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Climate change will increase forest disturbances in Europe throughout the 21st century.

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Title: Climate change will increase forest disturbances in Europe throughout the 21st century.
Authors: Grünig M; Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences, Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, Freising, Germany.; Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (Swiss TPH), Allschwil, Switzerland.; University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland., Rammer W; Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences, Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, Freising, Germany., Senf C; Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences, Earth Observation for Ecosystem Management, Freising, Germany., Albrich K; Natural Resources Institute Finland, Forest Health and Biodiversity Group, Helsinki, Finland.; University of Eastern Finland, Faculty of Science, Forestry and Technology, School of Forest Sciences, Joensuu, Finnland., André F; Université catholique de Louvain, Earth and Life Institute, Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium., Augustynczik ALD; International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Integrated Biosphere Futures Research Group, Laxenburg, Austria., Baumann M; Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences, Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, Freising, Germany., Bohn FJ; Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ, Leipzig, Germany.; BAM Nachhaltigkeit Beratung Medien GmbH-VE, Berlin, Germany., Bouwman M; Wageningen University & Research, Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen, Netherlands., Bugmann H; ETH Zürich, Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Zürich, Switzerland., Collalti A; National Research Council of Italy (CNR-ISAFOM), Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, Forest Modelling Lab, Perugia, Italy.; National Biodiversity Future Center (NBFC), Palermo, Italy., Cristal I; Departament de Ciències Ambientals, Facultat de Ciències, Universitat de Girona, Girona, Catalonia, Spain.; Forest Science and Technology Center of Catalonia (CTFC), Solsona, Spain., Dalmonech D; National Research Council of Italy (CNR-ISAFOM), Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, Forest Modelling Lab, Perugia, Italy.; National Biodiversity Future Center (NBFC), Palermo, Italy., De Coligny F; AMAP, INRAE-CIRAD-CNRS-IRD-Univ Montpellier, Montpellier, France., Dobor L; Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic., Dollinger C; Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences, Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, Freising, Germany., Espelta JM; CREAF, Catalonia, Spain., Forrester DI; CSIRO Environment, Australian Capital Territory, Australia., Garcia-Gonzalo J; Forest Science and Technology Center of Catalonia (CTFC), Solsona, Spain., González-Olabarria JR; Forest Science and Technology Center of Catalonia (CTFC), Solsona, Spain., Hiltner U; ETH Zürich, Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Zürich, Switzerland., Hlásny T; Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic., Honkaniemi J; Natural Resources Institute Finland, Forest Health and Biodiversity Group, Helsinki, Finland., Huber N; ETH Zürich, Forest Ecology, Institute of Terrestrial Ecosystems, Zürich, Switzerland.; Swiss Ornithological Institute, Sempach, Switzerland., Jonard M; Université catholique de Louvain, Earth and Life Institute, Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium., Jönsson AM; Lund University, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund, Sweden., Kunstler G; Université Grenoble Alpes, INRAE, UR LESSEM, Saint-Martin-d'Hères, France., Lagergren F; Lund University, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund, Sweden., Lindner M; European Forest Institute, Bonn, Germany., Mina M; Institute for Alpine Environment, Eurac Research, Bolzano, Italy., Moos C; Bern University of Applied Sciences, BFH-HAFL, Zollikofen, Switzerland., Morin X; CNRS, Univ. Montpellier, EPHE, IRD, UMR CEFE 1919, Montpellier, France., Muys B; KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Leuven, Belgium., Nabuurs GJ; Wageningen University & Research, Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen, Netherlands.; Wageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, Netherlands., Nieberg M; European Forest Institute, Bonn, Germany.; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany., Patacca M; Wageningen University & Research, Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen, Netherlands.; Wageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, Netherlands., Peltoniemi M; Natural Resources Institute Finland, Forest Health and Biodiversity Group, Helsinki, Finland., Reyer CPO; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany., Schelhaas MJ; Wageningen University & Research, Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group, Wageningen, Netherlands.; Wageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, Netherlands., Storms I; KU Leuven, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Leuven, Belgium., Thom D; TUD Dresden University of Technology, Institute of Silviculture and Forest Protection, Chair of Silviculture, Tharandt, Germany.; Gund Institute for Environment, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, USA., Toïgo M; Université Bordeaux, Bordeaux Sciences Agro, INRAE, Biogeco, Cestas, France.; Bordeaux Sciences Agro, Gradignan, France., Seidl R; Technical University of Munich, TUM School of Life Sciences, Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Group, Freising, Germany.; Berchtesgaden National Park, Berchtesgaden, Germany.
Source: Science (New York, N.Y.) [Science] 2026 Mar 05; Vol. 391 (6789), pp. eadx6329. Date of Electronic Publication: 2026 Mar 05.
Publication Type: Journal Article
Journal Info: Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 0404511 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1095-9203 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00368075 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Science Subsets: MEDLINE
Database: MEDLINE Ultimate
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Description
ISSN:1095-9203
DOI:10.1126/science.adx6329