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Electoral Competition, the EU Issue and Far-right Success in Western Europe.

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Title: Electoral Competition, the EU Issue and Far-right Success in Western Europe.
Authors: Vasilopoulou, Sofia (AUTHOR), Zur, Roi (AUTHOR)
Source: Political Behavior. Mar2024, Vol. 46 Issue 1, p565-585. 21p.
Subjects: Voting, European integration, Political campaigns, Campaign management, Success, Fortune, Multidimensional databases
Geographic Terms: Western Europe
Abstract: We argue theoretically and demonstrate empirically that to understand the electoral fortunes of far-right parties in Western Europe, we need to consider the advantages and disadvantages these parties encounter in the multidimensional political issue space. We argue that salience changes among the electorate benefit far-right parties more than shifting far-right parties' policy positions. We further posit that changes in the public salience of European integration are more important for far-right success than other issues -- including immigration. Utilizing similar survey questions from the Chapel Hill Expert Survey (CHES) about parties' positions and the European Election Studies (EES) about voters' policy preferences, we estimate multidimensional voting models in 12 West European countries. We then use mathematical simulations to show that the issue that matters most for far-right success is European integration. This research has important implications for the study of electoral competition, parties' campaign strategies, and voting behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Political Behavior is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Database: Psychology and Behavioral Sciences Collection
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Vasilopoulou%2C+Sofia%22">Vasilopoulou, Sofia</searchLink> (AUTHOR)<br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Zur%2C+Roi%22">Zur, Roi</searchLink> (AUTHOR)
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Voting%22">Voting</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22European+integration%22">European integration</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Political+campaigns%22">Political campaigns</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Campaign+management%22">Campaign management</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Success%22">Success</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Fortune%22">Fortune</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Multidimensional+databases%22">Multidimensional databases</searchLink>
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22Western+Europe%22">Western Europe</searchLink>
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  Data: We argue theoretically and demonstrate empirically that to understand the electoral fortunes of far-right parties in Western Europe, we need to consider the advantages and disadvantages these parties encounter in the multidimensional political issue space. We argue that salience changes among the electorate benefit far-right parties more than shifting far-right parties' policy positions. We further posit that changes in the public salience of European integration are more important for far-right success than other issues -- including immigration. Utilizing similar survey questions from the Chapel Hill Expert Survey (CHES) about parties' positions and the European Election Studies (EES) about voters' policy preferences, we estimate multidimensional voting models in 12 West European countries. We then use mathematical simulations to show that the issue that matters most for far-right success is European integration. This research has important implications for the study of electoral competition, parties' campaign strategies, and voting behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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  Data: <i>Copyright of Political Behavior is the property of Springer Nature and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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      – SubjectFull: European integration
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      – SubjectFull: Western Europe
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              Text: Mar2024
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