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Frequent and unpredictable changes in COVID-19 policies and restrictions reduce the accuracy of model forecasts.

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Title: Frequent and unpredictable changes in COVID-19 policies and restrictions reduce the accuracy of model forecasts.
Authors: Houdroge F; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia. farah.houdroge@burnet.edu.au., Palmer A; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia., Delport D; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia., Walsh T; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia., Kelly SL; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia., Hainsworth SW; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia., Abeysuriya R; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.; Department of Epidemiology and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia., Stuart RM; Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark., Kerr CC; Institute for Disease Modeling, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.; School of Physics, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia., Coplan P; Epidemiology, Johnson and Johnson, Titusville, NJ, USA., Wilson DP; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.; Department of Epidemiology and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.; Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA., Scott N; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.; Department of Epidemiology and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Source: Scientific reports [Sci Rep] 2023 Jan 25; Vol. 13 (1), pp. 1398. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Jan 25.
Publication Type: Journal Article
Journal Info: Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101563288 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2045-2322 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20452322 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Sci Rep Subsets: MEDLINE
Database: MEDLINE Ultimate
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  Data: Frequent and unpredictable changes in COVID-19 policies and restrictions reduce the accuracy of model forecasts.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Houdroge+F%22">Houdroge F</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia. farah.houdroge@burnet.edu.au.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Palmer+A%22">Palmer A</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Delport+D%22">Delport D</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Walsh+T%22">Walsh T</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kelly+SL%22">Kelly SL</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hainsworth+SW%22">Hainsworth SW</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Abeysuriya+R%22">Abeysuriya R</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.; Department of Epidemiology and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Stuart+RM%22">Stuart RM</searchLink>; Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Kerr+CC%22">Kerr CC</searchLink>; Institute for Disease Modeling, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.; School of Physics, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Coplan+P%22">Coplan P</searchLink>; Epidemiology, Johnson and Johnson, Titusville, NJ, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wilson+DP%22">Wilson DP</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.; Department of Epidemiology and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.; Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Seattle, WA, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Scott+N%22">Scott N</searchLink>; Modelling and Biostatistics Group, Burnet Institute, 85 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.; Department of Epidemiology and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22101563288%22">Scientific reports</searchLink> [Sci Rep] 2023 Jan 25; Vol. 13 (1), pp. 1398. <i>Date of Electronic Publication: </i>2023 Jan 25.
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