche A; Department of Internal Medicine, Endocrinology and Geriatrics, Unit of Training and Research, Medical Science of Abidjan, University of Côte D'Ivoire, Abidjan, Ivory Coast., Azad K; BIRDEM and Ibrahim Medical College, Dhaka, Bangladesh., Bahendeka S; Department of Internal Medicine, MKPGMS Uganda Martyrs University, Kampala, Uganda., Baldé N; Department of Endocrinology, University Hospital, Conakry, Guinea., Jain SM; TOTALL Diabetes Hormone Institute, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India., Kalobu JC; Memisa, Kinshasa, DR Congo., Karekezi C; Kenya Diabetes Management and Information Centre, Nairobi, Kenya., Kol H; Department of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Phnom Penh, Cambodia., Prasannakumar KM; Centre for Diabetes and Endocrine Care, Bengaluru, India., Leik SK; Department of Social, Economic, and Adminstrative Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand., Mbanya JC; Department of Internal Medicine and Specialties, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University of Yaoundé, Yaoundé, Cameroon., Mbaye MN; Centre du Diabète Marc Sankalé, Dakar, Senegal; Faculty of Medicine, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal., Niang B; Centre Hospitalier National d'Enfants Albert Royer, Dakar, Sénégal., Paturi VR; DiabetOmics, Hyderabad, India., Raghupathy P; Paediatric and Adolescent Endocrinology, Indira Gandhi Institute of Child Health, Bangalore, India., Ramaiya K; Shree Hindu Mandal Hospital, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania., Sethi B; Care Hospital, Hyderabad, India., Zabeen B; Department of Paediatrics, Bangladesh Institute of Research & Rehabilitation in Diabetes, Endocrine & Metabolic Disorders, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Changing Diabetes in Children Programme, Diabetic Association of Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh., Atun R; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
Source: The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology [Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol] 2022 Dec; Vol. 10 (12), pp. 848-858. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Nov 10.
Publication Type: Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Journal Info: Publisher: The Lancet, Diabetes & Endocrinology Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101618821 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2213-8595 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 22138587 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol Subsets: MEDLINE
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  Data: Estimating the total incidence of type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years from 1990 to 2050: a global simulation-based analysis.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ward+ZJ%22">Ward ZJ</searchLink>; Center for Health Decision Science, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA. Electronic address: zward@hsph.harvard.edu.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Yeh+JM%22">Yeh JM</searchLink>; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of General Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Reddy+CL%22">Reddy CL</searchLink>; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Gomber+A%22">Gomber A</searchLink>; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ross+C%22">Ross C</searchLink>; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Academic Foundation Programme, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Rittiphairoj+T%22">Rittiphairoj T</searchLink>; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Health Systems Management, Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Manne-Goehler+J%22">Manne-Goehler J</searchLink>; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Division of Infectious Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Abdalla+AT%22">Abdalla AT</searchLink>; International University of Africa, College of Medicine, Khartoum, Sudan.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Abdullah+MA%22">Abdullah MA</searchLink>; International University of Africa, College of Medicine, Khartoum, Sudan; Sudanese Childhood Diabetes Association, Khartoum, Sudan.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ahmed+A%22">Ahmed A</searchLink>; Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ankotche+A%22">Ankotche A</searchLink>; Department of Internal Medicine, Endocrinology and Geriatrics, Unit of Training and Research, Medical Science of Abidjan, University of Côte D'Ivoire, Abidjan, Ivory Coast.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Azad+K%22">Azad K</searchLink>; BIRDEM and Ibrahim Medical College, Dhaka, Bangladesh.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Bahendeka+S%22">Bahendeka S</searchLink>; Department of Internal Medicine, MKPGMS Uganda Martyrs University, Kampala, Uganda.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Baldé+N%22">Baldé N</searchLink>; Department of Endocrinology, University Hospital, Conakry, Guinea.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Jain+SM%22">Jain SM</searchLink>; TOTALL Diabetes Hormone Institute, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kalobu+JC%22">Kalobu JC</searchLink>; Memisa, Kinshasa, DR Congo.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Karekezi+C%22">Karekezi C</searchLink>; Kenya Diabetes Management and Information Centre, Nairobi, Kenya.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kol+H%22">Kol H</searchLink>; Department of Preventive Medicine, Ministry of Health, Phnom Penh, Cambodia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Prasannakumar+KM%22">Prasannakumar KM</searchLink>; Centre for Diabetes and Endocrine Care, Bengaluru, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Leik+SK%22">Leik SK</searchLink>; Department of Social, Economic, and Adminstrative Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Mbanya+JC%22">Mbanya JC</searchLink>; Department of Internal Medicine and Specialties, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University of Yaoundé, Yaoundé, Cameroon.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Mbaye+MN%22">Mbaye MN</searchLink>; Centre du Diabète Marc Sankalé, Dakar, Senegal; Faculty of Medicine, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Niang+B%22">Niang B</searchLink>; Centre Hospitalier National d'Enfants Albert Royer, Dakar, Sénégal.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Paturi+VR%22">Paturi VR</searchLink>; DiabetOmics, Hyderabad, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Raghupathy+P%22">Raghupathy P</searchLink>; Paediatric and Adolescent Endocrinology, Indira Gandhi Institute of Child Health, Bangalore, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Ramaiya+K%22">Ramaiya K</searchLink>; Shree Hindu Mandal Hospital, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Sethi+B%22">Sethi B</searchLink>; Care Hospital, Hyderabad, India.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zabeen+B%22">Zabeen B</searchLink>; Department of Paediatrics, Bangladesh Institute of Research & Rehabilitation in Diabetes, Endocrine & Metabolic Disorders, Dhaka, Bangladesh; Changing Diabetes in Children Programme, Diabetic Association of Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Atun+R%22">Atun R</searchLink>; Health Systems Innovation Lab, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Health Policy and Management, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22101618821%22">The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology</searchLink> [Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol] 2022 Dec; Vol. 10 (12), pp. 848-858. <i>Date of Electronic Publication: </i>2022 Nov 10.
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  Data: <i>Publisher: </i><searchLink fieldCode="PB" term="%22The+Lancet%2C+Diabetes+%26+Endocrinology%22">The Lancet, Diabetes & Endocrinology </searchLink><i>Country of Publication: </i>England <i>NLM ID: </i>101618821 <i>Publication Model: </i>Print-Electronic <i>Cited Medium: </i>Internet <i>ISSN: </i>2213-8595 (Electronic) <i>Linking ISSN: </i><searchLink fieldCode="IS" term="%2222138587%22">22138587 </searchLink><i>NLM ISO Abbreviation: </i>Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol <i>Subsets: </i>MEDLINE
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