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Why Stock Markets Crash : Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems

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Title: Why Stock Markets Crash : Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems
Description: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a'bubble.'Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the'end of the growth era'will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long'tulip mania'in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original'scientific tale,'as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.
Authors: Didier Sornette
Resource Type: eBook.
Subjects: Critical phenomena (Physics), Complexity (Philosophy), Stocks--Prices--History, Financial crises--United States--History, Stock exchanges--United States--History
Categories: BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Investments & Securities / Stocks, BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Finance / General, BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting, MATHEMATICS / Game Theory, SCIENCE / Earth Sciences / General, SCIENCE / Physics / Mathematical & Computational, BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Finance / Financial Engineering
Database: eBook Collection (EBSCOhost)
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  – Type: ebook-pdf
  – Type: ebook-epub
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  Availability: 0
Header DbId: nlebk
DbLabel: eBook Collection (EBSCOhost)
An: 1431866
RelevancyScore: 1077
AccessLevel: 6
PubType: eBook
PubTypeId: ebook
PreciseRelevancyScore: 1077.00524902344
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  Data: Why Stock Markets Crash : Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems
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  Data: The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and predict phenomena as diverse as earthquakes, global warming, demographic patterns, financial crises, and the failure of materials. In this book, Didier Sornette boldly applies his varied experience in these areas to propose a simple, powerful, and general theory of how, why, and when stock markets crash. Most attempts to explain market failures seek to pinpoint triggering mechanisms that occur hours, days, or weeks before the collapse. Sornette proposes a radically different view: the underlying cause can be sought months and even years before the abrupt, catastrophic event in the build-up of cooperative speculation, which often translates into an accelerating rise of the market price, otherwise known as a'bubble.'Anchoring his sophisticated, step-by-step analysis in leading-edge physical and statistical modeling techniques, he unearths remarkable insights and some predictions--among them, that the'end of the growth era'will occur around 2050. Sornette probes major historical precedents, from the decades-long'tulip mania'in the Netherlands that wilted suddenly in 1637 to the South Sea Bubble that ended with the first huge market crash in England in 1720, to the Great Crash of October 1929 and Black Monday in 1987, to cite just a few. He concludes that most explanations other than cooperative self-organization fail to account for the subtle bubbles by which the markets lay the groundwork for catastrophe. Any investor or investment professional who seeks a genuine understanding of looming financial disasters should read this book. Physicists, geologists, biologists, economists, and others will welcome Why Stock Markets Crash as a highly original'scientific tale,'as Sornette aptly puts it, of the exciting and sometimes fearsome--but no longer quite so unfathomable--world of stock markets.
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Classifications:
      – Code: 332.63222
        Scheme: ddc
        Type: prePub
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Critical phenomena (Physics)
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Complexity (Philosophy)
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Stocks--Prices--History
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Financial crises--United States--History
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Stock exchanges--United States--History
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Why Stock Markets Crash : Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems
        Type: main
  BibRelationships:
    HasContributorRelationships:
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Didier Sornette
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Didier Sornette
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 01
              Type: published
              Y: 2017
            – D: 28
              M: 03
              Type: profile
              Y: 2017
          Identifiers:
            – Type: isbn-print
              Value: 9780691175959
            – Type: isbn-electronic
              Value: 9781400885091
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Why Stock Markets Crash : Critical Events in Complex Financial Systems
              Type: main
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