An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises.

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Title: An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises.
Authors: Born, Andreas, van Eck, Pieter, Johannesson, Magnus
Source: Political Psychology. Jun2018, Vol. 39 Issue 3, p685-705. 21p. 1 Diagram, 6 Charts, 6 Graphs.
Subjects: Campaign promises, Voting, Voter psychology, Campaign management, Politicians -- Psychology, Psychology
Abstract: We analyze the effect of election promises on electoral behavior in a laboratory experiment. In the experiment, politicians can make nonbinding election promises about how to split an endowment between themselves and the group. We find that promises affect both voting and voter beliefs about how much the politician will contribute to the public fund. The relationship is inverted U‐shaped with decreasing credibility of higher promises. Contributions of politicians are correlated with their promises in a similar pattern. The election promises are generally credible unless particularly high. Politicians keep promises more often if a reelection is possible and if the politician came into power by vote rather than by random draw. Voters reward high contributions in the previous period and punish promise breaking even after controlling for the contribution in the previous period or voters' beliefs about future contributions. By controlling for voters' beliefs, we distinguish retrospective from prospective voting. Our results suggest that voters both use promises for prospective voting and retrospectively punish broken promises. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Political Psychology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Born%2C+Andreas%22">Born, Andreas</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22van+Eck%2C+Pieter%22">van Eck, Pieter</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Johannesson%2C+Magnus%22">Johannesson, Magnus</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Political+Psychology%22">Political Psychology</searchLink>. Jun2018, Vol. 39 Issue 3, p685-705. 21p. 1 Diagram, 6 Charts, 6 Graphs.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Campaign+promises%22">Campaign promises</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Voting%22">Voting</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Voter+psychology%22">Voter psychology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Campaign+management%22">Campaign management</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Politicians+--+Psychology%22">Politicians -- Psychology</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Psychology%22">Psychology</searchLink>
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  Data: We analyze the effect of election promises on electoral behavior in a laboratory experiment. In the experiment, politicians can make nonbinding election promises about how to split an endowment between themselves and the group. We find that promises affect both voting and voter beliefs about how much the politician will contribute to the public fund. The relationship is inverted U‐shaped with decreasing credibility of higher promises. Contributions of politicians are correlated with their promises in a similar pattern. The election promises are generally credible unless particularly high. Politicians keep promises more often if a reelection is possible and if the politician came into power by vote rather than by random draw. Voters reward high contributions in the previous period and punish promise breaking even after controlling for the contribution in the previous period or voters' beliefs about future contributions. By controlling for voters' beliefs, we distinguish retrospective from prospective voting. Our results suggest that voters both use promises for prospective voting and retrospectively punish broken promises. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Political Psychology is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1111/pops.12429
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      – Code: eng
        Text: English
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      Pagination:
        PageCount: 21
        StartPage: 685
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: Campaign promises
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Voting
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Voter psychology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Campaign management
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Politicians -- Psychology
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Psychology
        Type: general
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      – TitleFull: An Experimental Investigation of Election Promises.
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              Text: Jun2018
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              Y: 2018
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