An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises.
Saved in:
| Title: | An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises. |
|---|---|
| Authors: | Born, Andreas, van Eck, Pieter, Johannesson, Magnus |
| Source: | Political Psychology. Jun2018, Vol. 39 Issue 3, p685-705. 21p. 1 Diagram, 6 Charts, 6 Graphs. |
| Subjects: | Campaign promises, Voting, Voter psychology, Campaign management, Politicians -- Psychology, Psychology |
| Abstract: | We analyze the effect of election promises on electoral behavior in a laboratory experiment. In the experiment, politicians can make nonbinding election promises about how to split an endowment between themselves and the group. We find that promises affect both voting and voter beliefs about how much the politician will contribute to the public fund. The relationship is inverted U‐shaped with decreasing credibility of higher promises. Contributions of politicians are correlated with their promises in a similar pattern. The election promises are generally credible unless particularly high. Politicians keep promises more often if a reelection is possible and if the politician came into power by vote rather than by random draw. Voters reward high contributions in the previous period and punish promise breaking even after controlling for the contribution in the previous period or voters' beliefs about future contributions. By controlling for voters' beliefs, we distinguish retrospective from prospective voting. Our results suggest that voters both use promises for prospective voting and retrospectively punish broken promises. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Copyright of Political Psychology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) | |
| Database: | Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection |
|
Full text is not displayed to guests.
Login for full access.
|
|
| FullText | Links: – Type: pdflink Text: Availability: 1 |
|---|---|
| Header | DbId: pbh DbLabel: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection An: 129933486 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 0 |
| IllustrationInfo | |
| Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Born%2C+Andreas%22">Born, Andreas</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22van+Eck%2C+Pieter%22">van Eck, Pieter</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Johannesson%2C+Magnus%22">Johannesson, Magnus</searchLink> – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Political+Psychology%22">Political Psychology</searchLink>. Jun2018, Vol. 39 Issue 3, p685-705. 21p. 1 Diagram, 6 Charts, 6 Graphs. – Name: Subject Label: Subjects Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Campaign+promises%22">Campaign promises</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Voting%22">Voting</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Voter+psychology%22">Voter psychology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Campaign+management%22">Campaign management</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Politicians+--+Psychology%22">Politicians -- Psychology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Psychology%22">Psychology</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: We analyze the effect of election promises on electoral behavior in a laboratory experiment. In the experiment, politicians can make nonbinding election promises about how to split an endowment between themselves and the group. We find that promises affect both voting and voter beliefs about how much the politician will contribute to the public fund. The relationship is inverted U‐shaped with decreasing credibility of higher promises. Contributions of politicians are correlated with their promises in a similar pattern. The election promises are generally credible unless particularly high. Politicians keep promises more often if a reelection is possible and if the politician came into power by vote rather than by random draw. Voters reward high contributions in the previous period and punish promise breaking even after controlling for the contribution in the previous period or voters' beliefs about future contributions. By controlling for voters' beliefs, we distinguish retrospective from prospective voting. Our results suggest that voters both use promises for prospective voting and retrospectively punish broken promises. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of Political Psychology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
| PLink | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&site=eds-live&db=pbh&AN=129933486 |
| RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1111/pops.12429 Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 21 StartPage: 685 Subjects: – SubjectFull: Campaign promises Type: general – SubjectFull: Voting Type: general – SubjectFull: Voter psychology Type: general – SubjectFull: Campaign management Type: general – SubjectFull: Politicians -- Psychology Type: general – SubjectFull: Psychology Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Born, Andreas – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: van Eck, Pieter – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Johannesson, Magnus IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 01 M: 06 Text: Jun2018 Type: published Y: 2018 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 0162895X Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 39 – Type: issue Value: 3 Titles: – TitleFull: Political Psychology Type: main |
| ResultId | 1 |