Predicting temporal stability and resilience from resistance and recovery.

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Title: Predicting temporal stability and resilience from resistance and recovery.
Authors: Isbell F; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA. isbell@umn.edu., Mori AS; Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan., Loreau M; Theoretical and Experimental Ecology Station, CNRS, Moulis, France.; Department of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China., Reich PB; Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Institute for Global Change Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.; Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment, Western Sydney University, Penrith, New South Wales, Australia., Tilman D; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, USA., Anderson MI; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA., Brophy C; School of Computer Science and Statistics, Trinity College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland., Castillioni K; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA., Chen Q; Department of Physiological Diversity, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Churchill AC; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Environmental Studies Program, Binghamton University, SUNY, Binghamton, NY, USA., Clark AT; Department of Biology, University of Graz, Graz, Austria., Craven D; Centro GEMA Genómica, Ecología y Medio Ambiente, Facultad de Ciencias, Huechuraba, Chile.; Data Observatory Foundation, ANID Technology Center No. DO210001, Santiago, Chile., Eisenhauer N; Experimental Interaction Ecology, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany.; Institute of Biology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany., Farah HC; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA., Gherardi LA; Department of Environmental Studies, Policy, and Management, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA., Hautier Y; Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands., He M; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands., He JS; Department of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China., Hector A; Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK., Hedberg S; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA., Hobbie SE; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA., Hong P; Department of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China., Liang G; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA., Liang M; Cedar Creek Ecosystem Science Reserve, University of Minnesota, East Bethel, MN, USA., Luo S; Department of Evolution, Ecology, and Behaviour, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK., Mohanbabu N; Department of Forest Resources, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands., Naeem S; Ecology, Evolution, and Environmental Biology, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA., Niklaus PA; Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland., Pan X; Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands., Portales-Reyes C; Department of Biology, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO, USA., Schmid B; Department of Geography, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland., Shepherd HER; Department of Geography, King's College London, London, UK., Varghese S; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Department of Biology, California State University, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA., Veldhuis MP; Institute of Environmental Sciences, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands., Wang S; Department of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China., Watkins CRE; Department of Biology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, USA., Xu Q; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA., Zheng L; Institute for Global Change Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA., Zirbel CR; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA.
Source: Nature [Nature] 2026 Jul; Vol. 655 (8122), pp. 394-400. Date of Electronic Publication: 2026 May 06.
Publication Type: Journal Article
Journal Info: Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 0410462 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1476-4687 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00280836 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Nature Subsets: MEDLINE
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Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22He+M%22">He M</searchLink>; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22He+JS%22">He JS</searchLink>; Department of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hector+A%22">Hector A</searchLink>; Department of Biology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hedberg+S%22">Hedberg S</searchLink>; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hobbie+SE%22">Hobbie SE</searchLink>; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Hong+P%22">Hong P</searchLink>; 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Department of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Pan+X%22">Pan X</searchLink>; Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Portales-Reyes+C%22">Portales-Reyes C</searchLink>; Department of Biology, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Schmid+B%22">Schmid B</searchLink>; Department of Geography, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Shepherd+HER%22">Shepherd HER</searchLink>; Department of Geography, King's College London, London, UK.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Varghese+S%22">Varghese S</searchLink>; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.; Department of Biology, California State University, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Veldhuis+MP%22">Veldhuis MP</searchLink>; Institute of Environmental Sciences, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Wang+S%22">Wang S</searchLink>; Department of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing, China.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Watkins+CRE%22">Watkins CRE</searchLink>; Department of Biology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Xu+Q%22">Xu Q</searchLink>; Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zheng+L%22">Zheng L</searchLink>; Institute for Global Change Biology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AU" term="%22Zirbel+CR%22">Zirbel CR</searchLink>; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA.
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