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Rigorous evaluation of five models for e-diary-only seizure forecasting: Retrospective and prospective datasets do not outperform the Napkin method.

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Title: Rigorous evaluation of five models for e-diary-only seizure forecasting: Retrospective and prospective datasets do not outperform the Napkin method.
Authors: Chang CY; Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA., Moss R; Seizure Tracker, Springfield, Virginia, USA., Westover MB; Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA., Goldenholz DM; Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Source: Epilepsia [Epilepsia] 2026 Feb; Vol. 67 (2), pp. 753-761. Date of Electronic Publication: 2025 Oct 14.
Publication Type: Journal Article
Journal Info: Publisher: Blackwell Science Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 2983306R Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1528-1167 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00139580 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Epilepsia Subsets: MEDLINE
Database: MEDLINE Ultimate
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  Data: Rigorous evaluation of five models for e-diary-only seizure forecasting: Retrospective and prospective datasets do not outperform the Napkin method.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Chang+CY%22">Chang CY</searchLink>; Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Moss+R%22">Moss R</searchLink>; Seizure Tracker, Springfield, Virginia, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Westover+MB%22">Westover MB</searchLink>; Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Goldenholz+DM%22">Goldenholz DM</searchLink>; Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.; Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%222983306R%22">Epilepsia</searchLink> [Epilepsia] 2026 Feb; Vol. 67 (2), pp. 753-761. <i>Date of Electronic Publication: </i>2025 Oct 14.
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  Data: <i>Publisher: </i><searchLink fieldCode="PB" term="%22Blackwell+Science%22">Blackwell Science </searchLink><i>Country of Publication: </i>United States <i>NLM ID: </i>2983306R <i>Publication Model: </i>Print-Electronic <i>Cited Medium: </i>Internet <i>ISSN: </i>1528-1167 (Electronic) <i>Linking ISSN: </i><searchLink fieldCode="IS" term="%2200139580%22">00139580 </searchLink><i>NLM ISO Abbreviation: </i>Epilepsia <i>Subsets: </i>MEDLINE
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        Value: 10.1111/epi.18677
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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        StartPage: 753
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      – TitleFull: Rigorous evaluation of five models for e-diary-only seizure forecasting: Retrospective and prospective datasets do not outperform the Napkin method.
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            NameFull: Chang CY
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            NameFull: Moss R
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              Text: 2026 Feb
              Type: published
              Y: 2026
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