Dynamic modelling of the impact of community-based acute mental health services for children and adolescents.

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Title: Dynamic modelling of the impact of community-based acute mental health services for children and adolescents.
Authors: Skinner, Adam (AUTHOR), Occhipinti, Jo-An (AUTHOR), Song, Yun Ju Christine (AUTHOR), Scott, Elizabeth M (AUTHOR), Hickie, Ian B (AUTHOR)
Source: Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry. Dec2023, Vol. 57 Issue 12, p1562-1569. 8p.
Subjects: Computer simulation, Confidence intervals, Hospital emergency services, Health care teams, Research funding
Geographic Terms: New South Wales
Abstract: Objective: To evaluate the potential impact of the recently announced 'Safeguards' initiative on mental health-related emergency department presentation rates for children and adolescents (0−17 years). This state-funded initiative aims to establish 25 Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams across New South Wales. Methods: We estimated the effects of the 'Safeguards' initiative using a state-level dynamic model of child and adolescent acute mental health care. Potential reductions in total numbers of mental health-related emergency department presentations and re-presentations (i.e. presentations within 3 months of an initial presentation) were assessed via a series of simulation experiments in which we systematically varied the total number of Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams and the mean duration of care per patient. Results: Assuming a mean treatment duration of 6 weeks per patient, 25 Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams are projected to reduce total numbers of mental health-related emergency department presentations and re-presentations over the period 2022–2031 by 15.0% (95% interval, 12.0−18.2%) and 31.7% (26.2−37.8%), respectively. Increasing the total number of Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams above 25 has minimal additional impact on projected reductions in numbers of emergency department presentations and re-presentations, provided the mean duration of care is no more than 8 weeks. However, where the mean duration of care is greater than 4 weeks, a decrease in the number of Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams below 25 reduces the potential effectiveness of the 'Safeguards' initiative significantly. Conclusion: Our simulation results indicate that full and timely implementation will be critical if the potentially substantial impact of the 'Safeguards' initiative on demand for hospital-based emergency mental health care is to be realised. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry is the property of Sage Publications Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
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DbLabel: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
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PubTypeId: academicJournal
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  Label: Title
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  Data: Dynamic modelling of the impact of community-based acute mental health services for children and adolescents.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Skinner%2C+Adam%22">Skinner, Adam</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Occhipinti%2C+Jo-An%22">Occhipinti, Jo-An</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Song%2C+Yun+Ju+Christine%22">Song, Yun Ju Christine</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Scott%2C+Elizabeth+M%22">Scott, Elizabeth M</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hickie%2C+Ian+B%22">Hickie, Ian B</searchLink> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="JN" term="%22Australian+%26+New+Zealand+Journal+of+Psychiatry%22">Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry</searchLink>. Dec2023, Vol. 57 Issue 12, p1562-1569. 8p.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Computer+simulation%22">Computer simulation</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Confidence+intervals%22">Confidence intervals</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Hospital+emergency+services%22">Hospital emergency services</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Health+care+teams%22">Health care teams</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Research+funding%22">Research funding</searchLink>
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  Label: Geographic Terms
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22New+South+Wales%22">New South Wales</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Objective: To evaluate the potential impact of the recently announced 'Safeguards' initiative on mental health-related emergency department presentation rates for children and adolescents (0−17 years). This state-funded initiative aims to establish 25 Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams across New South Wales. Methods: We estimated the effects of the 'Safeguards' initiative using a state-level dynamic model of child and adolescent acute mental health care. Potential reductions in total numbers of mental health-related emergency department presentations and re-presentations (i.e. presentations within 3 months of an initial presentation) were assessed via a series of simulation experiments in which we systematically varied the total number of Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams and the mean duration of care per patient. Results: Assuming a mean treatment duration of 6 weeks per patient, 25 Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams are projected to reduce total numbers of mental health-related emergency department presentations and re-presentations over the period 2022–2031 by 15.0% (95% interval, 12.0−18.2%) and 31.7% (26.2−37.8%), respectively. Increasing the total number of Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams above 25 has minimal additional impact on projected reductions in numbers of emergency department presentations and re-presentations, provided the mean duration of care is no more than 8 weeks. However, where the mean duration of care is greater than 4 weeks, a decrease in the number of Child and Adolescent Acute Response Teams below 25 reduces the potential effectiveness of the 'Safeguards' initiative significantly. Conclusion: Our simulation results indicate that full and timely implementation will be critical if the potentially substantial impact of the 'Safeguards' initiative on demand for hospital-based emergency mental health care is to be realised. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: AbstractSuppliedCopyright
  Label:
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Australian & New Zealand Journal of Psychiatry is the property of Sage Publications Inc. and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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        Value: 10.1177/00048674231195555
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        Text: English
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        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: Confidence intervals
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      – SubjectFull: Hospital emergency services
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      – SubjectFull: Health care teams
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      – SubjectFull: Research funding
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      – SubjectFull: New South Wales
        Type: general
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      – TitleFull: Dynamic modelling of the impact of community-based acute mental health services for children and adolescents.
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            NameFull: Skinner, Adam
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            NameFull: Occhipinti, Jo-An
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            NameFull: Song, Yun Ju Christine
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              M: 12
              Text: Dec2023
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              Y: 2023
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