Anticipating Correlations : A New Paradigm for Risk Management

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Title: Anticipating Correlations : A New Paradigm for Risk Management
Description: Financial markets respond to information virtually instantaneously. Each new piece of information influences the prices of assets and their correlations with each other, and as the system rapidly changes, so too do correlation forecasts. This fast-evolving environment presents econometricians with the challenge of forecasting dynamic correlations, which are essential inputs to risk measurement, portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and many other critical financial activities. In Anticipating Correlations, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Engle introduces an important new method for estimating correlations for large systems of assets: Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC). Engle demonstrates the role of correlations in financial decision making, and addresses the economic underpinnings and theoretical properties of correlations and their relation to other measures of dependence. He compares DCC with other correlation estimators such as historical correlation, exponential smoothing, and multivariate GARCH, and he presents a range of important applications of DCC. Engle presents the asymmetric model and illustrates it using a multicountry equity and bond return model. He introduces the new FACTOR DCC model that blends factor models with the DCC to produce a model with the best features of both, and illustrates it using an array of U.S. large-cap equities. Engle shows how overinvestment in collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs, lies at the heart of the subprime mortgage crisis--and how the correlation models in this book could have foreseen the risks. A technical chapter of econometric results also is included. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Anticipating Correlations puts powerful new forecasting tools into the hands of researchers, financial analysts, risk managers, derivative quants, and graduate students.
Authors: Robert Engle
Resource Type: eBook.
Subjects: Risk management--Mathematical models, Correlation (Statistics), Finance--Econometric models, Economic forecasting--Mathematical models
Categories: BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Econometrics, BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Finance / General, BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Forecasting
Database: eBook Collection (EBSCOhost)
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  – Type: ebook-pdf
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Header DbId: nlebk
DbLabel: eBook Collection (EBSCOhost)
An: 286717
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AccessLevel: 6
PubType: eBook
PubTypeId: ebook
PreciseRelevancyScore: 1024.62744140625
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  Data: Anticipating Correlations : A New Paradigm for Risk Management
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  Data: Financial markets respond to information virtually instantaneously. Each new piece of information influences the prices of assets and their correlations with each other, and as the system rapidly changes, so too do correlation forecasts. This fast-evolving environment presents econometricians with the challenge of forecasting dynamic correlations, which are essential inputs to risk measurement, portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and many other critical financial activities. In Anticipating Correlations, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Engle introduces an important new method for estimating correlations for large systems of assets: Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC). Engle demonstrates the role of correlations in financial decision making, and addresses the economic underpinnings and theoretical properties of correlations and their relation to other measures of dependence. He compares DCC with other correlation estimators such as historical correlation, exponential smoothing, and multivariate GARCH, and he presents a range of important applications of DCC. Engle presents the asymmetric model and illustrates it using a multicountry equity and bond return model. He introduces the new FACTOR DCC model that blends factor models with the DCC to produce a model with the best features of both, and illustrates it using an array of U.S. large-cap equities. Engle shows how overinvestment in collateralized debt obligations, or CDOs, lies at the heart of the subprime mortgage crisis--and how the correlation models in this book could have foreseen the risks. A technical chapter of econometric results also is included. Based on the Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures, Anticipating Correlations puts powerful new forecasting tools into the hands of researchers, financial analysts, risk managers, derivative quants, and graduate students.
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RecordInfo BibRecord:
  BibEntity:
    Classifications:
      – Code: 332.678
        Scheme: ddc
        Type: prePub
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Risk management--Mathematical models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Correlation (Statistics)
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Finance--Econometric models
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Economic forecasting--Mathematical models
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: Anticipating Correlations : A New Paradigm for Risk Management
        Type: main
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      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Robert Engle
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Robert Engle
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          Dates:
            – D: 01
              M: 01
              Type: published
              Y: 2009
            – D: 04
              M: 02
              Type: profile
              Y: 2014
          Identifiers:
            – Type: isbn-print
              Value: 9780691116419
            – Type: isbn-electronic
              Value: 9781400830190
          Titles:
            – TitleFull: Anticipating Correlations : A New Paradigm for Risk Management
              Type: main
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